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Given a set-valued stochastic process $(V_t)_{t=0}^T$, we say that the martingale selection problem is solvable if there exists an adapted sequence of selectors $\xi_t\in V_t$, admitting an equivalent martingale measure. The aim of this…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Dmitry B. Rokhlin

The past decade has seen a revived interest in the unavoidable or intrinsic noise in biochemical and genetic networks arising from the finite copy number of the participating species. That is, rather than modeling regulatory networks in…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2015-03-17 Aleksandra M. Walczak , Andrew Mugler , Chris H. WIggins

In the Monte Carlo (MC) method statistical noise is usually present. Statistical noise may become dominant in the calculation of a distribution, usually by iteration, but is less Important in calculating integrals. The subject of the…

Computational Physics · Physics 2013-11-08 Mihály Makai , Zoltán Szatmáry

In this paper, we describe a general method for constructing the posterior distribution of an option price. Our framework takes as inputs the prior distributions of the parameters of the stochastic process followed by the underlying, as…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2008-12-02 Henryk Gzyl , Enrique ter Horst , Samuel Malone

This paper focuses on the study of an original combination of the Multilevel Monte Carlo method introduced by Giles [10] and the popular importance sampling technique. To compute the optimal choice of the parameter involved in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-05 Mohamed Ben Alaya , Kaouther Hajji , Ahmed Kebaier

We investigate the problem of pricing derivatives under a fractional stochastic volatility model. We obtain an approximate expression of the derivative price where the stochastic volatility can be composed of deterministic functions of time…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2022-10-28 Yuecai Han , Xudong Zheng

Path integral techniques for the pricing of financial options are mostly based on models that can be recast in terms of a Fokker-Planck differential equation and that, consequently, neglect jumps and only describe drift and diffusion. We…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-11-08 L. Z. J. Liang , D. Lemmens , J. Tempere

Recent empirical studies suggest that the volatility of an underlying price process may have correlations that decay slowly under certain market conditions. In this paper, the volatility is modeled as a stationary process with long-range…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2018-04-17 Josselin Garnier , Knut Solna

Most classical scheduling formulations assume a fixed and known duration for each activity. In this paper, we weaken this assumption, requiring instead that each duration can be represented by an independent random variable with a known…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-10-13 J. C. Beck , N. Wilson

This study investigates the application of machine learning algorithms, particularly in the context of pricing American options using Monte Carlo simulations. Traditional models, such as the Black-Scholes-Merton framework, often fail to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-06 Prudence Djagba , Callixte Ndizihiwe

The standard Black-Scholes theory of option pricing is extended to cope with underlying return fluctuations described by general probability distributions. A Langevin process and its related Fokker-Planck equation are devised to model the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-11 L. Moriconi

We propose the use of statistical emulators for the purpose of valuing mortality-linked contracts in stochastic mortality models. Such models typically require (nested) evaluation of expected values of nonlinear functionals of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-09-15 James Risk , Michael Ludkovski

The aim of this paper is to present a simple stochastic model that accounts for the effects of a long-memory in volatility on option pricing. The starting point is the stochastic Black-Scholes equation involving volatility with long-range…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-12-02 Sergei Fedotov , Abby Tan

These notes survey some aspects of discrete-time chaotic calculus and its applications, based on the chaos representation property for i.i.d. sequences of random variables. The topics covered include the Clark formula and predictable…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-04 Nicolas Privault

We present here a regress later based Monte Carlo approach that uses neural networks for pricing high-dimensional contingent claims. The choice of specific architecture of the neural networks used in the proposed algorithm provides for…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-27 Vikranth Lokeshwar , Vikram Bhardawaj , Shashi Jain

We consider the pricing of derivatives in a setting with trading restrictions, but without any probabilistic assumptions on the underlying model, in discrete and continuous time. In particular, we assume that European put or call options…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-09 Alexander M. G. Cox , Zhaoxu Hou , Jan Obloj

We present an algorithm to approximate the solutions to variational problems where set of admissible functions consists of convex functions. The main motivator behind this numerical method is estimating solutions to Adverse Selection…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2008-03-07 Ivar Ekeland , Santiago Moreno

We apply multilevel Monte Carlo for option pricing problems using exponential L\'{e}vy models with a uniform timestep discretisation to monitor the running maximum required for lookback and barrier options. The numerical results demonstrate…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-05-31 Mike Giles , Yuan Xia

We propose a quasi-Monte Carlo algorithm for pricing knock-out and knock-in barrier options under the Heston (1993) stochastic volatility model. This is done by modifying the LT method from Imai and Tan (2006) for the Heston model such that…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-01-23 Nico Achtsis , Ronald Cools , Dirk Nuyens

We consider a continuous time stochastic optimal control problem under both equality and inequality constraints on the expectation of some functionals of the controlled process. Under a qualification condition, we show that the problem is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-07-09 Laurent Pfeiffer , Xiaolu Tan , Yulong Zhou