Related papers: Neural stochastic Volterra equations: learning pat…
Stochastic volatility (SV) models are nonlinear state-space models that enjoy increasing popularity for fitting and predicting heteroskedastic time series. However, due to the large number of latent quantities, their efficient estimation is…
We consider a neural network with adapting synapses whose dynamics can be analitically computed. The model is made of $N$ neurons and each of them is connected to $K$ input neurons chosen at random in the network. The synapses are…
We explore a link between stochastic volatility (SV) and path-dependent volatility (PDV) models. Using assumed density filtering, we map a given SV model into a corresponding PDV representation. The resulting specification is lightweight,…
Neural ordinary differential equations (ODEs) have attracted much attention as continuous-time counterparts of deep residual neural networks (NNs), and numerous extensions for recurrent NNs have been proposed. Since the 1980s, ODEs have…
We present a novel model Graph Neural Stochastic Differential Equations (Graph Neural SDEs). This technique enhances the Graph Neural Ordinary Differential Equations (Graph Neural ODEs) by embedding randomness into data representation using…
In this paper we study set-valued Volterra-type stochastic integrals driven by L\'{e}vy processes. Upon extending the classical definitions of set-valued stochastic integral functionals to convoluted integrals with square-integrable…
This short, self-contained article seeks to introduce and survey continuous-time deep learning approaches that are based on neural ordinary differential equations (neural ODEs). It primarily targets readers familiar with ordinary and…
We introduce time-inhomogeneous stochastic volatility models, in which the volatility is described by a nonnegative function of a Volterra type continuous Gaussian process that may have very rough sample paths. The main results obtained in…
We propose an accurate data-driven numerical scheme to solve Stochastic Differential Equations (SDEs), by taking large time steps. The SDE discretization is built up by means of a polynomial chaos expansion method, on the basis of…
In this paper, we price European Call three different option pricing models, where the volatility is dynamically changing i.e. non constant. In stochastic volatility (SV) models for option pricing a closed form approximation technique is…
Neural ordinary differential equations (ODEs) are an emerging class of deep learning models for dynamical systems. They are particularly useful for learning an ODE vector field from observed trajectories (i.e., inverse problems). We here…
This article introduces a dynamic spatiotemporal stochastic volatility (SV) model with explicit terms for the spatial, temporal, and spatiotemporal spillover effects. Moreover, the model includes time-invariant site-specific constant…
In this paper, we are interested in comparing solutions to stochastic Volterra equations for the convex order on the space of continuous $\R^d$-valued paths and for the monotonic convex order when $d=1$. Even if in general these solutions…
The lifted Heston model is a stochastic volatility model emerging as a Markovian lift of the rough Heston model and the class of rough volatility processes. The model encodes the path dependency of volatility on a set of N square-root state…
The paper presents a review of the studies that were conducted at Energy Systems Institute (ESI) SB RAS in the field of mathematical modeling of nonlinear input-output dynamic systems with Volterra polynomials. The first part presents an…
Stochastic evolution underpins several approaches to the dynamics of open quantum systems, such as random modulation of Hamiltonian parameters, the stochastic Schrodinger equation (SSE), and the stochastic Liouville equation (SLE). These…
We compare the most common SV models such as the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU), the Heston and the exponential OU (expOU) models. We try to decide which is the most appropriate one by studying their volatility autocorrelation and leverage effect,…
By composing graphical models with deep learning architectures, we learn generative models with the strengths of both frameworks. The structured variational autoencoder (SVAE) inherits structure and interpretability from graphical models,…
In this work, we consider the regularity property of stochastic convolutions for a class of abstract linear stochastic retarded functional differential equations with unbounded operator coefficients. We first establish some useful estimates…
We present a comprehensive evaluation of the robustness and explainability of ResNet-like models in the context of Unintended Radiated Emission (URE) classification and suggest a new approach leveraging Neural Stochastic Differential…