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Scientists often use observational time series data to study complex natural processes, but regression analyses often assume simplistic dynamics. Recent advances in deep learning have yielded startling improvements to the performance of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-21 Cory Shain , William Schuler

Stock market prediction has been a classical yet challenging problem, with the attention from both economists and computer scientists. With the purpose of building an effective prediction model, both linear and machine learning tools have…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-13 Weiwei Jiang

Beta is a widely used quantity in investment analysis. We review the common interpretations that are applied to beta in finance and show that the standard method of estimation - least squares regression - is inconsistent with these…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-09-22 Chris Tofallis

In this paper, we propose an alternative valuation approach for CAT bonds where a pricing formula is learned by deep neural networks. Once trained, these networks can be used to price CAT bonds as a function of inputs that reflect both the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-01 Julian Sester , Huansang Xu

Neural networks have been successfully applied in applications with a large amount of labeled data. However, the task of rapid generalization on new concepts with small training data while preserving performances on previously learned ones…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-06-09 Tsendsuren Munkhdalai , Hong Yu

Identifying meaningful relationships between the price movements of financial assets is a challenging but important problem in a variety of financial applications. However with recent research, particularly those using machine learning and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-02-21 Rian Dolphin , Barry Smyth , Ruihai Dong

Deep Learning (DL) models can be used to tackle time series analysis tasks with great success. However, the performance of DL models can degenerate rapidly if the data are not appropriately normalized. This issue is even more apparent when…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-09-24 Nikolaos Passalis , Anastasios Tefas , Juho Kanniainen , Moncef Gabbouj , Alexandros Iosifidis

Deep learning has enjoyed tremendous success in a variety of applications but its application to quantile regressions remains scarce. A major advantage of the deep learning approach is its flexibility to model complex data in a more…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-14 Qixian Zhong , Jane-Ling Wang

Probabilistic predictions from neural networks which account for predictive uncertainty during classification is crucial in many real-world and high-impact decision making settings. However, in practice most datasets are trained on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-30 Satya Borgohain , Klaus Ackermann , Ruben Loaiza-Maya

Mathematical modelling is ubiquitous in the financial industry and drives key decision processes. Any given model provides only a crude approximation to reality and the risk of using an inadequate model is hard to detect and quantify. By…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-09 Patryk Gierjatowicz , Marc Sabate-Vidales , David Šiška , Lukasz Szpruch , Žan Žurič

Predicting business process behaviour is an important aspect of business process management. Motivated by research in natural language processing, this paper describes an application of deep learning with recurrent neural networks to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-05-05 Joerg Evermann , Jana-Rebecca Rehse , Peter Fettke

The Black-Scholes model, defined under the assumption of a perfect financial market, theoretically creates a flawless hedging strategy allowing the trader to evade risks in a portfolio of options. However, the concept of a "perfect…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-21 Guijin Son , Joocheol Kim

Traditional machine learning methods have been widely studied in financial innovation. My study focuses on the application of deep learning methods on asset pricing. I investigate various deep learning methods for asset pricing, especially…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-27 Chen Zhang

Beta regression models are employed to model continuous response variables in the unit interval, like rates, percentages, or proportions. Their applications rise in several areas, such as medicine, environment research, finance, and natural…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-15 Yuri S. Maluf , Silvia L. P. Ferrari , Francisco F. Queiroz

We develop a methodology that utilizes deep learning to simultaneously solve and estimate canonical continuous-time general equilibrium models in financial economics. We illustrate our method in two examples: (1) industrial dynamics of…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-18 Benjamin Fan , Edward Qiao , Anran Jiao , Zhouzhou Gu , Wenhao Li , Lu Lu

With increasing competition and pace in the financial markets, robust forecasting methods are becoming more and more valuable to investors. While machine learning algorithms offer a proven way of modeling non-linearities in time series,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-09 Lukas Ryll , Sebastian Seidens

Deep Learning models have become dominant in tackling financial time-series analysis problems, overturning conventional machine learning and statistical methods. Most often, a model trained for one market or security cannot be directly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-26 Mostafa Shabani , Dat Thanh Tran , Juho Kanniainen , Alexandros Iosifidis

Derivative hedging and pricing are important and continuously studied topics in financial markets. Recently, deep hedging has been proposed as a promising approach that uses deep learning to approximate the optimal hedging strategy and can…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-04-16 Masanori Hirano

This paper introduces a potential application of deep learning and artificial intelligence in finance, particularly its application in hedging. The major goal encompasses two objectives. First, we present a framework of a direct policy…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-09 Hyunsu Kim

Algorithmic decision making driven by neural networks has become very prominent in applications that directly affect people's quality of life. In this paper, we study the problem of verifying, training, and guaranteeing individual fairness…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-31 Kiarash Mohammadi , Aishwarya Sivaraman , Golnoosh Farnadi