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We consider the problem of superhedging under volatility uncertainty for an investor allowed to dynamically trade the underlying asset, and statically trade European call options for all possible strikes with some given maturity. This…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-01-17 A. Galichon , P. Henry-Labordère , N. Touzi

Bayesian methods have proved powerful in many applications for the inference of model parameters from data. These methods are based on Bayes' theorem, which itself is deceptively simple. However, in practice the computations required are…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-10 Michael A. Chappell , Mark W. Woolrich

Importance sampling has been known as a powerful tool to reduce the variance of Monte Carlo estimator for rare event simulation. Based on the criterion of minimizing the variance of Monte Carlo estimator within a parametric family, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-02-11 Cheng-Der Fuh , Huei-Wen Teng , Ren-Her Wang

We consider the stochastic optimization problem where a convex function is minimized observing recursively the gradients. We introduce SAEW, a new procedure that accelerates exponential weights procedures with the slow rate $1/\sqrt{T}$ to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-18 Pierre Gaillard , Olivier Wintenberger

In this paper, we develop a robust economic model predictive controller for the containment of stochastic Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Vigilant (SEIV) epidemic processes which drives the process to extinction quickly, while minimizing the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-05-14 Nicholas J. Watkins , Cameron Nowzari , George J. Pappas

Epidemics are inherently stochastic, and stochastic models provide an appropriate way to describe and analyse such phenomena. Given temporal incidence data consisting of, for example, the number of new infections or removals in a given time…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-24 Sam A. Whitaker , Andrew Golightly , Colin S. Gillespie , Theodore Kypraios

In a financial market model, we consider the variance-optimal semi-static hedging of a given contingent claim, a generalization of the classic variance-optimal hedging. To obtain a tractable formula for the expected squared hedging error…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-19 Paolo Di Tella , Martin Haubold , Martin Keller-Ressel

Process variations are a major concern in today's chip design since they can significantly degrade chip performance. To predict such degradation, existing circuit and MEMS simulators rely on Monte Carlo algorithms, which are typically too…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2016-11-18 Zheng Zhang , Xiu Yang , Giovanni Marucci , Paolo Maffezzoni , Ibrahim , M. Elfadel , George Em Karniadakis , Luca Daniel

Empirical risk minimization (ERM) and distributionally robust optimization (DRO) are popular approaches for solving stochastic optimization problems that appear in operations management and machine learning. Existing generalization error…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-09-26 Garud Iyengar , Henry Lam , Tianyu Wang

This paper discusses the efficient Bayesian estimation of a multivariate factor stochastic volatility (Factor MSV) model with leverage. We propose a novel approach to construct the sampling schemes that converges to the posterior…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-14 David Gunawan , Chris Carter , Robert Kohn

In this paper we propose and analyze a second order accurate (in time) numerical scheme for the square phase field crystal (SPFC) equation, a gradient flow modeling crystal dynamics at the atomic scale in space but on diffusive scales in…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-01-01 Min Wang , Qiumei Huang , Cheng Wang

In response to the escalating need for sustainable manufacturing, this study introduces a Simulation-Based Approach (SBA) to model a stopping policy for energy-intensive stochastic production systems, developed and tested in a real-world…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-13 Balwin Bokor , Klaus Altendorfer , Andrea Matta

This paper investigates robust beamforming for system-centric energy efficiency (EE) optimization in the vehicular integrated sensing and communication (ISAC) system, where the mobility of vehicles poses significant challenges to channel…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-10-27 Hanwen Zhang , Haijian Sun , Tianyi He , Weiming Xiang , Rose Qingyang Hu

Simulation testing is a fundamental approach for evaluating automated vehicles (AVs). To ensure its reliability, it is crucial to accurately replicate interactions between AVs and background traffic, which necessitates effective…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-12-19 Jia Hu , Junqi Li , Xuerun Yan , Jintao Lai , Lianhua An

We develop a non-parametric, semimartingale optimal transport, calibration methodology for local volatility models with stochastic interest rate. The method finds a fully calibrated model which is the closest, in a way that can be defined…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-08 Benjamin Joseph , Gregoire Loeper , Jan Obloj

This paper presents an algorithm for a complete and efficient calibration of the Heston stochastic volatility model. We express the calibration as a nonlinear least squares problem. We exploit a suitable representation of the Heston…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-05-27 Yiran Cui , Sebastian del Baño Rollin , Guido Germano

We revisit the sample average approximation (SAA) approach for non-convex stochastic programming. We show that applying the SAA approach to problems with expected value equality constraints does not necessarily result in asymptotic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-07-16 Thomas Lew , Riccardo Bonalli , Marco Pavone

A method for quantile-based, semi-parametric historical simulation estimation of multiple step ahead Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall (ES) models is developed. It uses the quantile loss function, analogous to how the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-06 Richard Gerlach , Antonio Naimoli , Giuseppe Storti

We consider calculation of capital requirements when the underlying economic scenarios are determined by simulatable risk factors. In the respective nested simulation framework, the goal is to estimate portfolio tail risk, quantified via…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-05-18 Michael Ludkovski , James Risk

The paper is an extended and modified version of the preprint S.Boyarchenko and S.Levendorski\u{i} ``Correct implied volatility shapes and reliable pricing in the rough Heston model". We combine a modification of the Adams method with the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-26 Svetlana Boyarchenko , Marco de Innocentis , Sergei Levendorskiĭ