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This paper proposes a comprehensive and unprecedented framework that streamlines the derivation of exact, compact -- yet tractable -- solutions for the probability density function (PDF) and cumulative distribution function (CDF) of the sum…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-04 Fernando Darío Almeida García , Michel Daoud Yacoub , José Cândido Silveira Santos Filho

A fundamental challenge in probabilistic modeling is to balance expressivity and inference efficiency. Tractable probabilistic models (TPMs) aim to directly address this tradeoff by imposing constraints that guarantee efficient inference of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-10-28 John Leland , YooJung Choi

Probabilistic circuits (PCs) have emerged as a powerful framework to compactly represent probability distributions for efficient and exact probabilistic inference. It has been shown that PCs with a general directed acyclic graph (DAG)…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Lang Yin , Han Zhao

This article addresses the different methods of estimation of the probability mass function (PMF) and the cumulative distribution function (CDF) for the Logarithmic Series distribution. Following estimation methods are considered: uniformly…

Applications · Statistics 2016-06-01 Sudhansu S. Maiti , Indrani Mukherjee , Monojit Das

Under ideal conditions, the probability density function (PDF) of a random variable, such as a sensor measurement, would be well known and amenable to computation and communication tasks. However, this is often not the case, so the user…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-29 Shane Lubold , Clark N. Taylor

Continuous latent variables (LVs) are a key ingredient of many generative models, as they allow modelling expressive mixtures with an uncountable number of components. In contrast, probabilistic circuits (PCs) are hierarchical discrete…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-27 Gennaro Gala , Cassio de Campos , Robert Peharz , Antonio Vergari , Erik Quaeghebeur

We introduce a new functional representation of probability density functions (PDFs) of non-negative random variables via a product of a monomial factor and linear combinations of decaying exponentials with complex exponents. This…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-13 Gregory Beylkin , Lucas Monzon , Ignas Satkauskas

Probabilistic circuits (PCs) are a family of generative models which allows for the computation of exact likelihoods and marginals of its probability distributions. PCs are both expressive and tractable, and serve as popular choices for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-03 Andy Shih , Dorsa Sadigh , Stefano Ermon

Observed clusters should be modelled by considering the distribution function to be a random variable that quantifies the degree of excitation of the system's normal modes. A system of canonical coordinates for the space of DFs is…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2021-08-11 Jun Yan Lau , James Binney

Quantum circuits generating probability distributions has applications in several areas. Areas like finance require quantum circuits that can generate distributions that mimic some given data pattern. Hamiltonian simulations require…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-08-30 Kalyan Dasgupta , Binoy Paine

We present a computational framework for piecewise constant functions (PCFs) and use this for several types of computations that are useful in statistics, e.g., averages, similarity matrices, and so on. We give a linear-time,…

Computation · Statistics 2024-04-11 Björn H. Wehlin

Normalizing flows model a complex target distribution in terms of a bijective transform operating on a simple base distribution. As such, they enable tractable computation of a number of important statistical quantities, particularly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-01 Chandramouli Shama Sastry , Andreas Lehrmann , Marcus Brubaker , Alexander Radovic

This paper delves into the significance of the tomographic probability density function (pdf) representation of quantum states, shedding light on the special classes of pdfs that can be tomograms. Instead of using wave functions or density…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-01-23 L. A. Markovich , J. Urbanetz , V. I. Man'ko

Conditional density estimation (CDE) is a fundamental task in machine learning that aims to model the full conditional law $\mathbb{P}(\mathbf{y} \mid \mathbf{x})$, beyond mere point prediction (e.g., mean, mode). A core challenge is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-27 Chenglong Song , Mazharul Islam , Lin Wang , Bing Chen , Bo Yang

Conformal predictive systems are a recent modification of conformal predictors that output, in regression problems, probability distributions for labels of test observations rather than set predictions. The extra information provided by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-05 Vladimir Vovk , Ivan Petej , Ilia Nouretdinov , Valery Manokhin , Alex Gammerman

We continue to explore the hypothesis that neuronal populations represent and process analog variables in terms of probability density functions (PDFs). A neural assembly encoding the joint probability density over relevant analog variables…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 M. J. Barber , J. W. Clark , C. H. Anderson

Probabilistic circuits (PCs) are powerful probabilistic models that enable exact and tractable inference, making them highly suitable for probabilistic reasoning and inference tasks. While dominant in neural networks, representation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-29 Steven Braun , Sahil Sidheekh , Antonio Vergari , Martin Mundt , Sriraam Natarajan , Kristian Kersting

Probabilistic circuits (PCs) are models that allow exact and tractable probabilistic inference. In contrast to neural networks, they are often assumed to be well-calibrated and robust to out-of-distribution (OOD) data. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-13 Fabrizio Ventola , Steven Braun , Zhongjie Yu , Martin Mundt , Kristian Kersting

The cumulative distribution and quantile functions for the two-sided one sample Kolmogorov-Smirnov probability distributions are used for goodness-of-fit testing. The CDF is notoriously difficult to explicitly describe and to compute, and…

Computation · Statistics 2018-03-02 Paul van Mulbregt

We derive a fully analytical, one-line closed-form expression for the cumulative distribution function (CDF) of the product of two correlated zero-mean normal random variables, avoiding any series representation. This result complements the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-15 Erdinc Akyildirim , Alper Hekimoglu