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Climate hazards can cause major disasters when they occur simultaneously as compound hazards. To understand the distribution of climate risk and inform adaptation policies, scientists need to simulate a large number of physically realistic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-01 Alison Peard , Jim Hall

We propose a probabilistic framework for developing computational models of biological neural systems. In this framework, physiological recordings are viewed as discrete-time partial observations of an underlying continuous-time stochastic…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2026-02-10 Ahmed ElGazzar , Marcel van Gerven

Background: While deep learning technology, which has the capability of obtaining latent representations based on large-scale data, can be a potential solution for the discovery of a novel aging biomarker, existing deep learning methods for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-02 Seong-Eun Moon , Ji Won Yoon , Shinyoung Joo , Yoohyung Kim , Jae Hyun Bae , Seokho Yoon , Haanju Yoo , Young Min Cho

Low-prior targets are common among many important clinical events, which introduces the challenge of having enough data to support learning of their predictive models. Many prior works have addressed this problem by first building a general…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-29 Matthew Barren , Milos Hauskrecht

Joint models for longitudinal biomarkers and time-to-event data are widely used in longitudinal studies. Many joint modeling approaches have been proposed to deal with different types of longitudinal biomarkers and survival outcomes.…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-09-27 Molei Liu , Jiehuan Sun , Jose D. Herazo-Maya , Naftali Kaminski , Hongyu Zhao

Deep generative models have significantly advanced medical imaging analysis by enhancing dataset size and quality. Beyond mere data augmentation, our research in this paper highlights an additional, significant capacity of deep generative…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-10-18 Xiaodan Xing , Junzhi Ning , Yang Nan , Guang Yang

Marked temporal point processes (MTPPs) model sequences of events occurring at irregular time intervals, with wide-ranging applications in fields such as healthcare, finance and social networks. We propose the state-space point process…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-24 Yuxin Chang , Alex Boyd , Cao Xiao , Taha Kass-Hout , Parminder Bhatia , Padhraic Smyth , Andrew Warrington

Deep generative models are increasingly used to gain insights in the geospatial data domain, e.g., for climate data. However, most existing approaches work with temporal snapshots or assume 1D time-series; few are able to capture…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-04-27 Konstantin Klemmer , Sudipan Saha , Matthias Kahl , Tianlin Xu , Xiao Xiang Zhu

The individual data collected throughout patient follow-up constitute crucial information for assessing the risk of a clinical event, and eventually for adapting a therapeutic strategy. Joint models and landmark models have been proposed to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-17 Anthony Devaux , Robin Genuer , Karine Pérès , Cécile Proust-Lima

We develop a simulation tool to support policy-decisions about healthcare for chronic diseases in defined populations. Incident disease-cases are generated in-silico from an age-sex characterised general population using standard…

Applications · Statistics 2010-09-03 Nathan Green , Duncan Smith , Matthew Sperrin , Iain Buchan

Comorbid diseases co-occur and progress via complex temporal patterns that vary among individuals. In electronic health records we can observe the different diseases a patient has, but can only infer the temporal relationship between each…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-22 Zhaozhi Qian , Ahmed M. Alaa , Alexis Bellot , Jem Rashbass , Mihaela van der Schaar

Kidney transplantation is the preferred treatment for people suffering from end-stage renal disease. Successful kidney transplants still fail over time, known as graft failure; however, the time to graft failure, or graft survival time, can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-07 Zhipeng Huang , Kevin S. Xu

In many scientific problems such as video surveillance, modern genomics, and finance, data are often collected from diverse measurements across time that exhibit time-dependent heterogeneous properties. Thus, it is important to not only…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-10 Lin Qiu , Vernon M. Chinchilli , Lin Lin

Neural Temporal Point Processes (TPPs) have emerged as the primary framework for predicting sequences of events that occur at irregular time intervals, but their sequential nature can hamper performance for long-horizon forecasts. To…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-23 Mai Zeng , Florence Regol , Mark Coates

Disease progression models are instrumental in predicting individual-level health trajectories and understanding disease dynamics. Existing models are capable of providing either accurate predictions of patients prognoses or clinically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-25 Ahmed M. Alaa , Mihaela van der Schaar

State-space models (SSMs) offer a powerful framework for dynamical system analysis, wherein the temporal dynamics of the system are assumed to be captured through the evolution of the latent states, which govern the values of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-17 Jiahe Lin , George Michailidis

A key question in clinical practice is accurate prediction of patient prognosis. To this end, nowadays, physicians have at their disposal a variety of tests and biomarkers to aid them in optimizing medical care. These tests are often…

Continuous blood pressure (BP) monitoring is essential for timely diagnosis and intervention in critical care settings. However, BP varies significantly across individuals, this inter-patient variability motivates the development of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-10 Cheng Wan , Chenjie Xie , Longfei Liu , Dan Wu , Ye Li

Continuously-observed event occurrences, often exhibit self- and mutually-exciting effects, which can be well modeled using temporal point processes. Beyond that, these event dynamics may also change over time, with certain periodic trends.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-11 Sikun Yang , Hongyuan Zha

In many clinical trials studying neurodegenerative diseases such as Parkinson's disease (PD), multiple longitudinal outcomes are collected to fully explore the multidimensional impairment caused by this disease. If the outcomes deteriorate…

Applications · Statistics 2017-05-18 Jue Wang , Sheng Luo , Liang Li