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Optimal transport has become part of the standard quantitative economics toolbox. It is the framework of choice to describe models of matching with transfers, but beyond that, it allows to: extend quantile regression; identify discrete…

General Economics · Economics 2021-07-13 Alfred Galichon

Counterfactuals have become a popular technique nowadays for interacting with black-box machine learning models and understanding how to change a particular instance to obtain a desired outcome from the model. However, most existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-29 Philip Naumann , Eirini Ntoutsi

We introduce an approach to counterfactual inference based on merging information from multiple datasets. We consider a causal reformulation of the statistical marginal problem: given a collection of marginal structural causal models (SCMs)…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-07-18 Luigi Gresele , Julius von Kügelgen , Jonas M. Kübler , Elke Kirschbaum , Bernhard Schölkopf , Dominik Janzing

We present a simple proof of the entropy-power inequality using an optimal transportation argument which takes the form of a simple change of variables. The same argument yields a reverse inequality involving a conditional differential…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-03-07 Olivier Rioul

Counterfactual learning is emerging as an important paradigm, rooted in causality, which promises to alleviate common issues of graph neural networks (GNNs), such as fairness and interpretability. However, as in many real-world application…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-03 Dazhuo Qiu , Jinwen Chen , Arijit Khan , Yan Zhao , Francesco Bonchi

Adapted or causal transport theory aims to extend classical optimal transport from probability measures to stochastic processes. On a technical level, the novelty is to restrict to couplings which are bicausal, i.e. satisfy a property which…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-21 Mathias Beiglböck , Gudmund Pammer , Stefan Schrott

We study counterfactual regression, which aims to map input features to outcomes under hypothetical scenarios that differ from those observed in the data. This is particularly useful for decision-making when adapting to sudden shifts in…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-08 Kwangho Kim

Partial graph matching extends traditional graph matching by allowing some nodes to remain unmatched, enabling applications in more complex scenarios. However, this flexibility introduces additional complexity, as both the subset of nodes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-26 Gathika Ratnayaka , James Nichols , Qing Wang

We propose a novel diagrammatic method for computing transport coefficients in relativistic quantum field theory. The self-consistent equation for summing the diagrams with pinch singularities has a form of a linearized kinetic equation as…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2011-04-22 Yoshimasa Hidaka , Teiji Kunihiro

Extreme economic outcomes are not shaped by tails alone. They are also shaped by unequal access to opportunities. This paper develops a theory of heterogeneous extremes by taking the distribution of opportunity access as the object of…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-03-24 I. Sebastian Buhai

In this paper, we propose a flow-based method for learning all-to-all transfer maps among conditional distributions that approximates pairwise optimal transport. The proposed method addresses the challenge of handling the case of continuous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-29 Kotaro Ikeda , Masanori Koyama , Jinzhe Zhang , Kohei Hayashi , Kenji Fukumizu

Sinkhorn algorithm is the de-facto standard approximation algorithm for optimal transport, which has been applied to a variety of applications, including image processing and natural language processing. In theory, the proof of its…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2025-01-14 Kazuki Watanabe , Noboru Isobe

We introduce the proximal optimal transport divergence, a novel discrepancy measure that interpolates between information divergences and optimal transport distances via an infimal convolution formulation. This divergence provides a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-11 Ricardo Baptista , Panagiota Birmpa , Markos A. Katsoulakis , Luc Rey-Bellet , Benjamin J. Zhang

Counterfactual explanations are the de facto standard when tasked with interpreting decisions of (opaque) predictive models. Their generation is often subject to technical and domain-specific constraints that aim to maximise their real-life…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-10 Kacper Sokol , Edward Small , Yueqing Xuan

This paper is devoted to variational problems on the set of probability measures which involve optimal transport between unequal dimensional spaces. In particular, we study the minimization of a functional consisting of the sum of a term…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2019-11-18 Luca Nenna , Brendan Pass

Counterfactuals have been established as a popular explainability technique which leverages a set of minimal edits to alter the prediction of a classifier. When considering conceptual counterfactuals on images, the edits requested should…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-06 Angeliki Dimitriou , Nikolaos Chaidos , Maria Lymperaiou , Giorgos Stamou

AI-driven outcomes can be challenging for end-users to understand. Explanations can address two key questions: "Why this outcome?" (factual) and "Why not another?" (counterfactual). While substantial efforts have been made to formalize…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-03-21 Suryani Lim , Henri Prade , Gilles Richard

Deep learning models are widely used in traffic forecasting and have achieved state-of-the-art prediction accuracy. However, the black-box nature of those models makes the results difficult to interpret by users. This study aims to leverage…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-16 Rushan Wang , Yanan Xin , Yatao Zhang , Fernando Perez-Cruz , Martin Raubal

Machine learning models that operate on graph-structured data, such as molecular graphs or social networks, often make accurate predictions but offer little insight into why certain predictions are made. Counterfactual explanations address…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-21 David Bechtoldt , Sidney Bender

Counterfactual reasoning -- envisioning hypothetical scenarios, or possible worlds, where some circumstances are different from what (f)actually occurred (counter-to-fact) -- is ubiquitous in human cognition. Conventionally,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-05-31 Julius von Kügelgen , Abdirisak Mohamed , Sander Beckers