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We study voter models defined on large sets. Through a perspective emphasizing the martingale property of voter density processes, we prove that in general, their convergence to the Wright-Fisher diffusion only involves certain averages of…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-11-25 Yu-Ting Chen , Jihyeok Choi , J. Theodore Cox

We consider powers of the absolute value of the characteristic polynomial of Haar distributed random orthogonal or symplectic matrices, as well as powers of the exponential of its argument, as a random measure on the unit circle minus small…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2022-09-15 Johannes Forkel , Jonathan P. Keating

Elections for public offices in democratic nations are large-scale examples of collective decision-making. As a complex system with a multitude of interactions among agents, we can anticipate that universal macroscopic patterns could emerge…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-01-14 Ritam Pal , Aanjaneya Kumar , M. S. Santhanam

In this work, we analyze the performance of a simple majority-rule protocol solving a fundamental coordination problem in distributed systems - \emph{binary majority consensus}, in the presence of probabilistic message loss. Using…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-03-09 Ran Tamir , Ariel Livshits , Yonatan Shadmi

Suppose that $A$ is a finite, nonempty subset of a cyclic group of either infinite or prime order. We show that if the difference set $A-A$ is ``not too large'', then there is a nonzero group element with at least as many as…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-19 Vsevolod F. Lev , Ilya D. Shkredov

Population protocols are a relatively novel computational model in which very resource-limited anonymous agents interact in pairs with the goal of computing predicates. We consider the probabilistic version of this model, which naturally…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2022-09-20 Vladyslav Melnychuk

Sudbury (1985) showed for the Maki-Thompson model of rumour spreading that the proportion of the population never hearing the rumour converges in probability to a limiting constant (approximately equal to 0.203) as the population size tends…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-07 Yuchen Duan , Ayalvadi Ganesh , University of Bristol

In this note we consider situations of (multidimensional) spatial majority voting. We show that under some assumptions usual in this literature, with an even number of voters if the core of the voting situation is singleton (and in the…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-08-16 Anindya Bhattacharya , Francesco Ciardiello

Composite likelihood has shown promise in settings where the number of parameters $p$ is large due to its ability to break down complex models into simpler components, thus enabling inference even when the full likelihood is not tractable.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-21 Claudia Di Caterina , Davide Ferrari

We present an alternative voting system that aims at bridging the gap between proportional representative systems and majoritarian, single winner election systems. The system lets people vote for multiple parties, but then assigns each…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2016-12-01 Pietro Speroni di Fenizio , Daniele A. Gewurz

A matching prior at level $1-\alpha$ is a prior such that an associated $1-\alpha$ credible set is also a $1-\alpha$ confidence set. We study the existence of matching priors for general families of credible regions. Our main result gives…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-10 Haosui Duanmu , Daniel M. Roy , Aaron Smith

We show that a determinantal ideal generated by $t$-minors does not contain any nonzero polynomials with $t!/2$ or fewer terms. Geometrically this means that any nonzero polynomial vanishing on all matrices of rank at most $t-1$ has more…

Commutative Algebra · Mathematics 2021-09-03 Thomas Kahle , Finn Wiersig

Fairness in multiwinner elections, a growing line of research in computational social choice, primarily concerns the use of constraints to ensure fairness. Recent work proposed a model to find a diverse \emph{and} representative committee…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-11-28 Kunal Relia

We first present a new stochastic version of the Cucker-Smale model of the emergent behavior in flocks in which the mutual communication between individuals is affected by random factor. Then, the existence and uniqueness of global solution…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-28 Ta Viet Ton , Nguyen Thi Hoai Linh , Atsushi Yagi

We introduce a wide class of deterministic subsets of primes of zero relative density and we prove Roth's Theorem in these sets, namely, we show that any subset of them with positive relative upper density contains infinitely many…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2023-01-02 Leonidas Daskalakis

We establish the general equivalence between rare event process for arbitrary continuous functions whose maximal values are achieved on non-trivial sets, and the entry times distribution for arbitrary measure zero sets. We then use it to…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-05-27 Fan Yang

In many practical scenarios, a population is divided into disjoint groups for better administration, e.g., electorates into political districts, employees into departments, students into school districts, and so on. However, grouping people…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-09-13 Ana-Andreea Stoica , Abhijnan Chakraborty , Palash Dey , Krishna P. Gummadi

A cornerstone of social choice theory is Condorcet's paradox which says that in an election where $n$ voters rank $m$ candidates it is possible that, no matter which candidate is declared the winner, a majority of voters would have…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-04-23 Moses Charikar , Alexandra Lassota , Prasanna Ramakrishnan , Adrian Vetta , Kangning Wang

The notion of probability density for a random function is not as straightforward as in finite-dimensional cases. While a probability density function generally does not exist for functional data, we show that it is possible to develop the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-03-01 Aurore Delaigle , Peter Hall

"Compactness," or the use of shape as a proxy for fairness, has been a long-running theme in the scrutiny of electoral districts; badly-shaped districts are often flagged as examples of the abuse of power known as gerrymandering. The most…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-08-17 Moon Duchin , Bridget Eileen Tenner