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Gaussian process state-space models (GPSSMs) provide a principled and flexible approach to modeling the dynamics of a latent state, which is observed at discrete-time points via a likelihood model. However, inference in GPSSMs is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-18 Xuhui Fan , Edwin V. Bonilla , Terence J. O'Kane , Scott A. Sisson

A new method called "variational sampling" is proposed to estimate integrals under probability distributions that can be evaluated up to a normalizing constant. The key idea is to fit the target distribution with an exponential family model…

Computation · Statistics 2013-10-15 Alexis Roche

The Finite element method (FEM) has long served as the computational backbone for topology optimization (TO). However, for designing structures undergoing large deformations, conventional FEM-based TO often exhibits numerical instabilities…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Rahul Kumar Padhy , Aaditya Chandrasekhar , Krishnan Suresh

A near-field motion parameter estimation method is proposed. In contract to far-field sensing systems, the near-field sensing system leverages spherical-wave characteristics to enable full-vector location and velocity estimation. Despite…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-18 Chunwei Meng , Zhaolin Wang , Zhiqing Wei , Yuanwei Liu , Zhiyong Feng

Given observed data and a probabilistic generative model, Bayesian inference searches for the distribution of the model's parameters that could have yielded the data. Inference is challenging for large population studies where millions of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-08-31 Louis Rouillard , Alexandre Le Bris , Thomas Moreau , Demian Wassermann

Recently, through a unified gradient flow perspective of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and variational inference (VI), particle-based variational inference methods (ParVIs) have been proposed that tend to combine the best of both worlds.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-31 Shiyue Zhang , Longlin Yu , Ziheng Cheng , Cheng Zhang

Environmental and individualistic variables affect the rate of human decomposition in complex ways. These effects complicate the estimation of the postmortem interval (PMI) based on observed decomposition characteristics. In this work, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-18 D. Hudson Smith , Noah Nisbet , Carl Ehrett , Cristina I. Tica , Madeline M. Atwell , Katherine E. Weisensee

Integration against a probability distribution given its unnormalized density is a central task in Bayesian inference and other fields. We introduce new methods for approximating such expectations with a small set of weighted samples --…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-15 Ayoub Belhadji , Daniel Sharp , Youssef M. Marzouk

We elaborate on a deconvolution method, used to estimate the empirical distribution of unknown parameters, as suggested recently by Efron (2013). It is applied to estimating the empirical distribution of the 'sampling probabilities' of m…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-20 Eitan Greenshtein , Theodor Itskov

The performance of data fusion and tracking algorithms often depends on parameters that not only describe the sensor system, but can also be task-specific. While for the sensor system tuning these variables is time-consuming and mostly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-29 André Brandenburger , Folker Hoffmann , Alexander Charlish

In this paper, we introduce a novel, data-driven approach for solving high-dimensional Bayesian inverse problems based on partial differential equations (PDEs), called Weak Neural Variational Inference (WNVI). The method complements real…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-31 Vincent C. Scholz , Yaohua Zang , Phaedon-Stelios Koutsourelakis

In this work, we propose an end-to-end adaptive sampling neural network (MMPDE-Net) based on the moving mesh method, which can adaptively generate new sampling points by solving the moving mesh PDE. This model focuses on improving the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-06-11 Yu Yang , Qihong Yang , Yangtao Deng , Qiaolin He

In order to predict future performance of subsurface fluid reservoirs under possible operating scenarios, a dynamic, porous-medium flow simulation model must be tuned to include representative properties of the reservoir. Estimating…

Geophysics · Physics 2026-02-04 Zhen Zhang , Xuebin Zhao , Andrew Curtis

We present a scalable approach to performing approximate fully Bayesian inference in generic state space models. The proposed method is an alternative to particle MCMC that provides fully Bayesian inference of both the dynamic latent states…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-13 Marcel Hirt , Petros Dellaportas

Most applications of Bayesian Inference for parameter estimation and model selection in astrophysics involve the use of Monte Carlo techniques such as Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and nested sampling. However, these techniques are time…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2022-01-26 Geetakrishnasai Gunapati , Anirudh Jain , P. K. Srijith , Shantanu Desai

Geoscientists use observed data to estimate properties of the Earth's interior. This often requires non-linear inverse problems to be solved and uncertainties to be estimated. Bayesian inference solves inverse problems under a probabilistic…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-01-01 Xuebin Zhao , Andrew Curtis

Particle Filtering (PF) methods are an established class of procedures for performing inference in non-linear state-space models. Resampling is a key ingredient of PF, necessary to obtain low variance likelihood and states estimates.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-01 Adrien Corenflos , James Thornton , George Deligiannidis , Arnaud Doucet

We consider the problem of multivariate density deconvolution when the interest lies in estimating the distribution of a vector-valued random variable but precise measurements of the variable of interest are not available, observations…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-06 Abhra Sarkar , Debdeep Pati , Bani K. Mallick , Raymond J. Carroll

Switching dynamical systems provide a powerful, interpretable modeling framework for inference in time-series data in, e.g., the natural sciences or engineering applications. Since many areas, such as biology or discrete-event systems, are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-30 Lukas Köhs , Bastian Alt , Heinz Koeppl

Hyperspectral unmixing is an important remote sensing task with applications including material identification and analysis. Characteristic spectral features make many pure materials identifiable from their visible-to-infrared spectra, but…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-07-14 John Janiczek , Parth Thaker , Gautam Dasarathy , Christopher S. Edwards , Philip Christensen , Suren Jayasuriya