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We present new estimators of the mean of a real valued random variable, based on PAC-Bayesian iterative truncation. We analyze the non-asymptotic minimax properties of the deviations of estimators for distributions having either a bounded…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-30 Olivier Catoni

We present two new estimators for estimating the entropy of absolutely continuous random variables. Some properties of them are considered, specifically consistency of the first is proved. The introduced estimators are compared with the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-05 A. Kohansal , S. Rezakhah

This paper investigates the decay rate of the probability that the row sum of a triangular array of truncated heavy tailed random variables is larger than an integer (k) times the truncating threshold, as both - the number of summands and…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-21 Arijit Chakrabarty

In the present article we derive an explicit expression for the trun- cated mean and variance for the multivariate normal distribution with ar- bitrary rectangular double truncation. We use the moment generating ap- proach of Tallis (1961)…

Computation · Statistics 2012-06-26 Manjunath B G , Stefan Wilhelm

Doubly robust estimators have gained popularity in the field of causal inference due to their ability to provide consistent point estimates when either an outcome or exposure model is correctly specified. However, for nonrandomized…

The extropy is a measure of information introduced by Lad et al. (2015) as dual to entropy. As the entropy, it is a shift-independent information measure. We introduce here the notion of weighted extropy, a shift-dependent information…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-19 Narayanaswamy Balakrishnan , Francesco Buono , Maria Longobardi

Uncertainty quantification is a critical aspect of machine learning models, providing important insights into the reliability of predictions and aiding the decision-making process in real-world applications. This paper proposes a novel way…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-02 Yusuf Sale , Paul Hofman , Lisa Wimmer , Eyke Hüllermeier , Thomas Nagler

We examine the problem of construction of confidence intervals within the basic single-parameter, single-iteration variation of the method of quasi-optimal weights. Two kinds of distortions of such intervals due to insufficiently large…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-05-27 A. D. Morozov , A. V. Lokhov , F. V. Tkachov

This paper considers the problem of estimating the variance of a sum of a triangular array of random vectors with heterogeneous means. When random vectors exhibit two-way cluster dependence or weak dependence, standard variance estimators…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-13 Luther Yap

We review the alternative proposals introduced recently in the literature to update the standard formula to estimate the uncertainty on the mean of repeated measurements, and we compare their performances on synthetic examples with normal…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-09-13 Pascal Pernot , Jean-Paul Berthet

In this paper, we develop interval estimation methods for means of bounded random variables based on a sequential procedure such that the sampling is continued until the sample sum is no less than a prescribed threshold.

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-03-07 Xinjia Chen

We study the distribution of hard-, soft-, and adaptive soft-thresholding estimators within a linear regression model where the number of parameters k can depend on sample size n and may diverge with n. In addition to the case of known…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-01-04 Benedikt M. Pötscher , Ulrike Schneider

This paper establishes the optimal sub-Gaussian variance proxy for truncated Gaussian and truncated exponential random variables. The proofs rely on first characterizing the optimal variance proxy as the unique solution to a set of two…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-27 Mathias Barreto , Olivier Marchal , Julyan Arbel

Statistical inference for stochastic processes based on high-frequency observations has been an active research area for more than two decades. One of the most well-known and widely studied problems has been the estimation of the quadratic…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-04-23 B. Cooper Boniece , José E. Figueroa-López , Yuchen Han

This article proposes a new method of truncated estimation to estimate the tail index $\alpha$ of the extremely heavy-tailed distribution with infinite mean or variance. We not only present two truncated estimators $\hat{\alpha}$ and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-13 F. Q. Tang , D. Han

Model uncertainty has been one prominent issue both in the theory of risk measures and in practice such as financial risk management and regulation. Motivated by this observation, in this paper, we take a new perspective to describe the…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-04-14 Shuo Gong , Yijun Hu , Linxiao Wei

We derive a novel variational expectation maximization approach based on truncated posterior distributions. Truncated distributions are proportional to exact posteriors within subsets of a discrete state space and equal zero otherwise. The…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-07-12 Jörg Lücke

Truncated multivariate distributions arise extensively in econometric modelling when non-negative random variables are intrinsic to the data-generation process. More broadly, truncated multivariate distributions have appeared in censored…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-04 Michael Levine , Donald Richards , Jianxi Su

We study asymptotic behaviour of stochastic approximation procedures with three main characteristics: truncations with random moving bounds, a matrix valued random step-size sequence, and a dynamically changing random regression function.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-22 Teo Sharia , Lei Zhong

The truncated plurigaussian model is often used to simulate the spatial distribution of random categorical variables such as geological facies. The problems addressed in this paper are the estimation of parameters of the truncation map for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-08-07 Alina Astrakova , Dean S. Oliver , Christian Lantuéjoul