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Reducing methane emissions from the oil and gas sector is a key component of short-term climate action. Emission reduction efforts are often conducted at the individual site-level, where being able to apportion emissions between a finite…

Applications · Statistics 2026-03-26 William S. Daniels , Douglas W. Nychka , Dorit M. Hammerling

Standard random-effects meta-analysis relies heavily on the assumption that the underlying true effects are normally distributed. In the social sciences, where evidence synthesis increasingly involves large, highly heterogeneous datasets,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-01 Daihe Sui , Elizabeth Tipton

We present a Bayesian inference method to characterise the dust emission properties using the well-known dust-HI correlation in the diffuse interstellar medium at Planck frequencies $\nu \ge 217$ GHz. We use the Galactic HI map from the…

The Gaussian process latent variable model (GPLVM) is a popular probabilistic method used for nonlinear dimension reduction, matrix factorization, and state-space modeling. Inference for GPLVMs is computationally tractable only when the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-16 Michael Minyi Zhang , Gregory W. Gundersen , Barbara E. Engelhardt

Bayesian models based on Gaussian processes (GPs) offer a flexible framework to predict spatially distributed variables with uncertainty. But the use of nonstationary priors, often necessary for capturing complex spatial patterns, makes…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-02 Gabriel V Cardoso , Mike Pereira

Observations of Cosmic Microwave Background (CMB) B-mode polarization provide a way to probe primordial gravitational waves and test inflationary predictions. Extragalactic point sources become a major source of contamination after…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2026-03-16 Yi-Ming Wang , Wen-Zheng Chen , Yang Liu , Si-Yu Li , Hong Li

This paper presents a Multi-Robot Multi-Source Term Estimation (MRMSTE) framework that enables teams of mobile robots to collaboratively sample gas concentrations and infer the parameters of an unknown number of airborne releases. The…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-12-22 Rohit V. Nanavati , Tim J. Glover , Matthew J. Coombes , Cunjia Liu

Non-Gaussian mixture models are gaining increasing attention for mixture model-based clustering particularly when dealing with data that exhibit features such as skewness and heavy tails. Here, such a mixture distribution is presented,…

Computation · Statistics 2020-05-07 Yuan Fang , Dimitris Karlis , Sanjeena Subedi

We develop a Machine Learning Inversion method for analyzing scattering functions of mechanically driven polymers and extracting the corresponding feature parameters, which include energy parameters and conformation variables. The polymer…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2025-11-21 Lijie Ding , Chi-Huan Tung , Bobby G. Sumpter , Wei-Ren Chen , Changwoo Do

Gravity inversion is the problem of estimating subsurface density distributions from observed gravitational field data. We consider the two-dimensional (2D) case, in which recovering density models from one-dimensional (1D) measurements…

One of the largest uncertainties in the Point Source (PS) studies, at Fermi-LAT energies, is the uncertainty in the diffuse background. In general there are two approaches for PS analysis: background-dependent methods, that include modeling…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2017-07-03 Giacomo Principe , Dmitry Malyshev

Quantifying the risk of global warming exceeding critical targets such as 2.0 K requires reliable projections of uncertainty as well as best estimates of Global Mean Surface Temperature (GMST). However, uncertainty bands on GMST projections…

Applications · Statistics 2021-01-21 Philip G. Sansom , Donald Cummins , Stephan Siegert , David B. Stephenson

Templates for polarised emission from Galactic foregrounds at frequencies relevant to Cosmic Microwave Background (CMB) polarisation experiments are obtained by modelling the Galactic Magnetic Field (GMF) on large scales. This work extends…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2013-01-21 C. N. Clark , C. R. Contaldi , C. J. MacTavish

Diffusion models approximate the denoising distribution as a Gaussian and predict its mean, whereas flow matching models reparameterize the Gaussian mean as flow velocity. However, they underperform in few-step sampling due to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Hansheng Chen , Kai Zhang , Hao Tan , Zexiang Xu , Fujun Luan , Leonidas Guibas , Gordon Wetzstein , Sai Bi

This paper proposes a novel diffusion-based posterior sampling method within a plug-and-play (PnP) framework. Our approach constructs a probability transport from an easy-to-sample terminal distribution to the target posterior, using a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-10 Jinyuan Chang , Chenguang Duan , Yuling Jiao , Ruoxuan Li , Jerry Zhijian Yang , Cheng Yuan

In a statistical analysis in Particle Physics, nuisance parameters can be introduced to take into account various types of systematic uncertainties. The best estimate of such a parameter is often modeled as a Gaussian distributed variable…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-02-25 Glen Cowan

The paper derives the theoretical Cramer-Rao lower bound for parameter estimation of a source (of emitting energy, gas, aerosol), monitored by a network of sensors providing binary measurements. The theoretical bound is studied in the…

Applications · Statistics 2014-05-30 Branko Ristic , Ajith Gunatilaka , Ralph Gailis

As the global deployment of carbon capture and sequestration (CCS) technology intensifies in the fight against climate change, it becomes increasingly imperative to establish robust monitoring and detection mechanisms for potential…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-11-30 Abhinav Prakash Gahlot , Huseyin Tuna Erdinc , Rafael Orozco , Ziyi Yin , Felix J. Herrmann

The quest for primordial $B$-modes in the cosmic microwave background has emphasized the need for refined models of the Galactic dust foreground. Here, we aim at building a realistic statistical model of the multi-frequency dust emission…

The theoretical investigation of gas adsorption, storage, separation, diffusion and related transport processes in porous materials relies on a detailed knowledge of the potential energy surface of molecules in a stationary environment. In…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2025-01-30 Johannes K. Krondorfer , Christian W. Binder , Andreas W. Hauser