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We consider causal inference in the presence of unobserved confounding. We study the case where a proxy is available for the unobserved confounding in the form of a network connecting the units. For example, the link structure of a social…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-03 Victor Veitch , Yixin Wang , David M. Blei

Estimating treatment effects, especially individualized treatment effects (ITE), using observational data is challenging due to the complex situations of confounding bias. Existing approaches for estimating treatment effects from…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-07-26 Zheng Feng , Mattia Prosperi , Jiang Bian

Social networks have triumphed in communicating people online, but they have also been exploited to launch influence operations for manipulating society. The deployment of software-controlled accounts (e.g., social bots) has proven to be…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-07-16 Javier Pastor-Galindo , Félix Gómez Mármol , Gregorio Martínez Pérez

We develop flexible, semiparametric estimators of the average treatment effect (ATE) transported to a new population ("target population") that offer potential efficiency gains. Transport may be of value when the ATE may differ across…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-07 Kara E. Rudolph , Nicholas T. Williams , Elizabeth A. Stuart , Ivan Diaz

In this paper, we introduce a unified estimator to analyze various treatment effects in causal inference, including but not limited to the average treatment effect (ATE) and the quantile treatment effect (QTE). The proposed estimator is…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-31 Kuan-Hsun Wu , Li-Pang Chen

As an important problem in causal inference, we discuss the estimation of treatment effects (TEs). Representing the confounder as a latent variable, we propose Intact-VAE, a new variant of variational autoencoder (VAE), motivated by the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-22 Pengzhou Wu , Kenji Fukumizu

Surrogate networks can constitute suitable replacements for real networks, in particular to study dynamical processes on networks, when only incomplete or limited datasets are available. As empirical datasets most often present complex…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-04-17 Giulia Cencetti , Alain Barrat

Individual Treatment Effects (ITE) estimation methods have risen in popularity in the last years. Most of the time, individual effects are better presented as Conditional Average Treatment Effects (CATE). Recently, representation balancing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-30 Ayoub Abraich , Agathe Guilloux , Blaise Hanczar

The purpose of this paper is to provide guidelines for empirical researchers who use a class of bivariate threshold crossing models with dummy endogenous variables. A common practice employed by the researchers is the specification of the…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-03-06 Sukjin Han , Sungwon Lee

Surrogate neural network-based models have been lately trained and used in a variety of science and engineering applications where the number of evaluations of a target function is limited by execution time. In cell phone camera systems,…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2022-06-29 Shantanu Shahane , Erman Guleryuz , Diab W Abueidda , Allen Lee , Joe Liu , Xin Yu , Raymond Chiu , Seid Koric , Narayana R Aluru , Placid M Ferreira

Inverse scattering aims to infer information about a hidden object by using the received scattered waves and training data collected from forward mathematical models. Recent advances in computing have led to increasing attention towards…

Applications · Statistics 2023-05-03 Chih-Li Sung , Yao Song , Ying Hung

In contrast to problems of interference in (exogenous) treatments, models of interference in unit-specific (endogenous) outcomes do not usually produce a reduced-form representation where outcomes depend on other units' treatment status…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-06-17 Konrad Menzel

There are many scenarios where short- and long-term causal effects of an intervention are different. For example, low-quality ads may increase short-term ad clicks but decrease the long-term revenue via reduced clicks. This work, therefore,…

Applications · Statistics 2020-12-23 Lu Cheng , Ruocheng Guo , Huan Liu

Estimating the effects of interventions in networks is complicated when the units are interacting, such that the outcomes for one unit may depend on the treatment assignment and behavior of many or all other units (i.e., there is…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-08-15 Dean Eckles , Brian Karrer , Johan Ugander

In causal inference, interference occurs when the treatment of one unit may affect the outcomes of other units. The goal of this work is to serve as a guide to the use of linear outcome modeling for estimating causal effects in settings…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-01 Eric Tong , Salvador V. Balkus

Estimating individual treatment effects (ITE) from observational data is a critical task across various domains. However, many existing works on ITE estimation overlook the influence of hidden confounders, which remain unobserved at the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-06 Binbin Hu , Zhicheng An , Zhengwei Wu , Ke Tu , Ziqi Liu , Zhiqiang Zhang , Jun Zhou , Yufei Feng , Jiawei Chen

The analysis of network data has gained considerable interest in recent years. This also includes the analysis of large, high-dimensional networks with hundreds and thousands of nodes. While exponential random graph models serve as…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-13 Nadja Klein , Göran Kauermann

This paper studies the problem of optimally allocating treatments in the presence of spillover effects, using information from a (quasi-)experiment. I introduce a method that maximizes the sample analog of average social welfare when…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-04-09 Davide Viviano

User attributes, such as gender and education, face severe incompleteness in social networks. In order to make this kind of valuable data usable for downstream tasks like user profiling and personalized recommendation, attribute inference…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-01 Yadong Zhou , Zhihao Ding , Xiaoming Liu , Chao Shen , Lingling Tong , Xiaohong Guan

Although there is now a large literature on policy evaluation and learning, much of the prior work assumes that the treatment assignment of one unit does not affect the outcome of another unit. Unfortunately, ignoring interference can lead…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-02 Yi Zhang , Kosuke Imai