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We develop numerical methods for reaction-diffusion systems based on the equations of fluctuating hydrodynamics (FHD). While the FHD formulation is formally described by stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs), it becomes similar…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2018-01-17 Changho Kim , Andy Nonaka , John B. Bell , Alejandro L. Garcia , Aleksandar Donev

The areal modeling of the extremes of a natural process such as rainfall or temperature is important in environmental statistics; for example, understanding extreme areal rainfall is crucial in flood protection. This article reviews recent…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-08-17 A. C. Davison , S. A. Padoan , M. Ribatet

In this work it is shown how the immersed boundary method of (Peskin2002) for modeling flexible structures immersed in a fluid can be extended to include thermal fluctuations. A stochastic numerical method is proposed which deals with…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2023-02-28 P. J. Atzberger , P. R. Kramer , C. S. Peskin

Motivated by the modeling of three-dimensional fluid turbulence, we define and study a class of stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) that are randomly stirred by a spatially smooth and uncorrelated in time forcing term. To…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-24 Gabriel B. Apolinário , Laurent Chevillard , Jean-Christophe Mourrat

The stochastic variational approach for geophysical fluid dynamics was introduced by Holm (Proc Roy Soc A, 2015) as a framework for deriving stochastic parameterisations for unresolved scales. This paper applies the variational stochastic…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-09-16 Colin Cotter , Dan Crisan , Darryl D. Holm , Wei Pan , Igor Shevchenko

Traditional deterministic subgrid-scale (SGS) models are often dissipative and unstable, especially in regions of chaotic and turbulent flow. Ongoing work in climate science and ocean modeling motivates the use of stochastic SGS models for…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-04-15 Emily Williams , David Darmofal

Direct simulation of biomolecular dynamics in thermal equilibrium is challenging due to the metastable nature of conformation dynamics and the computational cost of molecular dynamics. Biased or enhanced sampling methods may improve the…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2015-06-12 Benjamin Trendelkamp-Schroer , Frank Noe

Hydroclimatic processes are characterized by heterogeneous spatiotemporal correlation structures and marginal distributions that can be continuous, mixed-type, discrete or even binary. Simulating exactly such processes can greatly improve…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-24 Simon Michael Papalexiou

Many rare weather events, including hurricanes, droughts, and floods, dramatically impact human life. To accurately forecast these events and characterize their climatology requires specialized mathematical techniques to fully leverage the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-07-15 Justin Finkel , Dorian Abbot , Jonathan Weare

Weather extremes produce major impacts on society and ecosystems and are likely to change in likelihood and magnitude with climate change. However, very low probability events are hard to characterize statistically using observations or…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-28 Christopher J. Paciorek , Daniel Cooley

The prediction of stochastic dynamical systems and the capture of dynamical behaviors are profound problems. In this article, we propose a data-driven framework combining Reservoir Computing and Normalizing Flow to study this issue, which…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-08-01 Cheng Fang , Yubin Lu , Ting Gao , Jinqiao Duan

A gaussian distribution of binding energies, but conditioned to exploit generally available information on packing in liquids, provides a statistical-thermodynamic theory of liquid water that is structurally non-committal, molecularly…

Biological Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 J. K. Shah , D. Asthagiri , L. R. Pratt , M. E. Paulaitis

This article addresses reaction networks in which spatial and stochastic effects are of crucial importance. For such systems, particle-based models allow us to describe all microscopic details with high accuracy. However, they suffer from…

Monitoring water stage and discharge at hydrometric stations is essential for flood characterization and prediction. Continuous measurement is feasible for stage records, whereas discharge must be calculated, typically using a rating curve.…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-01-15 Mendez Rios , Jérôme Le Coz , Renard Benjamin , Terraz Théophile

We propose a physics-aware machine learning method to time-accurately predict extreme events in a turbulent flow. The method combines two radically different approaches: empirical modelling based on reservoir computing, which learns the…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2019-12-24 Nguyen Anh Khoa Doan , Wolfgang Polifke , Luca Magri

In order to reach the supply/demand balance, electricity providers need to predict the demand and production of electricity at different time scales. This implies the need of modeling weather variables such as temperature, wind speed, solar…

Applications · Statistics 2017-10-24 Augustin Touron

We present an accurate and efficient discretization approach for the adaptive discretization of typical model equations employed in numerical weather prediction. A semi-Lagrangian approach is combined with the TR-BDF2 semi-implicit time…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-05-23 G. Tumolo , L. Bonaventura

Dam breach models are commonly used to predict outflow hydrographs of potentially failing dams and are key ingredients for evaluating flood risk. In this paper a new dam breach modeling framework is introduced that shall improve the…

Computation · Statistics 2018-06-14 S. J. Peter , A. Siviglia , J. Nagel , S. Marelli , R. M. Boes , D. Vetsch , B. Sudret

A stochastic system under the influence of a stochastic environment is correlated with both present and future states of the environment. Such a system can be seen as implicitly implementing a predictive model of future environmental…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-10-05 Matthew E. Quenneville , David A. Sivak

This model considers reversible elementary acts of migration of point defects (interstitials and/or vacancies) across the precipitate-matrix interface and enables one to derive equations for the rates of emission and absorption of solute…

Materials Science · Physics 2015-06-15 O. Borysenko