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Crime hotspot prediction is critical for ensuring urban safety and effective law enforcement, it remains challenging due to complex spatial dependencies that are inherent in criminal activities. The traditional approaches use classical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-30 Tehreem Zubair , Syeda Kisaa Fatima , Noman Ahmed , Asifullah Khan

Spatiotemporal graph neural networks (STGNNs) have shown promising results in many domains, from forecasting to epidemiology. However, understanding the dynamics learned by these models and explaining their behaviour is significantly more…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-08 Michele Guerra , Simone Scardapane , Filippo Maria Bianchi

Recent years have witnessed the rapid development of deep-learning-based, graph-neural-network-based forecasting methods for modern intelligent transportation systems. However, most existing work focuses exclusively on capturing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-08 Lixiang Fan , Bohao Li , Tao Zou , Junchen Ye , Bowen Du

As an important part of intelligent transportation systems, traffic forecasting has attracted tremendous attention from academia and industry. Despite a lot of methods being proposed for traffic forecasting, it is still difficult to model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-07 Le Zhao , Mingcai Chen , Yuntao Du , Haiyang Yang , Chongjun Wang

Multivariate time series forecasting (MTSF) often faces challenges from missing variables, which hinder conventional spatial-temporal graph neural networks in modeling inter-variable correlations. While GinAR addresses variable missing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-10 Shusen Ma , Tianhao Zhang , Qijiu Xia , Yun-Bo Zhao

Spatio-temporal prediction is crucial in numerous real-world applications, including traffic forecasting and crime prediction, which aim to improve public transportation and safety management. Many state-of-the-art models demonstrate the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-30 Jiabin Tang , Lianghao Xia , Jie Hu , Chao Huang

Real-time crime forecasting is important. However, accurate prediction of when and where the next crime will happen is difficult. No known physical model provides a reasonable approximation to such a complex system. Historical crime data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-27 Bao Wang , Penghang Yin , Andrea L. Bertozzi , P. Jeffrey Brantingham , Stanley J. Osher , Jack Xin

Multivariate Time Series (MTS) forecasting plays a vital role in a wide range of applications. Recently, Spatial-Temporal Graph Neural Networks (STGNNs) have become increasingly popular MTS forecasting methods due to their state-of-the-art…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-22 Zezhi Shao , Zhao Zhang , Fei Wang , Wei Wei , Yongjun Xu

With the acceleration of urbanization, the spatiotemporal characteristics of criminal activities have become increasingly complex. Accurate prediction of crime distribution is crucial for optimizing the allocation of police resources and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-02 Zhenkai Qin , BaoZhong Wei , Caifeng Gao

Spatio-temporal processes often exhibit highly heterogeneous and non-intuitive responses to localized disruptions, limiting the effectiveness of conventional message passing approaches in modeling local heterogeneity. We reformulate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Abeer Mostafa , Raneen Younis , Zahra Ahmadi

Temporal networks are suitable for modeling complex evolving systems. It has a wide range of applications, such as social network analysis, recommender systems, and epidemiology. Recently, modeling such dynamic systems has drawn great…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-11-15 Jiayun Wu , Tao Jia , Yansong Wang , Li Tao

Accurate and reliable prediction has profound implications to a wide range of applications. In this study, we focus on an instance of spatio-temporal learning problem--traffic prediction--to demonstrate an advanced deep learning model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-27 Pingping Dong , Xiao-Lin Wang , Indranil Bose , Kam K. H. Ng , Xiaoning Zhang , Xiaoge Zhang

Time-evolving traffic flow forecasting are playing a vital role in intelligent transportation systems and smart cities. However, the dynamic traffic flow forecasting is a highly nonlinear problem with complex temporal-spatial dependencies.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Zhenan Lin , Yuni Lai , Wai Lun Lo , Richard Tai-Chiu Hsung , Harris Sik-Ho Tsang , Xiaoyu Xue , Kai Zhou , Yulin Zhu

Modeling and predicting temporal point processes (TPPs) is critical in domains such as neuroscience, epidemiology, finance, and social sciences. We introduce the Spiking Dynamic Graph Network (SDGN), a novel framework that leverages the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-03 Biswadeep Chakraborty , Hemant Kumawat , Beomseok Kang , Saibal Mukhopadhyay

Accurate traffic forecasting is essential for smart cities to achieve traffic control, route planning, and flow detection. Although many spatial-temporal methods are currently proposed, these methods are deficient in capturing the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-07 Aoyu Liu , Yaying Zhang

In smart mobility, large networks of geographically distributed sensors produce vast amounts of high-frequency spatio-temporal data that must be processed in real time to avoid major disruptions. Traditional centralized approaches are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-23 Ivan Kralj , Lodovico Giaretta , Gordan Ježić , Ivana Podnar Žarko , Šarūnas Girdzijauskas

Traffic forecasting is one of the most fundamental problems in transportation science and artificial intelligence. The key challenge is to effectively model complex spatial-temporal dependencies and correlations in modern traffic data.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-28 Haiyang Liu , Chunjiang Zhu , Detian Zhang , Qing Li

Travel time estimation is one of the core tasks for the development of intelligent transportation systems. Most previous works model the road segments or intersections separately by learning their spatio-temporal characteristics to estimate…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-11-16 Guangyin Jin , Huan Yan , Fuxian Li , Jincai Huang , Yong Li

Existing traffic volume estimation methods typically address either forecasting traffic on sensor-equipped roads or spatially imputing missing volumes using nearby sensors. While forecasting models generally disregard unmonitored roads by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-17 Léo Hein , Giovanni de Nunzio , Giovanni Chierchia , Aurélie Pirayre , Laurent Najman

Modern IoT deployments for environmental sensing produce high volume spatiotemporal data to support downstream tasks such as forecasting, typically powered by machine learning models. While existing filtering and strategic deployment…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-02 Ragini Gupta , Naman Raina , Bo Chen , Li Chen , Claudiu Danilov , Josh Eckhardt , Keyshla Bernard , Klara Nahrstedt