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When modeling multivariate phenomena, properly capturing the joint extremal behavior is often one of the many concerns. Archimax copulas appear as successful candidates in case of asymptotic dependence. In this paper, the class of Archimax…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-23 Simon Chatelain , Samuel Perreault , Johanna G. Nešlehová , Anne-Laure Fougères

There is an increasing interest to understand the dependence structure of a random vector not only in the center of its distribution but also in the tails. Extreme-value theory tackles the problem of modelling the joint tail of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-11-04 Anna Kiriliouk , Johan Segers , Michal Warchol

Risk measures like Marginal Expected Shortfall and Marginal Mean Excess quantify conditional risk and in particular, aid in the understanding of systemic risk. In many such scenarios, models exhibiting heavy tails in the margins and…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-07 Bikramjit Das , Vicky Fasen-Hartmann

So called pair copula constructions (PCCs), specifying multivariate distributions only in terms of bivariate building blocks (pair copulas), constitute a flexible class of dependence models. To keep them tractable for inference and model…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-05-23 Jakob Stöber , Harry Joe , Claudia Czado

Multivariate extreme value statistical analysis is concerned with observations on several variables which are thought to possess some degree of tail-dependence. In areas such as the modeling of financial and insurance risks, or as the…

Applications · Statistics 2014-12-31 Alexis Bienvenüe , Christian Y. Robert

The sum of independent, but not necessary identically distributed, exponential random variables follows hypoexponential distribution. We focus on a particular case when all, but one rate parameters of the exponential variables are…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-04 George Yanev

The key to VI is the selection of a tractable density to approximate the Bayesian posterior. For large and complex models a common choice is to assume independence between multivariate blocks in a partition of the parameter space. While…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-07 Yu Fu , Michael Stanley Smith , Anastasios Panagiotelis

After reviewing a large body of literature on the modeling of bivariate discrete distributions with finite support, \cite{Gee20} made a compelling case for the use of $I$-projections in the sense of \cite{Csi75} as a sound way to attempt to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-18 Ivan Kojadinovic , Tommaso Martini

Probability density estimation from observed data constitutes a central task in statistics. In this brief, we focus on the problem of estimating the copula density associated to any observed data, as it fully describes the dependence…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-09 Nunzio A. Letizia , Nicola Novello , Andrea M. Tonello

For a bivariate probability distribution, local dependence around a single point on the support is often formulated as the second derivative of the logarithm of the probability density function. However, this definition lacks the invariance…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-25 Issey Sukeda , Tomonari Sei

We study a class of bifurcations generically occurring in dynamical systems with non-mutual couplings ranging from models of coupled neurons to predator-prey systems and non-linear oscillators. In these bifurcations, extended attractors…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2023-08-11 Cheyne Weis , Michel Fruchart , Ryo Hanai , Kyle Kawagoe , Peter B. Littlewood , Vincenzo Vitelli

Liouville copulas, which were introduced in McNeil and Neslehova (2010), are asymmetric generalizations of the ubiquitous Archimedean copula class. They are the dependence structures of scale mixtures of Dirichlet distributions, also called…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-10 Léo R. Belzile , Johanna G. Nešlehová

We examine an infinite, linear system of ordinary differential equations that models the evolution of fragmenting clusters, where each cluster is assumed to be composed of identical units. In contrast to previous investigations into such…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2024-06-17 Lyndsay Kerr , Wilson Lamb , Matthias Langer

Despite their ubiquity, a systematic classification of multifold exceptional points, $n$-fold spectral degeneracies (EP$n$s), remains a significant unsolved problem. In this article, we characterize the Abelian eigenvalue topology of…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2025-01-30 Tsuneya Yoshida , J. Lukas K. König , Lukas Rødland , Emil J. Bergholtz , Marcus Stålhammar

Variable selection is of significant importance for classification and regression tasks in machine learning and statistical applications where both predictability and explainability are needed. In this paper, a Copula Entropy (CE) based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-30 Jian Ma

Inspired by the paper Greenhalgh et al. [5] we investigate a class of two dimensional stochastic differential equations related to susceptible-infected-susceptible epidemic models with demographic stochasticity. While preserving the key…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-24 Enrico Bernardi , Vinayak Chuni , Alberto Lanconelli

A bivariate distribution with continuous margins can be uniquely decomposed via a copula and its marginal distributions. We consider the problem of estimating the copula function and adopt a Bayesian approach. On the space of copula…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-07-04 Simon Guillotte , François Perron

The continuous extension of a discrete random variable is amongst the computational methods used for estimation of multivariate normal copula-based models with discrete margins. Its advantage is that the likelihood can be derived…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-11-10 Aristidis K. Nikoloulopoulos

We establish a statistical learning theoretical framework aimed at extrapolation, or out-of-domain generalization, on the unobserved tails of covariates in continuous regression problems. Our strategy involves performing statistical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-15 Stephan Clémençon , Nathan Huet , Anne Sabourin

The aim of this paper is to establish several deep theoretical properties of principal component analysis for multiple-component spike covariance models. Our new results reveal a surprising asymptotic conical structure in critical sample…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-03-26 Dan Shen , Haipeng Shen , Hongtu Zhu , J. S. Marron