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Short-term forecasting is an important tool in understanding environmental processes. In this paper, we incorporate machine learning algorithms into a conditional distribution estimator for the purposes of forecasting tropical cyclone…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-08-19 David B. Huberman , Brian J. Reich , Howard D. Bondell

Accurate flood prediction is crucial for disaster prevention and mitigation. Hydrological data exhibit highly nonlinear temporal patterns and encompass complex spatial relationships between rainfall and flow. Existing flood prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-11 Jun Feng , Xueyi Liu , Jiamin Lu , Pingping Shao

As the peak of the solar cycle approaches in 2025 and the ability of a single geomagnetic storm to significantly alter the orbit of Resident Space Objects (RSOs), techniques for atmospheric density forecasting are vital for space…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-10-27 Julia Briden , Peng Mun Siew , Victor Rodriguez-Fernandez , Richard Linares

Soil moisture (SM) plays a critical role in hydrological and meteorological processes. High-resolution SM can be obtained by combining coarse passive microwave data with fine-scale auxiliary variables. However, the inversion of SM at the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Ziyu Zhou , Keyan Hu , Ling Zhang , Zhaohui Xue , Yutian Fang , Yusha Zheng

In the era of climate change, the distribution of climate variables evolves with changes not limited to the mean value. Consequently, clustering algorithms based on central tendency could produce misleading results when used to summarize…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-19 Carlo Gaetan , Paolo Girardi , Victor Muthama Musau

The multiscale and turbulent nature of Earth's atmosphere has historically rendered accurate weather modeling a hard problem. Recently, there has been an explosion of interest surrounding data-driven approaches to weather modeling, which in…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-07-08 Seth Minor , Daniel A. Messenger , Vanja Dukic , David M. Bortz

Urban areas are increasingly vulnerable to thermal extremes driven by rapid urbanization and climate change. Traditionally, thermal extremes have been monitored using Earth-observing satellites and numerical modeling frameworks. For…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-15 Baris Sarper Tezcan , Hrishikesh Viswanath , Rubab Saher , Daniel Aliaga

Land Surface Temperature (LST) is a key variable for various applications, such as urban climate and ecology studies. Yet, existing satellite-derived LST products provide either high spatial or high temporal resolution, resulting in a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Solomiia Kurchaba , Angela Meyer

This paper introduces a distillation framework for an ensemble of entropy-optimal Sparse Probabilistic Approximation (eSPA) models, trained exclusively on satellite-era observational and reanalysis data to predict ENSO phase up to 24 months…

Computational Physics · Physics 2026-02-20 Michael Groom , Davide Bassetti , Illia Horenko , Terence J. O'Kane

Efficient integration of solar energy into the electricity mix depends on a reliable anticipation of its intermittency. A promising approach to forecast the temporal variability of solar irradiance resulting from the cloud cover dynamics is…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-09-07 Quentin Paletta , Anthony Hu , Guillaume Arbod , Joan Lasenby

Earth System Models (ESMs) are the state of the art for projecting the effects of climate change. However, longstanding uncertainties in their ability to simulate regional and local precipitation extremes and related processes inhibit…

Applications · Statistics 2017-07-20 Evan Kodra , Singdhansu Chatterjee , Stone Chen , Auroop R. Ganguly

Season and their transitions play a critical role in sharpening ecosystems and human activities, yet traditional classifications, meteorological and astronomical, fail to capture the complexities of biosphere-atmosphere interactions.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-01-23 Branislava Lalic , Ana Firanj Sremac

This paper presents a novel spatio-temporal LSTM (SPATIAL) architecture for time series forecasting applied to environmental datasets. The framework was evaluated across multiple sensors and for three different oceanic variables: current…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-08-27 Yihao Hu , Fearghal O'Donncha , Paulito Palmes , Meredith Burke , Ramon Filgueira , Jon Grant

Air quality forecasting has been regarded as the key problem of air pollution early warning and control management. In this paper, we propose a novel deep learning model for air quality (mainly PM2.5) forecasting, which learns the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-26 Shengdong Du , Tianrui Li , Yan Yang , Shi-Jinn Horng

Spatially-explicit estimates of population density, together with appropriate estimates of uncertainty, are required in many management contexts. Density Surface Models (DSMs) are a two-stage approach for estimating spatially-varying…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-25 Mark V Bravington , David L Miller , Sharon L Hedley

Accurate short range weather forecasting has significant implications for various sectors. Machine learning based approaches, e.g., deep learning, have gained popularity in this domain where the existing numerical weather prediction (NWP)…

We present a decision support system for flood early warning and disaster management. It includes the models for data-driven meteorological predictions, for simulation of atmospheric pressure, wind, long sea waves and seiches; a module for…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2014-01-31 V. V. Krzhizhanovskaya , N. B. Melnikova , A. M. Chirkin , S. V. Ivanov , A. V. Boukhanovsky , P. M. A. Sloot

A machine learning architecture composed of convolutional long short-term memory (convLSTM) is developed to predict spatio-temporal parameters in the SACROC oil field, Texas, USA. The spatial parameters are recorded at the end of each month…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-24 Palash Panja , Wei Jia , Alec Nelson , Brian McPherson

Accurate uncertainty information associated with essential climate variables (ECVs) is crucial for reliable climate modeling and understanding the spatiotemporal evolution of the Earth system. In recent years, geoscience and climate…

Applying machine learning models to meteorological data brings many opportunities to the Geosciences field, such as predicting future weather conditions more accurately. In recent years, modeling meteorological data with deep neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-11 Rafaela Castro , Yania M. Souto , Eduardo Ogasawara , Fabio Porto , Eduardo Bezerra