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Related papers: Bayesian Mapping of Mortality Clusters

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This paper explores and develops alternative statistical representations and estimation approaches for dynamic mortality models. The framework we adopt is to reinterpret popular mortality models such as the Lee-Carter class of models in a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-04 Man Chung Fung , Gareth W. Peters , Pavel V. Shevchenko

Bayesian models are a powerful tool for studying complex data, allowing the analyst to encode rich hierarchical dependencies and leverage prior information. Most importantly, they facilitate a complete characterization of uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-04-25 Steven Winter , Trevor Campbell , Lizhen Lin , Sanvesh Srivastava , David B. Dunson

Due to the cross-domain distribution shift aroused from diverse medical imaging systems, many deep learning segmentation methods fail to perform well on unseen data, which limits their real-world applicability. Recent works have shown the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-03-06 Shangqi Gao , Hangqi Zhou , Yibo Gao , Xiahai Zhuang

As cancer patient survival improves, late effects from treatment are becoming the next clinical challenge. Chemotherapy and radiotherapy, for example, potentially increase the risk of both morbidity and mortality from second malignancies…

This paper introduces a Bayesian framework that combines Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling, dimensionality reduction, and neural density estimation to efficiently handle inverse problems that (i) must be solved multiple times, and…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-02-24 Giacomo Bottacini , Matteo Torzoni , Andrea Manzoni

We introduce a repulsive mixture model to cluster observation units represented by multivariate functional data, based on similarity of curve shapes and individual-specific covariates. We propose a repulsive prior distribution for the…

Small-area mortality estimation is inherently difficult, as random fluctuations from low death counts can obscure real geographic differences. We introduce a flexible model that borrows strength across age, space, and time to estimate…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-25 Jacob Martin , Carlo Giovanni Camarda

We present clustering methods for multivariate data exploiting the underlying geometry of the graphical structure between variables. As opposed to standard approaches that assume known graph structures, we first estimate the edge structure…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-09-28 Sayantan Banerjee , Rehan Akbani , Veerabhadran Baladandayuthapani

Probabilistic machine learning models are often insufficient to help with decisions on interventions because those models find correlations - not causal relationships. If observational data is only available and experimentation are…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-05-13 Marios Papamichalis , Abhishek Ray , Ilias Bilionis , Karthik Kannan , Rajiv Krishnamurthy

We investigate the molecular gene expressions studies and public databases for disease modelling using Probabilistic Graphical Models and Bayesian Inference. A case study on Spinal Muscle Atrophy Genome-Wide Association Study results is…

Applications · Statistics 2023-11-30 Mohammed Ezzat Helal , Manal Ezzat Helal , Sherif Fadel Fahmy

Bayesian clustering typically relies on mixture models, with each component interpreted as a different cluster. After defining a prior for the component parameters and weights, Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are commonly used to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-30 Alexander Dombowsky , David B. Dunson

This study develops a pattern recognition method that identifies patterns based on their similarity and their association with the outcome of interest. The practical purpose of developing this pattern recognition method is to group…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-20 Hadi Akbarzadeh Khorshidi , Uwe Aickelin , Gholamreza Haffari , Behrooz Hassani-Mahmooei

The maternal mortality ratio (MMR) is defined as the number of maternal deaths in a population per 100,000 live births. Country-specific MMR estimates are published on a regular basis by the United Nations Maternal Mortality Estimation…

Reconstructing who infected whom is a central challenge in analysing epidemiological data. Recently, advances in sequencing technology have led to increasing interest in Bayesian approaches to inferring who infected whom using genetic data…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2016-09-30 Michelle Kendall , Diepreye Ayabina , Caroline Colijn

Non-communicable diseases like diabetes, obesity and certain forms of cancer have been increasing in many countries at alarming levels. A difficulty in the conception of policies to reverse these trends is the identification of the drivers…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-03-29 Lazaros K. Gallos , Pablo Barttfeld , Shlomo Havlin , Mariano Sigman , Hernan A. Makse

Human mortality data sets can be expressed as multiway data arrays, the dimensions of which correspond to categories by which mortality rates are reported, such as age, sex, country and year. Regression models for such data typically assume…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-04-15 Bailey K. Fosdick , Peter D. Hoff

Data from multiple prevalence surveys can provide information on common parameters of interest, which can therefore be estimated more precisely in a joint analysis than by separate analyses of the data from each survey. However, fitting a…

Applications · Statistics 2013-12-23 Emanuele Giorgi , Sanie S. S. Sesay , Dianne J. Terlouw , Peter J. Diggle

A model-based approach is developed for clustering categorical data with no natural ordering. The proposed method exploits the Hamming distance to define a family of probability mass functions to model the data. The elements of this family…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-02 Raffaele Argiento , Edoardo Filippi-Mazzola , Lucia Paci

Sepsis is a life-threatening condition caused by a dysregulated host response to infection. Recently, researchers have hypothesized that sepsis consists of a heterogeneous spectrum of distinct subtypes, motivating several studies to…

Applications · Statistics 2025-02-12 Alexander Dombowsky , David B. Dunson , Deng B. Madut , Matthew P. Rubach , Amy H. Herring

Joint models have proven to be an effective approach for uncovering potentially hidden connections between various types of outcomes, mainly continuous, time-to-event, and binary. Typically, longitudinal continuous outcomes are…