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Estimating the effects of continuous-valued interventions from observational data is a critically important task for climate science, healthcare, and economics. Recent work focuses on designing neural network architectures and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-13 Andrew Jesson , Alyson Douglas , Peter Manshausen , Maëlys Solal , Nicolai Meinshausen , Philip Stier , Yarin Gal , Uri Shalit

The ocean interior regulates Earth's climate but remains sparsely observed due to limited in situ measurements, while satellite observations are restricted to the surface. We present a depth-aware generative framework for reconstructing…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-06 Niloofar Asefi , Tianning Wu , Ruoying He , Ashesh Chattopadhyay

Modeling extreme precipitation and temperature is vital for understanding the impacts of climate change, as hazards like intense rainfall and record-breaking temperatures can result in severe consequences, including floods, droughts, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-13 Remy MacDonald , Benjamin Seiyon Lee , John Foley , Justin Lee

Accurate precipitation forecasting is crucial for early warnings of disasters, such as floods and landslides. Traditional forecasts rely on ground-based radar systems, which are space-constrained and have high maintenance costs.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-12-17 Young-Jae Park , Doyi Kim , Minseok Seo , Hae-Gon Jeon , Yeji Choi

To be able to produce accurate and reliable predictions of visibility has crucial importance in aviation meteorology, as well as in water- and road transportation. Nowadays, several meteorological services provide ensemble forecasts of…

Applications · Statistics 2024-01-25 Sándor Baran , Mária Lakatos

Accurately representing surface precipitation is crucial for the operational use of weather and climate models. Presently, global numerical weather prediction (NWP) models struggle to accurately generate precipitation due to their…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-30 Raul Moreno , Dale Durran

Clouds frequently cover the Earth's surface and pose an omnipresent challenge to optical Earth observation methods. The vast majority of remote sensing approaches either selectively choose single cloud-free observations or employ a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-12-04 Marc Rußwurm , Marco Körner

Accurate medium-range precipitation forecasting is crucial for hydrometeorological risk management and disaster mitigation, yet remains challenging for current numerical weather prediction (NWP) systems. Traditional ensemble systems such as…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-10-24 Tianyi Xiong , Haonan Chen

Although most models for rainfall extremes focus on point-wise values, it is aggregated precipitation over areas up to river catchment scale that is of the most interest. To capture the joint behaviour of precipitation aggregates evaluated…

Applications · Statistics 2023-01-03 Jordan Richards , Jonathan A. Tawn , Simon Brown

In climate science and meteorology, high-resolution local precipitation (rain and snowfall) predictions are limited by the computational costs of simulation-based methods. Statistical downscaling, or super-resolution, is a common workaround…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-06-21 Prakhar Srivastava , Ruihan Yang , Gavin Kerrigan , Gideon Dresdner , Jeremy McGibbon , Christopher Bretherton , Stephan Mandt

Deep learning models for precipitation forecasting often function as black boxes, limiting their adoption in real-world weather prediction. To enhance transparency while maintaining accuracy, we developed an interpretable deep learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-17 Tanmay Ghosh , Shaurabh Anand , Rakesh Gomaji Nannewar , Nithin Nagaraj

As the role played by statistical and computational sciences in climate and environmental modelling and prediction becomes more important, Machine Learning researchers are becoming more aware of the relevance of their work to help tackle…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-23 Federico Amato , Fabian Guignard , Sylvain Robert , Mikhail Kanevski

We introduce a novel forecasting model for crop yields that explicitly accounts for spatio-temporal dependence and the influence of extreme weather and climatic events. Our approach combines Bayesian Structural Time Series for modeling…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-01 Marie Michaelides , Mélina Mailhot , Yongkun Li

Persistent systematic errors in Earth system models (ESMs) arise from difficulties in representing the full diversity of subgrid, multiscale atmospheric convection and turbulence. Machine learning (ML) parameterizations trained on short…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-05-18 Helge Heuer , Tom Beucler , Mierk Schwabe , Julien Savre , Manuel Schlund , Veronika Eyring

Since model bias and associated initialization shock are serious shortcomings that reduce prediction skills in state-of-the-art decadal climate prediction efforts, we pursue a complementary machine-learning-based approach to climate…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-11-09 Xihaier Luo , Balasubramanya T. Nadiga , Yihui Ren , Ji Hwan Park , Wei Xu , Shinjae Yoo

Deep learning models have achieved remarkable progress in precipitation prediction. However, they still face significant challenges in accurately capturing spatial details of radar images, particularly in regions of high precipitation…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-03-26 Li Chaorong , Ling Xudong , Yang Qiang , Qin Fengqing , Huang Yuanyuan

Deep learning is a powerful tool to represent subgrid processes in climate models, but many application cases have so far used idealized settings and deterministic approaches. Here, we develop stochastic parameterizations with calibrated…

The analysis of climate regions is very important for designers and architects, because the increase in density and built up spaces and reduction in open spaces and green lands induce the increase of heat, especially in an urban area,…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2011-01-25 Cristina Serban , Carmen Maftei

Local climate information is crucial for impact assessment and decision-making, yet coarse global climate simulations cannot capture small-scale phenomena. Current statistical downscaling methods infer these phenomena as temporally…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-24 Jonathan Schmidt , Luca Schmidt , Felix Strnad , Nicole Ludwig , Philipp Hennig

Physical systems whose dynamics are governed by partial differential equations (PDEs) find applications in numerous fields, from engineering design to weather forecasting. The process of obtaining the solution from such PDEs may be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-21 Pratyush Bhatt , Yash Kumar , Azzeddine Soulaimani