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In this paper, we introduce a generalized birth process (GBP) which performs jumps of size $1,2,\dots,k$ whose rates depend on the state of the process at time $t\geq0$. We derive a non-exploding condition for it. The system of differential…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-05 K. K. Kataria , M. Khandakar

We introduce a flexible and scalable class of Bayesian geostatistical models for discrete data, based on the class of nearest neighbor mixture transition distribution processes (NNMP), referred to as discrete NNMP. The proposed class…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-04 Xiaotian Zheng , Athanasios Kottas , Bruno Sansó

The space-fractional and the time-fractional Poisson processes are two well-known models of fractional evolution. They can be constructed as standard Poisson processes with the time variable replaced by a stable subordinator and its…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-09 Luisa Beghin , Costantino Ricciuti

Gaussian Process State Space Models (GP-SSM) are a data-driven stochastic model class suitable to represent nonlinear dynamics. They have become increasingly popular in non-parametric modeling approaches since they provide not only a…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-11-19 Thomas Beckers , Sandra Hirche

Non-conjugate Gaussian processes (NCGPs) define a flexible probabilistic framework to model categorical, ordinal and continuous data, and are widely used in practice. However, exact inference in NCGPs is prohibitively expensive for large…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-18 Lukas Tatzel , Jonathan Wenger , Frank Schneider , Philipp Hennig

This paper proposes an online learning method of Gaussian process state-space model (GP-SSM). GP-SSM is a probabilistic representation learning scheme that represents unknown state transition and/or measurement models as Gaussian processes…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-10-30 Soon-Seo Park , Young-Jin Park , Youngjae Min , Han-Lim Choi

Multi-output Gaussian process (MGP) is commonly used as a transfer learning method to leverage information among multiple outputs. A key advantage of MGP is providing uncertainty quantification for prediction, which is highly important for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-06 Wang Xinming , Li Yongxiang , Yue Xiaowei , Wu Jianguo

Gaussian Process (GPs) models are a rich distribution over functions with inductive biases controlled by a kernel function. Learning occurs through the optimisation of kernel hyperparameters using the marginal likelihood as the objective.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-22 Fergus Simpson , Vidhi Lalchand , Carl Edward Rasmussen

The Gaussian process state-space model (GPSSM) has attracted extensive attention for modeling complex nonlinear dynamical systems. However, the existing GPSSM employs separate Gaussian processes (GPs) for each latent state dimension,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-06 Zhidi Lin , Juan Maroñas , Ying Li , Feng Yin , Sergios Theodoridis

Gaussian process regression can flexibly represent the posterior distribution of an interest parameter given sufficient information on the likelihood. However, in some cases, we have little knowledge regarding the probability model. For…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-22 Yuta Shikuri

We propose a new discrete choice model, called the generalized stochastic preference (GSP) model, that incorporates non-rationality into the stochastic preference (SP) choice model, also known as the rank-based model. Our model can capture…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-08-28 Gerardo Berbeglia , Ashwin Venkataraman

Gaussian processes (GPs) are frequently used in machine learning and statistics to construct powerful models. However, when employing GPs in practice, important considerations must be made, regarding the high computational burden,…

Computation · Statistics 2021-03-08 Karla Monterrubio-Gómez , Sara Wade

The term \emph{moderate deviations} is often used in the literature to mean a class of large deviation principles that, in some sense, fills the gap between a convergence in probability to zero (governed by a large deviation principle) and…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-05 Jeonghwa Lee , Claudio Macci

Neural Processes (NPs) are a family of conditional generative models that are able to model a distribution over functions, in a way that allows them to perform predictions at test time conditioned on a number of context points. A recent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-14 Jens Petersen , Gregor Köhler , David Zimmerer , Fabian Isensee , Paul F. Jäger , Klaus H. Maier-Hein

We consider the persistence probability, the occupation-time distribution and the distribution of the number of zero crossings for discrete or (equivalently) discretely sampled Gaussian Stationary Processes (GSPs) of zero mean. We first…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 George M. C. A. Ehrhardt , Satya N. Majumdar , Alan J. Bray

Multifractional processes extend the concept of fractional Brownian motion by replacing the constant Hurst parameter with a time-varying Hurst function. This extension allows for modulation of the roughness of sample paths over time. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-11 Antoine Ayache , Andriy Olenko , Nemini Samarakoon

In this paper, we introduce and study a convoluted version of the time fractional Poisson process by taking the discrete convolution with respect to space variable in the system of fractional differential equations that governs its state…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-20 K. K. Kataria , M. Khandakar

We present nested sampling for factor graphs (NSFG), a novel nested sampling approach to approximate inference for posterior distributions expressed over factor-graphs. Performing such inference is a key step in simultaneous localization…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-08-10 Qiangqiang Huang , Alan Papalia , John J. Leonard

We introduce and study a multiparameter version of the generalized counting process (GCP), where there is a possibility of finitely many arrivals simultaneously. We call it the multiparameter GCP. In a particular case, it is uniquely…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-06 Manisha Dhillon , Kuldeep Kumar Kataria

The proliferation of capable and efficient machine learning (ML) models marks one of the strongest methodological shifts in signal processing (SP) in its nearly 100-year history. ML models support the development of SP systems that…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-01 Daniel Waxman , Fernando Llorente , Petar M. Djurić