Related papers: Inventory problems and the parametric measure $m_{…
A classical portfolio theory deals with finding the optimal proportion in which an agent invests a wealth in a risk-free asset and a probabilistic risky asset. Formulating and solving the problem depend on how the risk is represented and…
The most fundamental problem in statistics is the inference of an unknown probability distribution from a finite number of samples. For a specific observed data set, answers to the following questions would be desirable: (1) Estimation:…
In this paper, an attempt has been made to develop a simple leakage inventory model without shortages with instantaneous or finite production rate under fuzzy environment. In the present day scenario, it is difficult to decide the exact…
The paper deals with a lot sizing problem with ill-known demands modeled by fuzzy intervals whose membership functions are possibility distributions for the values of the uncertain demands. Optimization criteria, in the setting of…
Fuzzy optimization deals with the problem of determining 'optimal'solutions of an optimization problem when some of the elements that appear in the problem are not precise. In real situations it is usual to have information, in systems…
It is well known over the recent years that measuring the success of projects under the umbrella of project management is inextricably linked with the associated cost, time, and quality. Most of the previous researches in the field assigned…
This paper is to consider the problems of estimation and recognition from the perspective of sigma-max inference (probability-possibility inference), with a focus on discovering whether some of the unknown quantities involved could be more…
The Best-Worst Method (BWM) is a well-known Multi-Criteria Decision-Making (MCDM) method used to calculate criteria-weights in many real-life applications. It was observed that the decision judgments used to calculate weights in BWM may be…
Fisher's fiducial argument is widely viewed as a failed version of Neyman's theory of confidence limits. But Fisher's goal -- Bayesian-like probabilistic uncertainty quantification without priors -- was more ambitious than Neyman's, and…
The optimization on the structure of process of information management under uncertain environment has attracted lots of attention from researchers around the world. Nevertheless, how to obtain accurate and rational evaluation from…
Motivated by parametric models for which the likelihood is analytically unavailable, numerically unstable, or prohibitively expensive to compute or optimize, we develop a prior- and likelihood-free framework for fully probabilistic…
This article includes a discussion of the ``lost submarine problem", following Morey \emph{et al} (2016). As the title of that paper suggests (\emph{The fallacy of placing confidence in confidence intervals}), the example is intended to…
This article addresses the fuzzy logistic regression model under conditions of multicollinearity, which causes instability and inflated variance in parameter estimation. In this model, both the response variable and parameters are…
Robot reliability has become an increasingly important issue in the last few years due to increased application of robots in many industries (like automobile industry) under hazardous and unstructured environment. As the component failure…
We address the problem of computing reliable policies in reinforcement learning problems with limited data. In particular, we compute policies that achieve good returns with high confidence when deployed. This objective, known as the…
The problem of many hypotheses logarithmically asymptotically optimal (LAO) testing for a model consisting of three or more independent objects is solved. It is supposed that $M$ probability distributions are known and each object…
It is known that when the multicollinearity exists in the logistic regression model, variance of maximum likelihood estimator is unstable. As a remedy, in the context of biased shrinkage ridge estimation, Chang (2015) introduced an almost…
The inferential model (IM) framework produces data-dependent, non-additive degrees of belief about the unknown parameter that are provably valid. The validity property guarantees, among other things, that inference procedures derived from…
We introduce a novel strategy to address the issue of demand estimation in single-item single-period stochastic inventory optimisation problems. Our strategy analytically combines confidence interval analysis and inventory optimisation. We…
The classical B\"{u}hlmann credibility model has been widely applied to premium estimation for group insurance contracts and other insurance types. In this paper, we develop a robust B\"{u}hlmann credibility model using the winsorized…