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Time-lapse images carry out important information about dynamic changes in Earth's interior which can be inferred using different Full Waveform Inversion (FWI) schemes. The estimation process is performed by manipulating more than one…

Machine learning methods for computational imaging require uncertainty estimation to be reliable in real settings. While Bayesian models offer a computationally tractable way of recovering uncertainty, they need large data volumes to be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-24 Francesco Tonolini , Jack Radford , Alex Turpin , Daniele Faccio , Roderick Murray-Smith

This work presents a multiscale model reduction approach to discontinuous fields identification problems in the framework of Bayesian inference. An ensemble-based variable separation (VS) method is proposed to approximate multiscale basis…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-05-31 Na Ou , Guang Lin , Lijian Jiang

Dynamic factor models are often estimated by point-estimation methods, disregarding parameter uncertainty. We propose a method accounting for parameter uncertainty by means of posterior approximation, using variational inference. Our…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-14 Erik Spånberg

We present the development of extended diffraction tomography, a new approach to the solution of the linear seismic waveform inversion problem. This method has several appealing features, such as the use of arbitrary depth-dependent…

Geophysics · Physics 2009-05-05 R. B. Schlottmann

Physical imaging is a foundational characterization method in areas from condensed matter physics and chemistry to astronomy and spans length scales from atomic to universe. Images encapsulate crucial data regarding atomic bonding,…

This paper introduces a novel Bayesian approach to detect changes in the variance of a Gaussian sequence model, focusing on quantifying the uncertainty in the change point locations and providing a scalable algorithm for inference. Such a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-04 Lorenzo Cappello , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla

Seismic full waveform inversion (FWI) is a powerful technique to generate high resolution images of the Earth's interior. However, significant uncertainty exists in all FWI solutions due to imperfect acquisition geometries, inherent noise…

Geophysics · Physics 2026-03-13 Xuebin Zhao , Andrew Curtis

Estimation of riverbed profiles, also known as bathymetry, plays a vital role in many applications, such as safe and efficient inland navigation, prediction of bank erosion, land subsidence, and flood risk management. The high cost and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-23 Mojtaba Forghani , Yizhou Qian , Jonghyun Lee , Matthew Farthing , Tyler Hesser , Peter K. Kitanidis , Eric F. Darve

Evaluating structural uncertainties associated with seismic imaging and target horizons can be of critical importance for decision-making related to oil and gas exploration and production. An important breakthrough for industrial…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-07-28 Jérémie Messud , Patrice Guillaume , Gilles Lambaré

Many particle-based Bayesian inference methods use a single global step size for all parts of the update. In Stein variational gradient descent (SVGD), however, each update combines two qualitatively different effects: attraction toward…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Arash Sarshar

One of the core problems of modern statistics is to approximate difficult-to-compute probability densities. This problem is especially important in Bayesian statistics, which frames all inference about unknown quantities as a calculation…

Computation · Statistics 2018-05-11 David M. Blei , Alp Kucukelbir , Jon D. McAuliffe

Bayesian full waveform inversion (FWI) offers uncertainty-aware subsurface models; however, posterior sampling directly on observed seismic shot records is rarely practical at the field scale because each sample requires numerous…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-12-16 Mohammad H. Taufik , Tariq Alkhalifah

This paper introduces two variational inference approaches for infinite-dimensional inverse problems, developed through gradient descent with a constant learning rate. The proposed methods enable efficient approximate sampling from the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-05 Jiaming Sui , Junxiong Jia , Jinglai Li

Uncertainty estimation in deep neural networks is essential for designing reliable and robust AI systems. Applications such as video surveillance for identifying suspicious activities are designed with deep neural networks (DNNs), but DNNs…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2018-12-04 Ranganath Krishnan , Mahesh Subedar , Omesh Tickoo

While generalized linear mixed models are a fundamental tool in applied statistics, many specifications, such as those involving categorical factors with many levels or interaction terms, can be computationally challenging to estimate due…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-03 Max Goplerud , Omiros Papaspiliopoulos , Giacomo Zanella

Numerical modeling of morphodynamics presents significant challenges in engineering due to uncertainties arising from inaccurate inputs, model errors, and limited computing resources. Accurate results are essential for optimizing strategies…

Computation · Statistics 2026-01-07 Cédric Goeury , Fabien Souillé

This paper provides a detailed theoretical analysis of methods to approximate the solutions of high-dimensional (>10^6) linear Bayesian problems. An optimal low-rank projection that maximizes the information content of the Bayesian…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-10-28 Nicolas Bousserez , Daven K. Henze

This study introduces Variational Automatic Relevance Determination (VARD), a novel approach tailored for fitting sparse additive regression models in high-dimensional settings. VARD distinguishes itself by its ability to independently…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-04 Zihe Liu , Diptarka Saha , Feng Liang

Estimating a distribution given access to its unnormalized density is pivotal in Bayesian inference, where the posterior is generally known only up to an unknown normalizing constant. Variational inference and Markov chain Monte Carlo…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-06 Daniel Ward , Mark Beaumont , Matteo Fasiolo