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Epidemics are emergent phenomena depending on the epidemiological characteristics of pathogens and the interaction and movement of people. Public transit systems have provided much important information about the movement of people, but…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-09-24 Zhanwei Du , Chao Gao , Yuan Bai , Yongjian Yang , Petter Holme

In recent years it has become possible to collect GPS data from drivers and to incorporate this data into automobile insurance pricing for the driver. This data is continuously collected and processed nightly into metadata consisting of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-11 Allen R. Williams , Yoolim Jin , Anthony Duer , Tuka Alhanai , Mohammad Ghassemi

Understanding passengers' path choice behavior in urban rail systems is a prerequisite for effective operations and planning. This paper attempts bridging the gap by proposing a probabilistic approach to infer passengers' path choice…

Applications · Statistics 2023-01-11 Baichuan Mo , ZhenLiang Ma , Haris N. Koutsopoulos , Jinhua Zhao

Interventions to increase active commuting have been recommended as a method to increase population physical activity, but evidence is mixed. Social norms related to travel behaviour may influence the uptake of active commuting…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2022-08-11 Robert Greener , Daniel Lewis , Jon Reades , Simon Miles , Steven Cummins

Randomized controlled trials (RCT's) allow researchers to estimate causal effects in an experimental sample with minimal identifying assumptions. However, to generalize or transport a causal effect from an RCT to a target population,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-08 Melody Huang

Transmission risk of air-borne diseases in public transportation systems is a concern. The paper proposes a modified Wells-Riley model for risk analysis in public transportation systems to capture the passenger flow characteristics,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-20 Jiali Zhou , Haris N. Koutsopoulos

Accurate Travel Time Estimation (TTE) is critical for ride-hailing platforms, where errors directly impact user experience and operational efficiency. While existing production systems excel at holistic route-level dependency modeling, they…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-07 Wenzhao Jiang , Jindong Han , Ruiqian Han , Hao Liu

In this study, we introduce a novel and comprehensive extension of a Bayesian spatio-temporal disease mapping model that explicitly accounts for gender-specific effects of meteorological exposures. Leveraging fine-scale weekly mortality and…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-18 Corinna Perchtold , Julia Eisenberg , Philipp Otto

Mobility-on-Demand (MoD) systems are generally designed and analyzed for a fixed and exogenous demand, but such frameworks fail to answer questions about the impact of these services on the urban transportation system, such as the effect of…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-10-09 Yang Liu , Prateek Bansal , Ricardo Daziano , Samitha Samaranayake

Observational biases distort our view of nature, such that the patterns we see within a surveyed population of interest are often unrepresentative of the truth we seek. Transiting planets currently represent the most informative data set on…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2016-09-21 David M. Kipping , Emily Sandford

Computing the return times of extreme events and assessing the impact of climate change on such return times is fundamental to extreme event attribution studies. However, the rarity of such events in the observational record makes this task…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-12-03 Clément Le Priol , Joy M. Monteiro , Freddy Bouchet

In recent years, the climate change research community has become highly interested in describing the anthropogenic influence on extreme weather events, commonly termed "event attribution." Limitations in the observational record and in…

Accurate modeling of ridesourcing mode choices is essential for designing and implementing effective traffic management policies for reducing congestion, improving mobility, and allocating resources more efficiently. Existing models for…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-09-24 Mustafa Sameen , Xiaojian Zhang , Xilei Zhao

Environmental conditions in various regions can have a severely negative impact on the longevity and durability of the civil engineering infrastructures. In 2018, a published paper used 1971 to 2010 NOAA data from the contiguous United…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2022-02-28 Tao Liao , Paul Kepley , Indraneel Kumar , Samuel Labi

Assessing climate risk and its potential impacts on our cities and economies is of fundamental importance. Extreme weather events, such as hurricanes, floods, and storm surges can lead to catastrophic damages. We propose a flexible approach…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-06 Chi Truong , Matteo Malavasi , Han Li , Stefan Trueck , Pavel V. Shevchenko

Marine invasive species spread through global shipping and generate substantial ecological and economic impacts. Traditional risk assessments require detailed records of ballast water and traffic patterns, which are often incomplete,…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-11-07 Gabriel Spadon , Vaishnav Vaidheeswaran , Claudio DiBacco

Mobility and transport, by their nature, involve crowds and require the coordination of multiple stakeholders - such as policy-makers, planners, transport operators, and the travelers themselves. However, traditional approaches have been…

Many rare weather events, including hurricanes, droughts, and floods, dramatically impact human life. To accurately forecast these events and characterize their climatology requires specialized mathematical techniques to fully leverage the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-07-15 Justin Finkel , Dorian Abbot , Jonathan Weare

A high-quality experimental dataset is often much smaller than a corresponding observational dataset. When this holds with possibly biased measurements of the outcome of interest in the latter, we propose an estimation and inference…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-19 Harrison H Li

Multiple lines of evidence strongly suggest that infection hotspots, where a single individual infects many others, play a key role in the transmission dynamics of COVID-19. However, most of the existing epidemiological models fail to…