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Procedures in assessing the impact of serial dependency on performance analysis are usually built on parametrically specified models. In this paper, we propose a robust, nonparametric approach to carry out this assessment, by computing the…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-06-22 Henry Lam

Observational studies provide invaluable opportunities to draw causal inference, but they may suffer from biases due to pretreatment difference between treated and control units. Matching is a popular approach to reduce observed covariate…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-17 Xinran Li

Many methods are available for assessing the importance of omitted variables in linear regression. These methods typically make different, non-falsifiable assumptions. Hence the data alone cannot tell us which method is most appropriate.…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-05 Paul Diegert , Matthew A. Masten , Alexandre Poirier

This work introduces the use of multivariate global sensitivity analysis for assessing the impact of uncertain electric machine design parameters on efficiency maps and profiles. Contrary to the common approach of applying variance-based…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-04-29 Aylar Partovizadeh , Sebastian Schöps , Dimitrios Loukrezis

A new empirical Bayes approach to variable selection in the context of generalized linear models is developed. The proposed algorithm scales to situations in which the number of putative explanatory variables is very large, possibly much…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-29 Haim Bar , James Booth , Martin T. Wells

Variance-based sensitivity methods can provide insights into large computational models. We present a novel application of sensitivity analysis to the Biomass Scenario Model (BSM) a large and complex system dynamics model of the developing…

Applications · Statistics 2018-03-29 Daniel Inman , Laura J. Vimmerstedt , Brian Bush , Dana Stright , Steve Peterson

This paper presents a new method to compute VaR (value at risk) and perform corresponding variance based sensitivity analysis. VaR has a long history of being applied in stock price prediction and investment portfolio analysis. Traditional…

Applications · Statistics 2015-03-19 Wendy Li

Statistical learning evolves quickly with more and more sophisticated models proposed to incorporate the complicated data structure from modern scientific and business problems. Varying index coefficient models extend varying coefficient…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-05 Li Jialiang , Lv Jing

Global sensitivity analysis is now established as a powerful approach for determining the key random input parameters that drive the uncertainty of model output predictions. Yet the classical computation of the so-called Sobol' indices is…

Computation · Statistics 2016-06-16 L. Le Gratiet , S. Marelli , B. Sudret

We propose a new variable selection procedure for a functional linear model with multiple scalar responses and multiple functional predictors. This method is based on basis expansions of the involved functional predictors and coefficients…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-03 Alban Mina Mbina , Guy Martial Nkiet

Adjusting for covariates is a well established method to estimate the total causal effect of an exposure variable on an outcome of interest. Depending on the causal structure of the mechanism under study there may be different adjustment…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-27 Jack Kuipers , Giusi Moffa

Varying-coefficient functional linear models consider the relationship between a response and a predictor, where the response depends not only the predictor but also an exogenous variable. It then accounts for the relation of the predictors…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-22 Hidetoshi Matsui

New global sensitivity measures based on quantiles of the output are introduced. Such measures can be used for global sensitivity analysis of problems in which quantiles are explicitly the functions of interest and for identification of…

Applications · Statistics 2016-08-09 Sergei Kucherenko , Shufang Song

Varying coefficient models are widely used to characterize dynamic associations between longitudinal outcomes and covariates. Existing work on varying coefficient models, however, all assumes that observation times are independent of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-27 Yu Gu , Yangjianchen Xu , Peijun Sang

Nowadays, the numerical models of real-world structures are more precise, more complex and, of course, more time-consuming. Despite the growth of a computational effort, the exploration of model behaviour remains a complex task. The…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2014-10-17 Eliska Janouchova , Anna Kucerova

The use of a hypothetical generative model was been suggested for causal analysis of observational data. The very assumption of a particular model is a commitment to a certain set of variables and therefore to a certain set of possible…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-06-09 Nimrod Megiddo

An inference procedure is proposed to provide consistent estimators of parameters in a modal regression model with a covariate prone to measurement error. A score-based diagnostic tool exploiting parametric bootstrap is developed to assess…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-02 Qingyang Liu , Xianzheng Huang

We consider the problem where a modeller conducts sensitivity analysis of a model consisting of random input factors, a corresponding random output of interest, and a baseline probability measure. The modeller seeks to understand how the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-06-01 Silvana M. Pesenti

Multivariate regression models and ANOVA are probably the most frequently applied methods of all statistical analyses. We study the case where the predictors are qualitative variables, and the response variable is quantitative. In this…

Applications · Statistics 2021-05-04 Abraham Gutierrez , Sebastian Müller

Statistical inference on the explained variation of an outcome by a set of covariates is of particular interest in practice. When the covariates are of moderate to high-dimension and the effects are not sparse, several approaches have been…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-24 Hua Yun Chen