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Logistic models are studied as a tool to convert output from numerical weather forecasting systems (deterministic and ensemble) into probability forecasts for binary events. A logistic model obtains by putting the logarithmic odds ratio…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2009-01-29 Jochen Bröcker

Optimization modeling stands as the engine of scientific decision-making in logistics and transportation, yet its adoption is hindered by a steep expertise threshold and the latency of manual workflows. Automating this process via Large…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Beinuo Yang , Qishen Zhou , Junyi Li , Chenxing Su , Panagiotis Angeloudis , Simon Hu

Data science has been satisfactorily used to discover social issues in several parts of the world. However, there is a lack of governmental open data to discover those issues in countries such as Iraq. This situation arises the following…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-06-16 Merari González , Germán H. Alférez

A clinical study is often necessary for exploring important research questions; however, this approach is sometimes time and money consuming. Another extreme approach, which is to collect and aggregate opinions from crowds, provides a…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2022-05-17 Shoko Wakamiya , Toshiki Mera , Eiji Aramaki , Masaki Matsubara , Atsuyuki Morishima

Reinforcement Learning from Human Feedback (RLHF) has become a pivotal paradigm in artificial intelligence to align large models with human preferences. In this paper, we propose a novel statistical framework to simultaneously conduct the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-01 Nan Lu , Ethan Lee , Ethan X. Fang , Junwei Lu

In Turkey the increasing tension, due to the presence of 3.4 million Syrian refugees, demands the formulation of effective integration policies. Moreover, their design requires tools aimed at understanding the integration of refugees…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2019-07-17 Antonio L. Alfeo , Mario G. C. A. Cimino , Bruno Lepri , Alex 'Sandy' Pentland , Gigliola Vaglini

A classical problem in city-scale cyber-physical systems (CPS) is resource allocation under uncertainty. Typically, such problems are modeled as Markov (or semi-Markov) decision processes. While online, offline, and decentralized approaches…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-03-05 Geoffrey Pettet , Ayan Mukhopadhyay , Mykel Kochenderfer , Abhishek Dubey

We propose a model of inference and heuristic decision-making in groups that is rooted in the Bayes rule but avoids the complexities of rational inference in partially observed environments with incomplete information, which are…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2016-11-04 M. Amin Rahimian , Ali Jadbabaie

In an emergency situation, the evacuation of a large crowd from a complex building can become slow or even dangerous without a working evacuation plan. The use of rescue guides that lead the crowd out of the building can improve the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-08-23 Anton von Schantz , Harri Ehtamo

One of the most widespread multi-criteria decision-making methods is the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP). AHP successfully combines the pairwise comparisons method and the hierarchical approach. It allows the decision-maker to set…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-05-24 Anna Kędzior , Konrad Kułakowski

International migration implies the coexistence of different ethnic and cultural groups in the receiving country. The refugee crisis of 2015 has resulted in critical levels of opinion polarization on the question of whether to welcome…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2018-12-14 Rocco Paolillo , Wander Jager

Weather forecasting plays a vital role in numerous sectors, but accurately capturing the complex dynamics of weather systems remains a challenge for traditional statistical models. Apart from Auto Regressive time forecasting models like…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2023-11-27 Anuvab Sen , Arul Rhik Mazumder , Dibyarup Dutta , Udayon Sen , Pathikrit Syam , Sandipan Dhar

While there are many well-developed data science methods for classification and regression, there are relatively few methods for working with right-censored data. Here, we present "survival stacking": a method for casting survival analysis…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-29 Erin Craig , Chenyang Zhong , Robert Tibshirani

In optimization problems, the quality of a candidate solution can be characterized by the optimality gap. For most stochastic optimization problems, this gap must be statistically estimated. We show that for risk-averse problems, standard…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-05 E. Ruben van Beesten , Nick W. Koning , David P. Morton

We propose a development of the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) permitting to use the methodology also in cases of decision problems with a very large number of alternatives evaluated with respect to several criteria. While the application…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-04-27 Francesca Abastante , Salvatore Corrente , Salvatore Greco , Alessio Ishizaka , Isabella Lami

The container relocation problem is a combinatorial optimisation problem aimed at finding a sequence of container relocations to retrieve all containers in a predetermined order by minimising a given objective. Relocation rules (RRs), which…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2023-07-06 Marko Đurasević , Mateja Đumić , Rebeka Čorić , Francisco Javier Gil-Gala

The Rohingya Movement and Crisis caused a huge uproar in the political and economic state of Bangladesh. Refugee movement is a recurring event and a large amount of data in the form of opinions remains on social media such as Facebook, with…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2018-03-26 Hemayet Ahmed Chowdhury , Tanvir Alam Nibir , Md. Saiful Islam

In transportation applications such as real-time route guidance, ramp metering, congestion pricing and special events traffic management, accurate short-term traffic flow prediction is needed. For this purpose, this paper proposes several…

Applications · Statistics 2020-11-19 Gurcan Comert , Negash Begashaw , Nathan Huynh

An important feature of pervasive, intelligent assistance systems is the ability to dynamically adapt to the current needs of their users. Hence, it is critical for such systems to be able to recognize those goals and needs based on…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-01-16 Nils Wilken , Lea Cohausz , Johannes Schaum , Stefan Lüdtke , Heiner Stuckenschmidt

With the increasing frequency of natural disasters, operators must prioritize improvements in the existing electric power grid infrastructure to enhance the resilience of the grid. Resilience to extreme weather events necessitates lowering…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-28 Abodh Poudyal , Shishir Lamichhane , Anamika Dubey , Josue Campos do Prado