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Dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) is a method that estimates the correlation between two time series across time. Although used primarily in finance so far, DCC has been proposed recently as a model-based estimation method for…
We seek to narrow the gap between parametric and nonparametric modelling of stationary time series processes. The approach is inspired by recent advances in focused inference and model selection techniques. The paper generalises and extends…
Granger causality, commonly used for inferring causal structures from time series data, has been adopted in widespread applications across various fields due to its intuitive explainability and high compatibility with emerging deep neural…
It becomes increasingly popular to perform mediation analysis for complex data from sophisticated experimental studies. In this paper, we present Granger Mediation Analysis (GMA), a new framework for causal mediation analysis of multiple…
Multivariate time series anomaly detection has numerous real-world applications and is being extensively studied. Modeling pairwise correlations between variables is crucial. Existing methods employ learnable graph structures and graph…
A structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) process is a linear causal model for variables that evolve over a discrete set of time points and between which there may be lagged and instantaneous effects. The qualitative causal structure of an…
When common factors strongly influence two cross-correlated time series recorded in complex natural and social systems, the results will be biased if we use multifractal detrended cross-correlation analysis (MF-DXA) without considering…
When dealing with time series data, causal inference methods often employ structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) processes to model time-evolving random systems. In this work, we rephrase recursive SVAR processes with possible latent…
Current fluctuations play an important role in non-equilibrium statistical mechanics, and are a key object of interest in both theoretical studies and in practical applications. So far, most of the studies were devoted to the fluctuations…
Federated Graph Learning (FGL) has emerged as a powerful paradigm for decentralized training of graph neural networks while preserving data privacy. However, existing FGL methods are predominantly designed for static graphs and rely on…
We develop a general methodological framework for probabilistic inference in discrete- and continuous-time stochastic processes evolving on directed acyclic graphs (DAGs). The process is observed only at the leaf nodes, and the challenge is…
Uncertainty quantification techniques such as the time-dependent generalized polynomial chaos (TD-gPC) use an adaptive orthogonal basis to better represent the stochastic part of the solution space (aka random function space) in time.…
Correlation analysis is convenient and frequently used tool for investigation of time series from complex systems. Recently new methods such as the multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis (MFDFA) and the wavelet transform modulus…
Multifractal formalisms provide an apt framework to study random cascades in which multifractal spectrum width $\Delta\alpha$ fluctuates depending on the number of estimable power-law relationships. Then again, multifractality without…
For decades, uncertainty quantification techniques based on the spectral approach have been demonstrated to be computationally more efficient than the Monte Carlo method for a wide variety of problems, particularly when the dimensionality…
Understanding causal relationships within a system is crucial for uncovering its underlying mechanisms. Causal discovery methods, which facilitate the construction of such models from time-series data, hold the potential to significantly…
Gaussian process factor analysis (GPFA) is a latent variable modeling technique commonly used to identify smooth, low-dimensional latent trajectories underlying high-dimensional neural recordings. Specifically, researchers model spiking…
Canonical correlation analysis (CCA) is a state-of-the-art method for frequency recognition in steady-state visual evoked potential (SSVEP)-based brain-computer interface (BCI) systems. Various extended methods have been developed, and…
High-concentration time-frequency (TF) representation provides a valuable tool for characterizing multi-component non-stationary signals. In our previous work, we proposed using an instantaneous frequency (IF) equation to sharpen the TF…
A novel approach is developed for discovering directed connectivity between specified pairs of nodes in a high-dimensional network (HDN) of brain signals. To accurately identify causal connectivity for such specified objectives, it is…