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We present a method for comparing point forecasts in a region of interest, such as the tails or centre of a variable's range. This method cannot be hedged, in contrast to conditionally selecting events to evaluate and then using a scoring…

Applications · Statistics 2022-02-16 Robert J. Taggart

This paper presents a forecasting model designed using WSNs (Wireless Sensor Networks) to predict flood in rivers using simple and fast calculations to provide real-time results and save the lives of people who may be affected by the flood.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-03-13 Victor Seal , Arnab Raha , Shovan Maity , Souvik Kr Mitra , Amitava Mukherjee , Mrinal Kanti Naskar

This paper presents a solution to the Weather4Cast 2023 competition, where the goal is to forecast high-resolution precipitation with an 8-hour lead time using lower-resolution satellite radiance images. We propose a simple, yet effective…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-12-01 Rafael Pablos Sarabia , Joachim Nyborg , Morten Birk , Ira Assent

Regression algorithms are regularly used for improving the accuracy of satellite precipitation products. In this context, satellite precipitation and topography data are the predictor variables, and gauged-measured precipitation data are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-17 Georgia Papacharalampous , Hristos Tyralis , Nikolaos Doulamis , Anastasios Doulamis

Estimation of unsteady flow fields around flight vehicles may improve flow interactions and lead to enhanced vehicle performance. Although flow-field representations can be very high-dimensional, their dynamics can have low-order…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-03-23 John Graff , Albert Medina , Francis Lagor

Accurately representing surface precipitation is crucial for the operational use of weather and climate models. Presently, global numerical weather prediction (NWP) models struggle to accurately generate precipitation due to their…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-30 Raul Moreno , Dale Durran

With the rapid evolution of computer vision, vision-based methodologies for water level and river surface velocity estimation have reached significant maturity. Compared to traditional sensing, these techniques offer superior…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-15 ZhiXin Sun

Inference on the extremal behaviour of spatial aggregates of precipitation is important for quantifying river flood risk. There are two classes of previous approach, with one failing to ensure self-consistency in inference across different…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-22 Jordan Richards , Jonathan A. Tawn , Simon Brown

This paper addresses the challenges of an early flood warning caused by complex convective systems (CSs), by using Low-Earth Orbit and Geostationary satellite data. We focus on a sequence of extreme events that took place in central Vietnam…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-09 Tran-Vu La , Thanh Huy Nguyen , Patrick Matgen , Marco Chini

For the 2007 International Forum on Landslide Disaster Management framework, our team performed several numerical simulations on both theoretical and natural cases of granular flows. The objective was to figure out the ability and the…

The challenges in operational flood forecasting lie in producing reliable forecasts given constrained computational resources and within processing times that are compatible with near-real-time forecasting. Flood hydrodynamic models exploit…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-25 Thanh Huy Nguyen , Sophie Ricci , Andrea Piacentini , Quentin Bonassies , Raquel Rodriguez Suquet , Santiago Peña Luque , Kevin Marlis , Cédric David

Resilience has emerged as a crucial concept for evaluating structural performance under disasters because of its ability to extend beyond traditional risk assessments, accounting for a system's ability to minimize disruptions and maintain…

Applications · Statistics 2024-04-23 Taeyong Kim , Sang-ri Yi

Continuous monitoring for road flooding could be achieved through onboard computing of satellite imagery to generate near real-time insights made available to generate dynamic information for maps used for navigation. Given the existing…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-05-07 Vishesh Vatsal , Gouranga Nandi , Primo Manilal

Gridded estimated rainfall intensity values at very high spatial and temporal resolution levels are needed as main inputs for weather prediction models to obtain accurate precipitation forecasts, and to verify the performance of…

Applications · Statistics 2009-01-23 Montserrat Fuentes , Brian Reich , Gyuwon Lee

Deploying machine learning models in safety-critical domains poses a key challenge: ensuring reliable model performance on downstream user data without access to ground truth labels for direct validation. We propose the suitability filter,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-29 Angéline Pouget , Mohammad Yaghini , Stephan Rabanser , Nicolas Papernot

Cyber-physical system (CPS) forecasting models depend on sensor streams with noisy, biased, missing, or temporally misaligned readings, yet standard forecasting evaluation often selects models by nominal error without showing whether they…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Alexander Windmann , Philipp Wittenberg , Gianluca Manca , Marcel Dix , Jens U. Brandt , Oliver Niggemann

Post-disaster situational awareness relies heavily on understanding both the extent and the volume of floodwaters. While 2D semantic segmentation provides accurate flood masking, it lacks the vertical dimension required to assess…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Nhut Le , Ehsan Karimi , Maryam Rahnemoonfar

Forecasting compound floods presents a significant challenge due to the intricate interplay of meteorological, hydrological, and oceanographic factors. Analyzing compound floods has become more critical as the global climate increases flood…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-06 Xu Zheng , Chaohao Lin , Sipeng Chen , Zhuomin Chen , Jimeng Shi , Wei Cheng , Jayantha Obeysekera , Jason Liu , Dongsheng Luo

Floods are the most common form of natural disaster and accurate flood forecasting is essential for early warning systems. Previous work has shown that machine learning (ML) models are a promising way to improve flood predictions when…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-18 Emil Ryd , Grey Nearing

The present work is aimed to examine the potential of advanced machine learning strategies to predict the monthly rainfall (precipitation) for the Indus Basin, using climatological variables such as air temperature, geo-potential height,…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-01-27 Hamidreza Ghasemi Damavandi , Reepal Shah