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We consider the hedging problem where a futures position can be automatically liquidated by the exchange without notice. We derive a semi-closed form for an optimal hedging strategy with dual objectives - to minimise both the variance of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-11 Carol Alexander , Jun Deng , Bin Zou

The problem of stock hedging is reconsidered in this paper, where a put option is chosen from a set of available put options to hedge the market risk of a stock. A formula is proposed to determine the probability that the potential loss…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-10-04 Guanghui Huang , Jing Xu , Wenting Xing

We study the problem of optimally hedging the price exposure of liquidity positions in constant-product automated market makers (AMMs) when the hedge is funded by collateralized borrowing. A liquidity provider (LP) who borrows tokens to…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-23 Atsushi Hane

We test various volatility models using the Bitcoin spot price series. Our models include HIST, EMA ARCH, GARCH, and EGARCH, models. Both of our in-sample-fit and out-of-sample-forecast results suggest that GARCH and EGARCH models perform…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-16 Yeguang Chi , Wenyan Hao

This study examines the weak form of the efficient market hypothesis for Bitcoin using a feedforward neural network. Due to the increasing popularity of cryptocurrencies in recent years, the question has arisen, as to whether market…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-08-16 Mike Kraehenbuehl , Joerg Osterrieder

This paper examines the volatility and covariance dynamics of cash and futures contracts that underlie the Optimal Hedge Ratio (OHR) across different hedging time horizons. We examine whether hedge ratios calculated over a short term…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-03-31 John Cotter , Jim Hanly

The cryptocurrency market is volatile, non-stationary and non-continuous. Together with liquid derivatives markets, this poses a unique opportunity to study risk management, especially the hedging of options, in a turbulent market. We study…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2022-12-05 Jovanka Lili Matic , Natalie Packham , Wolfgang Karl Härdle

In recent years, cryptocurrencies have attracted growing attention from both private investors and institutions. Among them, Bitcoin stands out for its impressive volatility and widespread influence. This paper explores the predictability…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-29 Grégory Bournassenko

Shorting for hedging exposes to risk when the market dynamics is uncertain. Managing uncertainty and risk exposure is key in portfolio management practice. This paper develops a robust framework for dynamic minimum-variance hedging that…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-03 Adele Ravagnani , Mattia Chiappari , Andrea Flori , Piero Mazzarisi , Marco Patacca

We consider the problem of optimal hedging in an incomplete market with an established pricing kernel. In such a market, prices are uniquely determined, but perfect hedges are usually not available. We work in the rather general setting of…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-09-02 George Bouzianis , Lane P. Hughston

This research proposes a novel arbitrage approach in multivariate pair trading, termed the Optimal Trading Technique (OTT). We present a method for selectively forming a "bucket" of fiat currencies anchored to cryptocurrency for monitoring…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-08-12 Hongshen Yang , Avinash Malik

Bitcoin is firmly becoming a mainstream asset in our global society. Its highly volatile nature has traders and speculators flooding into the market to take advantage of its significant price swings in the hope of making money. This work…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-29 Nathan Crone , Eoin Brophy , Tomas Ward

It is well-known that using delta hedging to hedge financial options is not feasible in practice. Traders often rely on discrete-time hedging strategies based on fixed trading times or fixed trading prices (i.e., trades only occur if the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-06 Cheng Cai , Tiziano De Angelis , Jan Palczewski

Using the generalized extreme value theory to characterize tail distributions, we address liquidation, leverage, and optimal margins for bitcoin long and short futures positions. The empirical analysis of perpetual bitcoin futures on BitMEX…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-02-10 Zhiyong Cheng , Jun Deng , Tianyi Wang , Mei Yu

This paper studies dynamic asset allocation with interest rate risk and several sources of ambiguity. The market consists of a risk-free asset, a zero-coupon bond (both determined by a Vasicek model), and a stock. There is ambiguity about…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-10-30 Julian Hölzermann

In this article, we introduce an algorithm called Backward Hedging, designed for hedging European and American options while considering transaction costs. The optimal strategy is determined by minimizing an appropriate loss function, which…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-06-26 Ludovic Goudenège , Andrea Molent , Antonino Zanette

The security of Bitcoin protocols is deeply dependent on the incentives provided to miners, which come from a combination of block rewards and transaction fees. As Bitcoin experiences more halving events, the protocol reward converges to…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-09-12 Roozbeh Sarenche , Alireza Aghabagherloo , Svetla Nikova , Bart Preneel

This paper analyzes a problem of optimal static hedging using derivatives in incomplete markets. The investor is assumed to have a risk exposure to two underlying assets. The hedging instruments are vanilla options written on a single…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-04 Tim Leung , Matthew Lorig , Yoshihiro Shirai

In most real scenarios the construction of a risk-neutral portfolio must be performed in discrete time and with transaction costs. Two human imposed constraints are the risk-aversion and the profit maximization, which together define a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-21 G. Mazzei , F. G. Bellora , J. A. Serur

We present an algorithm producing a dynamic non-self-financing hedging strategy in an incomplete market corresponding to investor-relevant risk criterion. The optimization is a two stage process that first determines admissible model…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-10 N. Josephy , L. Kimball , A. Nagaev , M. Pasniewski , V. Steblovskaya
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