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According to behavioral finance, stock market returns are influenced by emotional, social and psychological factors. Several recent works support this theory by providing evidence of correlation between stock market prices and collective…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-13 Fani Tsapeli , Mirco Musolesi , Peter Tino

Financial time series forecasting is both highly significant and challenging. Previous approaches typically standardized time series data before feeding it into forecasting models, but this encoding process inherently leads to a loss of…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-11 Yanlong Wang , Jian Xu , Fei Ma , Hongkang Zhang , Hang Yu , Tiantian Gao , Yu Wang , Haochen You , Shao-Lun Huang , Danny Dongning Sun , Xiao-Ping Zhang

In the financial risk domain, particularly in credit default prediction and fraud detection, accurate identification of high-risk class instances is paramount, as their occurrence can have significant economic implications. Although machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-17 Xu Sun , Zixuan Qin , Shun Zhang , Yuexian Wang , Li Huang

Time series forecasting is a key tool in financial markets, helping to predict asset prices and guide investment decisions. In highly volatile markets, such as cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH), forecasting becomes more…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-17 Mabsur Fatin Bin Hossain , Lubna Zahan Lamia , Md Mahmudur Rahman , Md Mosaddek Khan

Financial reinforcement learning (FinRL) is now a practical paradigm for financial engineering. However, applying RL strategies to real-world trading tasks remains a challenge for individuals, as it is error-prone and engineering-heavy. The…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-07-16 Keyi Wang , Nikolaus Holzer , Ziyi Xia , Yupeng Cao , Jiechao Gao , Anwar Walid , Kairong Xiao , Xiao-Yang Liu Yanglet

In this study, we explore the application of sentiment analysis on financial news headlines to understand investor sentiment. By leveraging Natural Language Processing (NLP) and Large Language Models (LLM), we analyze sentiment from the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-06-21 Kangtong Mo , Wenyan Liu , Xuanzhen Xu , Chang Yu , Yuelin Zou , Fangqing Xia

Misinformation and fake news have become a pressing societal challenge, driving the need for reliable automated detection methods. Prior research has highlighted sentiment as an important signal in fake news detection, either by analyzing…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-01-22 Sahar Tahmasebi , Eric Müller-Budack , Ralph Ewerth

News events can greatly influence equity markets. In this paper, we are interested in predicting the short-term movement of stock prices after financial news events using only the headlines of the news. To achieve this goal, we introduce a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-20 Qinkai Chen

Financial sentiment analysis enhances market understanding. However, standard Natural Language Processing (NLP) approaches encounter significant challenges when applied to small datasets. This study presents a comparative evaluation of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-10 Joyjit Roy , Samaresh Kumar Singh

As machine learning ascends the peak of computer science zeitgeist, the usage and experimentation with sentiment analysis using various forms of textual data seems pervasive. The effect is especially pronounced in formulating securities…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-02-23 Raeid Saqur , Nicole Langballe

Stock market prediction presents considerable challenges for investors, financial institutions, and policymakers operating in complex market environments characterized by noise, non-stationarity, and behavioral dynamics. Traditional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-18 Mohammad Al Ridhawi , Mahtab Haj Ali , Hussein Al Osman

This paper describes our participation in Task 5 track 2 of SemEval 2017 to predict the sentiment of financial news headlines for a specific company on a continuous scale between -1 and 1. We tackled the problem using a number of…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2018-06-15 Andrew Moore , Paul Rayson

We explore the applicability of the causal analysis based on temporally shifted (lagged) Pearson correlation applied to diverse time series of different natures in context of the problem of financial market prediction. Theoretical…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-04-28 Anton Kolonin , Ali Raheman , Mukul Vishwas , Ikram Ansari , Juan Pinzon , Alice Ho

Researchers and financial professionals require robust computerized tools that allow users to rapidly operationalize and assess the semantic textual content in financial news. However, existing methods commonly work at the document-level…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2019-01-03 Bernhard Lutz , Nicolas Pröllochs , Dirk Neumann

The goal of this paper is to evaluate the informational content of sentiment extracted from news articles about the state of the economy. We propose a fine-grained aspect-based sentiment analysis that has two main characteristics: 1) we…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2022-03-30 Luca Barbaglia , Sergio Consoli , Sebastiano Manzan

In the modern financial sector, the exponential growth of data has made efficient and accurate financial data analysis increasingly crucial. Traditional methods, such as statistical analysis and rule-based systems, often struggle to process…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-10 Jingru Wang , Wen Ding , Xiaotong Zhu

Time series foundation models have recently gained a lot of attention due to their ability to model complex time series data encompassing different domains including traffic, energy, and weather. Although they exhibit strong average…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Shivani Tomar , Seshu Tirupathi , Elizabeth Daly , Ivana Dusparic

The proposed system aims to use various machine learning algorithms to enhance financial prediction and generate highly accurate analyses. It introduces an AI-driven platform which offers inflation-analysis, stock market prediction, and…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-10-30 Vishal Patil , Kavya Bhand , Kaustubh Mukdam , Kavya Sharma , Manas Kawtikwar , Prajwal Kavhar , Hridayansh Kaware

Despite increasing awareness and research around fake news, there is still a significant need for datasets that specifically target racial slurs and biases within North American political speeches. This is particulary important in the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-01-09 Shaina Raza , Mizanur Rahman , Shardul Ghuge

Sentiment analysis is a vital tool for uncovering insights from financial articles, news, and social media, shaping our understanding of market movements. Despite the impressive capabilities of large language models (LLMs) in financial…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-06-23 Boyu Zhang , Hongyang Yang , Xiao-Yang Liu