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We present a novel reshuffling exchange model and investigate its long time behavior. In this model, two individuals are picked randomly, and their wealth $X_i$ and $X_j$ are redistributed by flipping a sequence of fair coins leading to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-02 Fei Cao , Nicholas F. Marshall

In this note we present a series expansion of inverse moments of a non-negative discrete random variate in terms of its factorial cumulants, based on the Poisson-Charlier expansion of a discrete distribution. We apply the general method to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-09-25 Koenraad M. R. Audenaert

Language models famously improve under a smooth scaling law, but some specific capabilities exhibit sudden breakthroughs in performance. Advocates of "emergence" view these capabilities as unlocked at a specific scale, but others attribute…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-19 Rosie Zhao , Tian Qin , David Alvarez-Melis , Sham Kakade , Naomi Saphra

We give a direct rigorous proof of the Kearns--Saul inequality which bounds the Laplace transform of a generalised Bernoulli random variable. We extend the arguments to generalised Poisson-binomial distributions and characterise the set of…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-19 Eckhard Schlemm

The two-parameter Poisson-Dirichlet diffusion takes values in the infinite ordered simplex and extends the celebrated infinitely-many-neutral-alleles model, having a two-parameter Poisson-Dirichlet stationary distribution. Here we identify…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-16 Robert C. Griffiths , Matteo Ruggiero , Dario Spanò , Youzhou Zhou

In this paper, an alternative mixed Poisson distribution is proposed by amalgamating Poisson distribution and a modification of the Quasi Lindley distribution. Some fundamental structural properties of the new distribution, namely the shape…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-26 Ramajeyam Tharshan , Pushpakanthie Wijekoon

Consider the random quadratic form $T_n=\sum_{1 \leq u < v \leq n} a_{uv} X_u X_v$, where $((a_{uv}))_{1 \leq u, v \leq n}$ is a $\{0, 1\}$-valued symmetric matrix with zeros on the diagonal, and $X_1,$ $X_2, \ldots, X_n$ are i.i.d.…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-30 Bhaswar B. Bhattacharya , Somabha Mukherjee , Sumit Mukherjee

Diffusion models have emerged as powerful tools for solving inverse problems, yet prior work has primarily focused on observations with Gaussian measurement noise, restricting their use in real-world scenarios. This limitation persists due…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-11 Alessandro Micheli , Mélodie Monod , Samir Bhatt

Poisson random effect models with a shared random effect have been widely used in actuarial science for analyzing the number of claims. In particular, the random effect is a key factor in a posteriori risk classification. However, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-13 Woojoo Lee , Jeonghwan Kim , Jae Youn Ahn

In this paper we present various new inequalities for tail proabilities for distributions that are elements of the most improtant exponential families. These families include the Poisson distributions, the Gamma distributions, the binomial…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-17 Peter Harremoës

Sarmanov copulas offer a simple and tractable way to build multivariate distributions by perturbing the independence copula. They admit closed-form expressions for densities and many functionals of interest, making them attractive for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-15 Christopher Blier-Wong

Exchangeable sequences of random probability measures (partitions of mass) and their corresponding exchangeable bridges play an important role in a variety of areas in probability, statistics and related areas, including Bayesian…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-08-17 Lancelot F. James

Motivated by a problem arising when analysing data from quarantine searches, we explore properties of distributions of sums of independent means of independent lattice-valued random variables. The aim is to determine the extent to which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-10-01 Geoffrey Decrouez , Peter Hall

The last success problem is an optimal stopping problem that aims to maximize the probability of stopping on the last success in a sequence of independent $n$ Bernoulli trials. In the classical setting where complete information about the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-24 Toru Yoshinaga , Yasushi Kawase

We consider distributional approximation by generalized Dickman distributions, which appear in number theory, perpetuities, logarithmic combinatorial structures and many other areas. We prove bounds in the Kolmogorov distance for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-21 Chinmoy Bhattacharjee , Matthias Schulte

A probabilistic generative network model with $n$ nodes and $m$ overlapping layers is obtained as a superposition of $m$ mutually independent Bernoulli random graphs of varying size and strength. When $n$ and $m$ are large and of the same…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-01 Mindaugas Bloznelis , Joona Karjalainen , Lasse Leskelä

In this paper, we introduce a new class of distributions by compounding the exponentiated extended Weibull family and power series family. This distribution contains several lifetime models such as the complementary extended Weibull-power…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2015-03-31 Saeid Tahmasebi , Ali Akbar Jafari

Preferential attachment probabilities scheme appear in the context of scale free random graphs [1],[2]. In this work we present preferential attachment probabilities scheme as a sequence of dependent Bernoulli random variables and we give…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-20 Andrea Monsellato

Exponential distributions appear in a wide range of applications including chemistry, nuclear physics, time series analyses, and stock market trends. There are conceivable circumstances in which one would be interested in the cumulative…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2018-03-23 Cecilia Chirenti , M. Coleman Miller

In this paper, we introduce a new approach to generate flexible parametric families of distributions. These models arise on competitive and complementary risks scenario, in which the lifetime associated with a particular risk is not…

Applications · Statistics 2018-05-22 Pedro L. Ramos , Dipak K. Dey , Francisco Louzada , Victor H. Lachos
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