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We consider a discrete latent variable model for two-way data arrays, which allows one to simultaneously produce clusters along one of the data dimensions (e.g. exchangeable observational units or features) and contiguous groups, or…

A core problem in machine learning is to learn expressive latent variables for model prediction on complex data that involves multiple sub-components in a flexible and interpretable fashion. Here, we develop an approach that improves…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-13 Yi-Lin Tuan , Zih-Yun Chiu , William Yang Wang

Multi-state models are commonly used for intermittent observations of a state over time, but these are generally based on the Markov assumption, that transition rates are independent of the time spent in current and previous states. In a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-07 Christopher Jackson

We introduce an extension of finite mixture models by incorporating skew-normal distributions within a Hidden Markov Model framework. By assuming a constant transition probability matrix and allowing emission distributions to vary according…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-25 Andrea Nigri , Marco Forti , Han Lin Shang

A symbolic analysis of observed time series data requires making a discrete partition of a continuous state space containing observations of the dynamics. A particular kind of partition, called ``generating'', preserves all dynamical…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-10 Matthew B. Kennel , Michael Buhl

Building a predictive model that rapidly adapts to real-time condition monitoring (CM) signals is critical for engineering systems/units. Unfortunately, many current methods suffer from a trade-off between representation power and agility…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-25 Seokhyun Chung , Raed Al Kontar

Change-point detection methods are proposed for the case of temporary failures, or transient changes, when an unexpected disorder is ultimately followed by a readjustment and return to the initial state. A base distribution of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-14 Baron Michael , Malov Sergey

Peak detection is a problem in sequential data analysis that involves differentiating regions with higher counts (peaks) from regions with lower counts (background noise). It is crucial to correctly predict areas that deviate from the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-07 Toby D. Hocking , Jacob M. Kaufman , Alyssa J. Stenberg

We consider the analysis of sets of categorical sequences consisting of piecewise homogeneous Markov segments. The sequences are assumed to be governed by a common underlying process with segments occurring in the same order for each…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-04-08 Petter Arnesen , Tracy Holsclaw , Padhraic Smyth

Changepoints are abrupt variations in the generative parameters of a data sequence. Online detection of changepoints is useful in modelling and prediction of time series in application areas such as finance, biometrics, and robotics. While…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2007-10-22 Ryan Prescott Adams , David J. C. MacKay

This work studies networked agents cooperating to track a dynamical state of nature under partial information. The proposed algorithm is a distributed Bayesian filtering algorithm for finite-state hidden Markov models (HMMs). It can be used…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-12-07 Mert Kayaalp , Virginia Bordignon , Stefan Vlaski , Vincenzo Matta , Ali H. Sayed

Online detection of instantaneous changes in the generative process of a data sequence generally focuses on retrospective inference of such change points without considering their future occurrences. We extend the Bayesian Online Change…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-25 Diego Agudelo-España , Sebastian Gomez-Gonzalez , Stefan Bauer , Bernhard Schölkopf , Jan Peters

We introduce a random partition model for Bayesian nonparametric regression. The model is based on infinitely-many disjoint regions of the range of a latent covariate-dependent Gaussian process. Given a realization of the process, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-01-04 George Karabatsos , Stephen G. Walker

Bayesian nonparametric mixtures and random partition models are powerful tools for probabilistic clustering. However, standard independent mixture models can be restrictive in some applications such as inference on cell lineage due to the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-15 Giovanni Rebaudo , Peter Mueller

An unsupervised classification method for point events occurring on a network of lines is proposed. The idea relies on the distributional flexibility and practicality of random partition models to discover the clustering structure featuring…

Sequential modelling of high-dimensional data is an important problem that appears in many domains including model-based reinforcement learning and dynamics identification for control. Latent variable models applied to sequential data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-23 Oliver Limoyo , Trevor Ablett , Jonathan Kelly

Detecting changes in high-dimensional time series is difficult because it involves the comparison of probability densities that need to be estimated from finite samples. In this paper, we present the first feature extraction method tailored…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-03-19 Duncan Blythe , Paul von Bünau , Frank Meinecke , Klaus-Robert Müller

We propose the first comprehensive treatment of high-dimensional time series factor models with multiple change-points in their second-order structure. We operate under the most flexible definition of piecewise stationarity, and estimate…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-31 Matteo Barigozzi , Haeran Cho , Piotr Fryzlewicz

In this paper, I propose a general procedure for multivariate distribution-free nonparametric testing derived from the concept of ranks that are based upon measure transportation in the context of multiple change point analysis. I will use…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2021-08-30 Amanda Ng

Modern large-scale computing deployments consist of complex applications running over machine clusters. An important issue in these is the offering of elasticity, i.e., the dynamic allocation of resources to applications to meet fluctuating…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2017-02-13 Konstantinos Lolos , Ioannis Konstantinou , Verena Kantere , Nectarios Koziris