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We consider the problem of designing almost optimal predictors for dynamical systems from a finite sequence of noisy observations and incomplete knowledge of the dynamics and the noise. We first discuss the properties of the optimal (Bayes)…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-07-30 Marian Anghel , Ingo Steinwart

Study samples often differ from the target populations of inference and policy decisions in non-random ways. Researchers typically believe that such departures from random sampling -- due to changes in the population over time and space, or…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-20 Tamara Broderick , Ryan Giordano , Rachael Meager

A judicious combination of dictionary learning methods, block sparsity and source recovery algorithm are used in a hierarchical manner to identify the noises and the speakers from a noisy conversation between two people. Conversations are…

Sound · Computer Science 2016-10-31 K V Vijay Girish , A G Ramakrishnan , T V Ananthapadmanabha

Instrumental variable methods are among the most commonly used causal inference approaches to deal with unmeasured confounders in observational studies. The presence of invalid instruments is the primary concern for practical applications,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-18 Zijian Guo

This paper aims to propose and theoretically analyze a new distributed scheme for sparse linear regression and feature selection. The primary goal is to learn the few causal features of a high-dimensional dataset based on noisy observations…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-05 Hanie Barghi , Amir Najafi , Seyed Abolfazl Motahari

Inspired by the concept of active learning, we propose active inference$\unicode{x2013}$a methodology for statistical inference with machine-learning-assisted data collection. Assuming a budget on the number of labels that can be collected,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-09 Tijana Zrnic , Emmanuel J. Candès

We study private prediction where differential privacy is achieved by adding noise to the outputs of a non-private model. Existing methods rely on noise proportional to the global sensitivity of the model, often resulting in sub-optimal…

Valid causal inference in observational studies often requires controlling for confounders. However, in practice measurements of confounders may be noisy, and can lead to biased estimates of causal effects. We show that we can reduce the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-05 Nathan Kallus , Xiaojie Mao , Madeleine Udell

Prediction, where observed data is used to quantify uncertainty about a future observation, is a fundamental problem in statistics. Prediction sets with coverage probability guarantees are a common solution, but these do not provide…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-22 Leonardo Cella , Ryan Martin

Causal inference deals with identifying which random variables "cause" or control other random variables. Recent advances on the topic of causal inference based on tools from statistical estimation and machine learning have resulted in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-08-23 Matt J. Kusner , Yu Sun , Karthik Sridharan , Kilian Q. Weinberger

In a typical optimization problem, the task is to pick one of a number of options with the lowest cost or the highest value. In practice, these cost/value quantities often come through processes such as measurement or machine learning,…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2022-07-20 Mohammad Mahdian , Jieming Mao , Kangning Wang

We provide adaptive confidence intervals on a parameter of interest in the presence of nuisance parameters when some of the nuisance parameters have known signs. The confidence intervals are adaptive in the sense that they tend to be short…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-09-20 Philipp Ketz , Adam McCloskey

Regression problems are traditionally analyzed via univariate characteristics like the regression function, scale function and marginal density of regression errors. These characteristics are useful and informative whenever the association…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Sam Efromovich

Recovery of the sparsity pattern (or support) of an unknown sparse vector from a small number of noisy linear measurements is an important problem in compressed sensing. In this paper, the high-dimensional setting is considered. It is shown…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-02-06 Galen Reeves , Michael Gastpar

Sample selection is a prevalent method in learning with noisy labels, where small-loss data are typically considered as correctly labeled data. However, this method may not effectively identify clean hard examples with large losses, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-29 Suqin Yuan , Lei Feng , Tongliang Liu

This paper offers a new approach to address the model uncertainty in (potentially) divergent-dimensional single-index models (SIMs). We propose a model-averaging estimator based on cross-validation, which allows the dimension of covariates…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-14 Jiahui Zou , Wendun Wang , Xinyu Zhang , Guohua Zou

The clinical interest is often to measure the volume of a structure, which is typically derived from a segmentation. In order to evaluate and compare segmentation methods, the similarity between a segmentation and a predefined ground truth…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-11-09 Jeroen Bertels , David Robben , Dirk Vandermeulen , Paul Suetens

Measurement noise is an integral part while collecting data of a physical process. Thus, noise removal is a necessary step to draw conclusions from these data, and it often becomes quite essential to construct dynamical models using these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-24 Pawan Goyal , Peter Benner

In the regression framework, the empirical measure based on the responses resulting from the nearest neighbors, among the covariates, to a given point $x$ is introduced and studied as a central statistical quantity. First, the associated…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-11 François Portier

The prediction of disease risk factors can screen vulnerable groups for effective prevention and treatment, so as to reduce their morbidity and mortality. Machine learning has a great demand for high-quality labeling information, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-26 Yang Lin , Muqing Li , Ziyi Zhu , Yinqiu Feng , Lingxi Xiao , Zexi Chen