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Latent variable models like the Variational Auto-Encoder (VAE) are commonly used to learn representations of images. However, for downstream tasks like semantic classification, the representations learned by VAE are less competitive than…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-31 Mingtian Zhang , Tim Z. Xiao , Brooks Paige , David Barber

High-dimensional multivariate spatial-temporal data arise frequently in a wide range of applications; however, there are relatively few statistical methods that can simultaneously deal with spatial, temporal and variable-wise dependencies…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-05 Elynn Y. Chen , Xin Yun , Rong Chen , Qiwei Yao

The wind is one of the most increasingly used renewable energy resources. Accurate and reliable forecast of wind speed is necessary for efficient power production; however, it is not an easy task because it depends upon meteorological…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-23 Aqsa Saeed Qureshi , Asifullah Khan , Muhammad Waleed Khan

Applying machine learning models to meteorological data brings many opportunities to the Geosciences field, such as predicting future weather conditions more accurately. In recent years, modeling meteorological data with deep neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-11 Rafaela Castro , Yania M. Souto , Eduardo Ogasawara , Fabio Porto , Eduardo Bezerra

For centuries, scientists have observed nature to understand the laws that govern the physical world. The traditional process of turning observations into physical understanding is slow. Imperfect models are constructed and tested to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-27 M. Giselle Fernández-Godino , Donald D. Lucas , Qingkai Kong

Accurate wind power forecasts depend on reliable wind speed forecasts. Numerical Weather Predictions (NWPs) utilize huge amounts of computing time, but still have rather low spatial and temporal resolution. However, stochastic wind speed…

Applications · Statistics 2015-09-10 Daniel Ambach , Carsten Croonenbroeck

Data-driven reduced-order models based on autoencoders generally lack interpretability compared to classical methods such as the proper orthogonal decomposition. More interpretability can be gained by disentangling the latent variables and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-21 Henning Schwarz , Pyei Phyo Lin , Jens-Peter M. Zemke , Thomas Rung

Imitation learning is an intuitive approach for teaching motion to robotic systems. Although previous studies have proposed various methods to model demonstrated movement primitives, one of the limitations of existing methods is that the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-09-24 Takayuki Osa , Shuhei Ikemoto

Deep neural networks offer an alternative paradigm for modeling weather conditions. The ability of neural models to make a prediction in less than a second once the data is available and to do so with very high temporal and spatial…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-07-07 Marcin Andrychowicz , Lasse Espeholt , Di Li , Samier Merchant , Alexander Merose , Fred Zyda , Shreya Agrawal , Nal Kalchbrenner

In this paper we propose a unified framework for structured prediction with latent variables which includes hidden conditional random fields and latent structured support vector machines as special cases. We describe a local entropy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-03 Alexander Schwing , Tamir Hazan , Marc Pollefeys , Raquel Urtasun

Time series forecasting plays a crucial role in diverse fields, necessitating the development of robust models that can effectively handle complex temporal patterns. In this article, we present a novel feature selection method embedded in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-01 Raquel Espinosa , Fernando Jiménez , José Palma

The ability to accurately model random fields plays a critical role in science and engineering for problems involving uncertain, spatially-varying quantities such as heterogeneous material properties and turbulent flows. Deep generative…

In this paper we discuss and address the challenges of predicting extreme atmospheric events like intense rainfall, hail, and strong winds. These events can cause significant damage and have become more frequent due to climate change.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-10-06 Mikhail Mozikov , Ilya Makarov , Alexandr Bulkin , Daria Taniushkina , Roland Grinis , Yury Maximov

Deep-learning (DL) weather prediction models offer some notable advantages over traditional physics-based models, including auto-differentiability and low computational cost, enabling detailed diagnostics of forecast errors. Using our…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-07-23 Uros Perkan , Ziga Zaplotnik , Gregor Skok

Variational autoencoders employ an encoding neural network to generate a probabilistic representation of a data set within a low-dimensional space of latent variables followed by a decoding stage that maps the latent variables back to the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-04-13 David Yevick

The recent revolution in data-driven methods for weather forecasting has lead to a fragmented landscape of complex, bespoke architectures and training strategies, obscuring the fundamental drivers of forecast accuracy. Here, we demonstrate…

Weather forecast plays an essential role in multiple aspects of the daily life of human beings. Currently, physics based numerical weather prediction is used to predict the weather and requires enormous amount of computational resources. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-14 Akshay Punjabi , Pablo Izquierdo Ayala

The problem of forecasting spatiotemporal events such as crimes and accidents is crucial to public safety and city management. Besides accuracy, interpretability is also a key requirement for spatiotemporal forecasting models to justify the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-23 Bang An , Xun Zhou , Zirui Zhou , Ronilo Ragodos , Zenglin Xu , Jun Luo

Most operational climate services providers base their seasonal predictions on initialised general circulation models (GCMs) or statistical techniques that fit past observations. GCMs require substantial computational resources, which…

Rapid progress in machine learning and deep learning has enabled a wide range of applications in the electricity load forecasting of power systems, for instance, univariate and multivariate short-term load forecasting. Though the strong…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-20 Yuqi Jiang , Yan Li , Yize Chen