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In this work we introduce a manifold learning-based surrogate modeling framework for uncertainty quantification in high-dimensional stochastic systems. Our first goal is to perform data mining on the available simulation data to identify a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-11 Dimitris G. Giovanis , Dimitrios Loukrezis , Ioannis G. Kevrekidis , Michael D. Shields

MAP perturbation models have emerged as a powerful framework for inference in structured prediction. Such models provide a way to efficiently sample from the Gibbs distribution and facilitate predictions that are robust to random noise. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-28 Asish Ghoshal , Jean Honorio

For large model spaces, the potential entrapment of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) based methods with spike-and-slab priors poses significant challenges in posterior computation in regression models. On the other hand, maximum a posteriori…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-25 Shamriddha De , Joyee Ghosh

We investigate the frequentist properties of Bayesian procedures for estimation based on the horseshoe prior in the sparse multivariate normal means model. Previous theoretical results assumed that the sparsity level, that is, the number of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-14 Stéphanie van der Pas , Botond Szabó , Aad van der Vaart

We study full Bayesian procedures for high-dimensional linear regression under sparsity constraints. The prior is a mixture of point masses at zero and continuous distributions. Under compatibility conditions on the design matrix, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-15 Ismaël Castillo , Johannes Schmidt-Hieber , Aad van der Vaart

Bayesian optimization is a powerful tool for optimizing an expensive-to-evaluate black-box function. In particular, the effectiveness of expected improvement (EI) has been demonstrated in a wide range of applications. However, theoretical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-01 Shion Takeno , Yu Inatsu , Masayuki Karasuyama , Ichiro Takeuchi

We consider the inverse problem of recovering an unknown functional parameter $u$ in a separable Banach space, from a noisy observation $y$ of its image through a known possibly non-linear ill-posed map ${\mathcal G}$. The data $y$ is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-14 Sergios Agapiou , Martin Burger , Masoumeh Dashti , Tapio Helin

Sparse signal reconstruction algorithms have attracted research attention due to their wide applications in various fields. In this paper, we present a simple Bayesian approach that utilizes the sparsity constraint and a priori statistical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-05 Ahmed A. Quadeer , Tareq Y. Al-Naffouri

Surrogate modelling techniques have opened up new possibilities to overcome the limitations of computationally intensive numerical models in various areas of engineering and science. However, while fundamental in many engineering…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-02-20 José Calos García-Marino , Carmen Calvo-Jurado , Enrique García-Macías

We propose a Bayesian methodology for estimating spiked covariance matrices with jointly sparse structure in high dimensions. The spiked covariance matrix is reparametrized in terms of the latent factor model, where the loading matrix is…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-31 Fangzheng Xie , Yanxun Xu , Carey E. Priebe , Joshua Cape

Bayesian hierarchical models have been demonstrated to provide efficient algorithms for finding sparse solutions to ill-posed inverse problems. The models comprise typically a conditionally Gaussian prior model for the unknown, augmented by…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-03-31 Daniela Calvetti , Erkki Somersalo

This paper presents new results for the (partial) maximum a posteriori (MAP) problem in Bayesian networks, which is the problem of querying the most probable state configuration of some of the network variables given evidence. First, it is…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2010-07-30 Cassio P. de Campos

MAP is the problem of finding a most probable instantiation of a set of variables in a Bayesian network given some evidence. Unlike computing posterior probabilities, or MPE (a special case of MAP), the time and space complexity of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-12-12 James D. Park , Adnan Darwiche

Purpose: Undersampling is used to reduce the scan time for high-resolution 3D magnetic resonance imaging. In order to achieve better image quality and avoid manual parameter tuning, we propose a probabilistic Bayesian approach to recover…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-20 Shuai Huang , James J. Lah , Jason W. Allen , Deqiang Qiu

The Bayesian formulation of inverse problems is attractive for three primary reasons: it provides a clear modelling framework; means for uncertainty quantification; and it allows for principled learning of hyperparameters. The posterior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-14 Matthew M. Dunlop , Tapio Helin , Andrew M. Stuart

This paper proposes a CS scheme that exploits the representational power of restricted Boltzmann machines and deep learning architectures to model the prior distribution of the sparsity pattern of signals belonging to the same class. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-08-02 Luisa F. Polania , Kenneth E. Barner

A crucial aspect of mass-mapping, via weak lensing, is quantification of the uncertainty introduced during the reconstruction process. Properly accounting for these errors has been largely ignored to date. We present a new method to…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2021-12-16 Matthew A. Price , Jason D. McEwen , Xiaohao Cai , Thomas D. Kitching , Christopher G. R. Wallis

Efficiently finding the maximum a posteriori (MAP) configuration of a graphical model is an important problem which is often implemented using message passing algorithms. The optimality of such algorithms is only well established for…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-05-14 Tony S. Jebara

Surrogate modeling of costly mathematical models representing physical systems is challenging since it is typically not possible to create a large experimental design. Thus, it is beneficial to constrain the approximation to adhere to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-06 Lukáš Novák , Himanshu Sharma , Michael D. Shields

Reliability analysis typically relies on deterministic simulators, which yield repeatable outputs for identical inputs. However, many real-world systems display intrinsic randomness, requiring stochastic simulators whose outputs are random…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-08 A. Pires , M. Moustapha , S. Marelli , B. Sudret
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