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We consider an alternative to conventional three-point statistics such as the bispectrum, which is purely based on the Fourier phases of the density field: the line correlation function. This statistic directly probes the non-linear…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2017-01-25 Alexander Eggemeier , Robert E. Smith

Empirical Bayes methods are widely used for large-scale inference, yet most classical approaches assume homoscedastic observations and focus primarily on posterior mean estimation. We develop a nonparametric empirical Bayes framework for…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-24 Zhigen Zhao , Shonosuke Sugaasawa

Baryonic feedback alters the matter distribution on small and intermediate scales, posing a challenge for precision cosmology. The new, component-wise baryonification (BFC) approach provides a self-consistent framework to model feedback…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-07-11 Michael Kovač , Andrina Nicola , Jozef Bucko , Aurel Schneider , Robert Reischke , Sambit K. Giri , Romain Teyssier , Matthieu Schaller , Joop Schaye

The present paper proposes a Bayesian framework for inverse problems that seamlessly integrates optimization and inversion to enable rapid surrogate modeling, accurate parameter inference, and rigorous uncertainty quantification. Bayesian…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-02-05 Mihaela Chiappetta , Massimo Carraturo , Alexander Raßloff , Markus Kästner , Ferdinando Auricchio

The state estimation problem for nonlinear systems with stochastic uncertainties can be formulated in the Bayesian framework, where the objective is to replace the state completely by its probability density function. Without the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-04 Lukas Ecker , Kurt Schlacher

We assess dataset agreement and late-time predictive adequacy in $\Lambda$CDM and its sign-switching extension, $\Lambda_{\rm s}$CDM, using a suite of Gaussian and exact non-Gaussian consistency diagnostics. Both models are constrained with…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2026-03-11 Sehjal Khandelwal , Abraão J. S. Capistrano , Suresh Kumar

As cosmology rapidly approaches the data-dominated phase of stage IV large scale structure surveys, the modelling of nonlinear scales has become a serious challenge that faces the community, particularly when analysing models beyond $w$CDM.…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2026-04-14 Sankarshana Srinivasan , Shreya Prabhu , Kai Lehman , Ajiv Krishnan V. , Jochen Weller

We describe different methods for estimating the bispectrum of Cosmic Microwave Background data. In particular we construct a minimum variance estimator for the flat-sky limit and compare results with previously-studied frequentist methods.…

We consider the problem of estimating the unknown response function in the Gaussian white noise model. We first utilize the recently developed Bayesian maximum a posteriori "testimation" procedure of Abramovich et al. (2007) for recovering…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-12-23 Felix Abramovich , Vadim Grinshtein , Athanasia Petsa , Theofanis Sapatinas

There has been much recent interest in modifying Bayesian inference for misspecified models so that it is useful for specific purposes. One popular modified Bayesian inference method is "cutting feedback" which can be used when the model…

Graphical models describe associations between variables through the notion of conditional independence. Gaussian graphical models are a widely used class of such models where the relationships are formalized by non-null entries of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-08 Sagnik Bhadury , Riten Mitra , Jeremy T. Gaskins

Motivated by recent works of Neyrinck et al. 2009 and Scherrer et al. 2010, we proposed a Gaussianization transform to Gaussianize the non-Gaussian lensing convergence field $\kappa$. It performs a local monotonic transformation…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2011-08-11 Yu Yu , Pengjie Zhang , Weipeng Lin , Weiguang Cui , James N. Fry

Cosmological parameter estimation is traditionally performed in the Bayesian context. By adopting an "agnostic" statistical point of view, we show the interest of confronting the Bayesian results to a frequentist approach based on…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2016-07-12 S. Henrot-Versillé , O. Perdereau , S. Plaszczynski , B. Rouillé d'Orfeuil , M. Spinelli , M. Tristram

A nonparanormal graphical model is a semiparametric generalization of a Gaussian graphical model for continuous variables in which it is assumed that the variables follow a Gaussian graphical model only after some unknown smooth monotone…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-23 Jami J. Mulgrave , Subhashis Ghosal

The rapidly improving precision of measurements of gravitational lensing of the Cosmic Microwave Background (CMB) also requires a corresponding increase in the precision of theoretical modeling. A commonly made approximation is to model the…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2016-08-24 Vanessa Böhm , Marcel Schmittfull , Blake D. Sherwin

Calibration is nowadays one of the most important processes involved in the extraction of valuable data from measurements. The current availability of an optimum data cube measured from a heterogeneous set of instruments and surveys relies…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2012-08-13 Maria Jose Marquez

Applying a machine learning model for decision-making in the real world requires to distinguish what the model knows from what it does not. A critical factor in assessing the knowledge of a model is to quantify its predictive uncertainty.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-15 Kajetan Schweighofer , Lukas Aichberger , Mykyta Ielanskyi , Sepp Hochreiter

We study the asymptotic behaviour of the posterior distribution in a broad class of statistical models where the "true" solution occurs on the boundary of the parameter space. We show that in this case Bayesian inference is consistent, and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-02 Natalia A. Bochkina , Peter J. Green

Consider the setting where there are B>1 candidate statistical models, and one is interested in model selection. Two common approaches to solve this problem are to select a single model or to combine the candidate models through model…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-22 Qingying Zong , Jonathan R. Bradley

We consider drawing statistical inferences based on data subject to non-Gaussian measurement error. Unlike most existing methods developed under the assumption of Gaussian measurement error, the proposed strategy exploits hypercomplex…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-06 Nicholas W. Woolsey , Xianzheng Huang
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