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We introduce a predictive algorithm for the smart growth of cities with populations upward of 100,000, allowing for extensive simulations of growth plans and their effects upon an urban populous. A smart growth metric is calculated to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-12-01 James Flamino , Alexander Norman , Madison Wyatt

Oscillator Ising machines (OIMs) are networks of coupled oscillators that seek the minimum energy state of an Ising model. Since many NP-hard problems are equivalent to the minimization of an Ising Hamiltonian, OIMs have emerged as a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-20 Ahmed Allibhoy , Arthur N. Montanari , Fabio Pasqualetti , Adilson E. Motter

Global storm-resolving models aspire to become digital twins of the Earth, delivering information at the local scale at which humans experience climate. We evaluated how well two such models, ICON and IFS-FESOM, reproduce the climate as…

Data competitions rely on real-time leaderboards to rank competitor entries and stimulate algorithm improvement. While such competitions have become quite popular and prevalent, particularly in supervised learning formats, their…

The identification of urban mobility patterns is very important for predicting and controlling spatial events. In this study, we analyzed millions of geographical check-ins crawled from a leading Chinese location-based social networking…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-01-03 Zimo Yang , Defu Lian , Nicholas Jing Yuan , Xing Xie , Yong Rui , Tao Zhou

I propose a new conceptual framework to disentangle the impacts of weather and climate on economic activity and growth: A stochastic frontier model with climate in the production frontier and weather shocks as a source of inefficiency. I…

General Economics · Economics 2021-05-07 Richard S. J. Tol

In the context of Smart City, the dynamic of the presence of people can be analysed using high-dimensional spatio-temporal mobile phone data. In order to find regularities and detect anomalies in the daily profiles, we propose an approach…

Applications · Statistics 2019-07-12 Rodolfo Metulini , Maurizio Carpita

This large-scale study, consisting of 24.5 million hand hygiene opportunities spanning 19 distinct facilities in 10 different states, uses linear predictive models to expose factors that may affect hand hygiene compliance. We examine the…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2017-07-11 Michael T. Lash , Jason Slater , Philip M. Polgreen , Alberto M. Segre

In this paper we introduce an agent-based model together with a particle filter approach for studying the spread of COVID-19. Investigations are performed on the metropolis of Tokyo, but other cities, regions or countries could have been…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-09-02 C. Sun , S. Richard , T. Miyoshi

Decarbonizing electricity generation, heating, and transportation simultaneously requires integrated planning tools that can coordinate multiple energy production sources and demand points while remaining reliable under uncertainty. This…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-27 Hossein Mirzaee , Mostafa Mostafavi Sani , Hamed Samarghandi

In this work, we compare several different modeling approaches for count data applied to the scores of handball matches with regard to their predictive performances based on all matches from the four previous IHF World Men's Handball…

Applications · Statistics 2019-01-18 Andreas Groll , Jonas Heiner , Gunther Schauberger , Jörn Uhrmeister

The ongoing Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic threatens the health of humans and causes great economic losses. Predictive modelling and forecasting the epidemic trends are essential for developing countermeasures to mitigate this…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-01 Ling Xue , Shuanglin Jing , Joel C. Miller , Wei Sun , Huafeng Li , Jose Guillermo Estrada-Franco , James M Hyman , Huaiping Zhu

This paper proposes a novel data-driven approach for identifying and modelling areas with similar temperature variations throufigureh clustering and Space-Time AutoRegressive (STAR) models. Using annual temperature data from 168 countries…

Applications · Statistics 2026-01-30 Edoardo Otranto

Forecast models in statistical seismology are commonly evaluated with log-likelihood scores of the full distribution P(n) of earthquake numbers, yet heavy tails and out-of-range observations can bias model ranking. We develop a tail-aware…

Geophysics · Physics 2026-02-24 Jiawei Li , Qingyuan Zhang , Didier Sornette

A model-based signal processing framework is proposed for pandemic trend forecasting and control, by using non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPI) at regional and country levels worldwide. The control objective is to prescribe quantifiable…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-23 Reza Sameni

How regional heterogeneity in social and cultural processes drive--and respond to--climate dynamics is little studied. Here we present a coupled social-climate model stratified across five world regions and parameterized with geophysical,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-09-16 Amrita Punnavajhala , Timothy M. Lenton , Chris T. Bauch , Madhur Anand

Urbanism is no longer planned on paper thanks to powerful models and 3D simulation platforms. However, current work is not open to the public and lacks an optimisation agent that could help in decision making. This paper describes the…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2018-10-19 Dominika Woszczyk , Gerasimos Spanakis

Do projects learn across space and time? The Olympics, among the largest publicly funded programmes in the world, offer a unique empirical setting. Theoretically, the Games seem ideal for generating "positive learning curves," driving down…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-04-21 Atif Ansar , Bent Flyvbjerg , Alexander Budzier

As more people move back into densely populated cities, bike sharing is emerging as an important mode of urban mobility. In a typical bike sharing system, riders arrive at a station and take a bike if it is available. After retrieving a…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-23 Shuang Tao , Jamol Pender

In this work, we combine two different ranking methods together with several other predictors in a joint random forest approach for the scores of soccer matches. The first ranking method is based on the bookmaker consensus, the second…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-05 Andreas Groll , Christophe Ley , Gunther Schauberger , Hans Van Eetvelde , Achim Zeileis