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I propose a novel framework that integrates stochastic differential equations (SDEs) with deep generative models to improve uncertainty quantification in machine learning applications involving structured and temporal data. This approach,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-09 James Rice

The field of hypothesis generation promises to reduce costs in neuroscience by narrowing the range of interventional studies needed to study various phenomena. Existing machine learning methods can generate scientific hypotheses from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-04 Zachary C. Brown , David Carlson

We study the problem of inferring heterogeneous treatment effects from time-to-event data. While both the related problems of (i) estimating treatment effects for binary or continuous outcomes and (ii) predicting survival outcomes have been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-25 Alicia Curth , Changhee Lee , Mihaela van der Schaar

In medical research, understanding changes in outcome measurements is crucial for inferring shifts in health conditions. However, traditional methods often struggle with large, irregularly longitudinal data and fail to account for the…

Applications · Statistics 2025-03-13 Yu Luo , Chris Sherlock

Quantifying predictive uncertainty of deep semantic segmentation networks is essential in safety-critical tasks. In applications like autonomous driving, where video data is available, convolutional long short-term memory networks are…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-11-14 Laura Fieback , Bidya Dash , Jakob Spiegelberg , Hanno Gottschalk

Modeling physiological time-series in ICU is of high clinical importance. However, data collected within ICU are irregular in time and often contain missing measurements. Since absence of a measure would signify its lack of importance, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-07-18 Phuoc Nguyen , Truyen Tran , Svetha Venkatesh

Deep learning has emerged as a promising tool for precipitation downscaling. However, current models rely on likelihood-based loss functions to properly model the precipitation distribution, leading to spatially inconsistent projections…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-08-02 Jose González-Abad

A class of multivariate mixed survival models for continuous and discrete time with a complex covariance structure is introduced in a context of quantitative genetic applications. The methods introduced can be used in many applications in…

Applications · Statistics 2014-05-06 Rafael Pimentel Maia , Per Madsen , Rodrigo Labouriau

This paper presents a probabilistic model for reasoning about the state of a system as it changes over time, both due to exogenous and endogenous influences. Our target domain is a class of medical prediction problems that are neither so…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-21 Steve Hanks , David Madigan , Jonathan Gavrin

The generation of synthetic data is an essential tool to study complex systems, allowing for example to test models of these in precisely controlled settings, or to parametrize simulation models when data is missing. This paper focuses on…

Applications · Statistics 2019-11-25 Juste Raimbault

We introduce a unified framework, formulated as general latent space models, to study complex higher-order network interactions among multiple entities. Our framework covers several popular models in recent network analysis literature,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-01 Zhongyuan Lyu , Dong Xia , Yuan Zhang

This paper explores and develops alternative statistical representations and estimation approaches for dynamic mortality models. The framework we adopt is to reinterpret popular mortality models such as the Lee-Carter class of models in a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-04 Man Chung Fung , Gareth W. Peters , Pavel V. Shevchenko

Probabilistic inference in high-dimensional state-space models is computationally challenging. For many spatiotemporal systems, however, prior knowledge about the dependency structure of state variables is available. We leverage this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-09 Fiona Lippert , Bart Kranstauber , E. Emiel van Loon , Patrick Forré

Real-world dynamical systems often consist of multiple stochastic subsystems that interact with each other. Modeling and forecasting the behavior of such dynamics are generally not easy, due to the inherent hardness in understanding the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-14 Fan Yang , Ling Chen , Fan Zhou , Yusong Gao , Wei Cao

Although deep learning has achieved appealing results on several machine learning tasks, most of the models are deterministic at inference, limiting their application to single-modal settings. We propose a novel general-purpose framework…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-12 Sameera Ramasinghe , Kanchana Ranasinghe , Salman Khan , Nick Barnes , Stephen Gould

Worldwide, many millions of people die suddenly and unexpectedly each year, either with or without a prior history of cardiovascular disease. Such events are sparse (once in a lifetime), many victims will not have had prior investigations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-06 Yola Jones , Fani Deligianni , Jeff Dalton , Pierpaolo Pellicori , John G F Cleland

Multiple cause-of-death data provides a valuable source of information that can be used to enhance health standards by predicting health related trajectories in societies with large populations. These data are often available in large…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2017-05-11 Hamid Reza Hassanzadeh , Ying Sha , May D. Wang

We consider a setting where multiple entities inter-act with each other over time and the time-varying statuses of the entities are represented as multiple correlated time series. For example, speed sensors are deployed in different…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-23 Razvan-Gabriel Cirstea , Chenjuan Guo , Bin Yang

Mortality prediction in intensive care units is considered one of the critical steps for efficiently treating patients in serious condition. As a result, various prediction models have been developed to address this problem based on modern…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-15 Huachuan Wang , Yuanfei Bi

Over the past few years, research on deep graph learning has shifted from static graphs to temporal graphs in response to real-world complex systems that exhibit dynamic behaviors. In practice, temporal graphs are formalized as an ordered…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-30 Jintang Li , Ruofan Wu , Xinzhou Jin , Boqun Ma , Liang Chen , Zibin Zheng