English
Related papers

Related papers: Enhancing Financial Market Predictions: Causality-…

200 papers

Recent industrial credit scoring models remain heavily reliant on manually tuned statistical learning methods. Despite their potential, deep learning architectures have struggled to consistently outperform traditional statistical models in…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Yu Lei , Zixuan Wang , Yiqing Feng , Junru Zhang , Yahui Li , Chu Liu , Tongyao Wang , Dongyang Li

Predicting cryptocurrency price trends remains a major challenge due to the volatility and complexity of digital asset markets. Artificial intelligence (AI) has emerged as a powerful tool to address this problem. This study proposes a…

In the financial domain, conducting entity-level sentiment analysis is crucial for accurately assessing the sentiment directed toward a specific financial entity. To our knowledge, no publicly available dataset currently exists for this…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-10-20 Yixuan Tang , Yi Yang , Allen H Huang , Andy Tam , Justin Z Tang

Stock prices, as an economic indicator, reflect changes in economic development and market conditions. Traditional stock price prediction models often only consider time-series data and are limited by the mechanisms of the models…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-07-02 Fengting Mo , Shanshan Yan , Yinhao Xiao

Financial market prediction is a challenging application of machine learning, where even small improvements in directional accuracy can yield substantial value. Most models struggle to exceed 55--57\% accuracy due to high noise,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-19 Abraham Itzhak Weinberg

Portfolio managers rely on correlation-based analysis and heuristic methods that fail to capture true causal relationships driving performance. We present a hybrid framework that integrates statistical causal discovery algorithms with…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-24 Alejandro Michel , Abhinav Arun , Bhaskarjit Sarmah , Stefano Pasquali

There has been growing interest in applying NLP techniques in the financial domain, however, resources are extremely limited. This paper introduces StockEmotions, a new dataset for detecting emotions in the stock market that consists of…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-11-29 Jean Lee , Hoyoul Luis Youn , Josiah Poon , Soyeon Caren Han

This paper presents a comprehensive study on the integration of text-derived, time-varying sentiment factors into traditional multi-factor asset pricing models. Leveraging FinBERT, a domain-specific deep learning language model, we…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-05-06 Chi Zhang

In the pursuit of accurate and scalable quantitative methods for financial market analysis, the focus has shifted from individual stock models to those capturing interrelations between companies and their stocks. However, current relational…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-07-18 Lili Wang , Chenghan Huang , Chongyang Gao , Weicheng Ma , Soroush Vosoughi

Corporate credit rating serves as a crucial intermediary service in the market economy, playing a key role in maintaining economic order. Existing credit rating models rely on financial metrics and deep learning. However, they often…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-06 Yumeng Shi , Zhongliang Yang , DiYang Lu , Yisi Wang , Yiting Zhou , Linna Zhou

Feature extraction from financial data is one of the most important problems in market prediction domain for which many approaches have been suggested. Among other modern tools, convolutional neural networks (CNN) have recently been applied…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-23 Ehsan Hoseinzade , Saman Haratizadeh

Financial news items are unstructured sources of information that can be mined to extract knowledge for market screening applications. Manual extraction of relevant information from the continuous stream of finance-related news is…

Financial Sentiment Analysis (FSA) traditionally relies on human-annotated sentiment labels to infer investor sentiment and forecast market movements. However, inferring the potential market impact of words based on their human-perceived…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Hamid Moradi-Kamali , Mohammad-Hossein Rajabi-Ghozlou , Mahdi Ghazavi , Ali Soltani , Amirreza Sattarzadeh , Reza Entezari-Maleki

In the modern economic landscape, integrating financial services with Financial Technology (FinTech) has become essential, particularly in stock trend analysis. This study addresses the gap in comprehending financial dynamics across diverse…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-02 Sahar Arshad , Nikhar Azhar , Sana Sajid , Seemab Latif , Rabia Latif

This study establishes the causal effects of market sentiment on firm profitability, moving beyond traditional correlational analyses. It leverages a causal forest machine learning methodology to control for numerous confounding variables,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-23 Krishna Neupane , Prem Sapkota , Ujjwal Prajapati

There are multiple sources of financial news online which influence market movements and trader's decisions. This highlights the need for accurate sentiment analysis, in addition to having appropriate algorithmic trading techniques, to…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-03-20 Thanos Konstantinidis , Giorgos Iacovides , Mingxue Xu , Tony G. Constantinides , Danilo Mandic

In this paper, we investigate the influence of claims in analyst reports and earnings calls on financial market returns, considering them as significant quarterly events for publicly traded companies. To facilitate a comprehensive analysis,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-10-08 Agam Shah , Arnav Hiray , Pratvi Shah , Arkaprabha Banerjee , Anushka Singh , Dheeraj Eidnani , Sahasra Chava , Bhaskar Chaudhury , Sudheer Chava

Time series models, typically trained on numerical data, are designed to forecast future values. These models often rely on weighted averaging techniques over time intervals. However, real-world time series data is seldom isolated and is…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-07-08 Litton Jose Kurisinkel , Pruthwik Mishra , Yue Zhang

Stock market prediction is one of the most attractive research topic since the successful prediction on the market's future movement leads to significant profit. Traditional short term stock market predictions are usually based on the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-11-16 Huicheng Liu

Citation sentimet analysis is one of the little studied tasks for scientometric analysis. For citation analysis, we developed eight datasets comprising citation sentences, which are manually annotated by us into three sentiment polarities…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-05-12 Vishal Vyas , Kumar Ravi , Vadlamani Ravi , V. Uma , Srirangaraj Setlur , Venu Govindaraju