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Related papers: Condorcet's Jury Theorem with Abstention

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The well-known Condorcet Jury Theorem states that, under majority rule, the better of two alternatives is chosen with probability approaching one as the population grows. We study an asymmetric setting where voters face varying…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-10-22 Reshef Meir , Ganesh Ghalme

Consider an election between two candidates in which the voters' choices are random and independent and the probability of a voter choosing the first candidate is $p>1/2$. Condorcet's Jury Theorem which he derived from the weak law of large…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Olle Haggstrom , Gil Kalai , Elchanan Mossel

The Condorcet Jury Theorem or the Miracle of Aggregation are frequently invoked to ensure the competence of some aggregate decision-making processes. In this article we explore an estimation of the prior probability of the thesis predicted…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-06-22 Álvaro Romaniega

The traditional axiomatic approach to voting is motivated by the problem of reconciling differences in subjective preferences. In contrast, a dominant line of work in the theory of voting over the past 15 years has considered a different…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2015-12-19 Flavio Chierichetti , Jon Kleinberg

Condorcet's paradox is a fundamental result in social choice theory which states that there exist elections in which, no matter which candidate wins, a majority of voters prefer a different candidate. In fact, even if we can select any $k$…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-12-02 Moses Charikar , Prasanna Ramakrishnan , Kangning Wang

A Condorcet voting scheme chooses a winning candidate as one who defeats all others in pairwise majority rule. We provide a review which includes the rigorous mathematical treatment for calculating the limiting probability of a Condorcet…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 M. S. Krishnamoorthy , M. Raghavachari

There is a striking relationship between a three hundred years old Political Science theorem named "Condorcet's jury theorem" (1785), which states that majorities are more likely to choose correctly when individual votes are often correct…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-17 Hanan Shteingart , Eran Marom , Igor Itkin , Gil Shabat , Michael Kolomenkin , Moshe Salhov , Liran Katzir

Winner selection by majority, in an election between two candidates, is the only rule compatible with democratic principles. Instead, when the candidates are three or more and the voters rank candidates in order of preference, there are no…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-04-19 Pierluigi Contucci , Emanuele Panizzi , Federico Ricci-Tersenghi , Alina Sîrbu

We prove that every Condorcet-consistent voting rule can be manipulated by a voter who completely reverses their preference ranking, assuming that there are at least 4 alternatives. This corrects an error and improves a result of [Sanver,…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2017-07-28 Dominik Peters

In social choice theory with ordinal preferences, a voting method satisfies the axiom of positive involvement if adding to a preference profile a voter who ranks an alternative uniquely first cannot cause that alternative to go from winning…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-04-01 Wesley H. Holliday

Condorcet's jury theorem states that the correct outcome is reached in direct majority voting systems with sufficiently large electorates as long as each voter's independent probability of voting for that outcome is greater than 0.5. Yet,…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2023-01-10 Lucas Böttcher , Georgia Kernell

Consider $2k-1$ voters, each of which has a preference ranking between $n$ given alternatives. An alternative $A$ is called a Condorcet winner, if it wins against every other alternative $B$ in majority voting (meaning that for every other…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-03-28 Lisa Sauermann

Voting rules allow multiple agents to aggregate their preferences in order to reach joint decisions. Perhaps one of the most important desirable properties in this context is Condorcet-consistency, which requires that a voting rule should…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2016-02-26 Felix Brandt , Christian Geist , Dominik Peters

We study a mathematical model of voting contest with $m$ voters and $n$ candidates, with each voter ranking the candidates in order of preference, without ties. A Condorcet winner is a candidate who gets more than $m/2$ votes in pairwise…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2025-11-05 Boris Pittel

We initiate the work towards a comprehensive picture of the smoothed satisfaction of voting axioms, to provide a finer and more realistic foundation for comparing voting rules. We adopt the smoothed social choice framework, where an…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2021-06-04 Lirong Xia

We generalize Condorcet's jury theorem (CJT) to socially connected populations in which agents revise discrete choices on a network in the presence of zealots. Free agents receive privately informative signals about the correct alternative…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-10-21 Dan Braha , Marcus A. M. de Aguiar

A Condorcet winning set addresses the Condorcet paradox by selecting a few candidates--rather than a single winner--such that no unselected alternative is preferred to all of them by a majority of voters. This idea extends to…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-07-01 Thanh Nguyen , Haoyu Song , Young-San Lin

A cornerstone of social choice theory is Condorcet's paradox which says that in an election where $n$ voters rank $m$ candidates it is possible that, no matter which candidate is declared the winner, a majority of voters would have…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-04-23 Moses Charikar , Alexandra Lassota , Prasanna Ramakrishnan , Adrian Vetta , Kangning Wang

A voting rule is a Condorcet extension if it returns a candidate that beats every other candidate in pairwise majority comparisons whenever one exists. Condorcet extensions have faced criticism due to their susceptibility to…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-12-03 Felix Brandt , Chris Dong , Dominik Peters

We consider an odd-sized "jury", which votes sequentially between two states of Nature (say A and B, or Innocent and Guilty) with the majority opinion determining the verdict. Jurors have private information in the form of a signal in…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2021-10-12 Steve Alpern , Bo Chen
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