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A general market model with memory is considered in terms of stochastic functional differential equations. We aim at representation formulae for the sensitivity analysis of the dependence of option prices on the memory. This implies a…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-24 David R. Banos , Giulia Di Nunno , Frank Proske

In this text, we study the temporal behavior of markets using models expressible as ordinary differential equations. The markets studied are those where each customer buys only one copy of the good, for example, subscription of smartphone…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2015-11-24 Jan A. Audestad

We propose a single chunk model of long-term memory that combines the basic features of the ACT-R theory and the multiple trace memory architecture. The pivot point of the developed theory is a mathematical description of the creation of…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2014-02-18 Ihor Lubashevsky , Bohdan Datsko

A competitive wholesale electricity market consists of thousands of interacting market participants. Driven by the variations of fuel costs, system loads and weathers, these market participants compete actively and behave variously in the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-11-01 Zhongyang Zhao , Caisheng Wang , Huaiwei Liao , Carol J. Miller

Energy forecasting has attracted enormous attention over the last few decades, with novel proposals related to the use of heterogeneous data sources, probabilistic forecasting, online learn-ing, etc. A key aspect that emerged is that…

Applications · Statistics 2022-04-05 Pierre Pinson , Liyang Han , Jalal Kazempour

Mathematical models are vital interpretive and predictive tools used to assist in the understanding of cell migration. There are typically two approaches to modelling cell migration: either micro-scale, discrete or macro-scale, continuum.…

Cell Behavior · Quantitative Biology 2018-08-16 Enrico Gavagnin , Christian A. Yates

This article reviews different kinds of models for the electric power grid that can be used to understand the modern power system, the smart grid. From the physical network to abstract energy markets, we identify in the literature different…

This paper develops a comprehensive mathematical framework for energy-based modeling of physical systems, with particular emphasis on preserving fundamental structural properties throughout the modeling and discretization process. The…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-12-11 M. H. M Rashid

This work focuses on the electric power market, comparing the status quo with the recent trend towards the increase in distributed self-generation capabilities by prosumers. Starting from the existing tension between the intrinsically…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-03-30 Luca Mazzola , Alexander Denzler , Ramon Christen

We study price formation in intraday electricity markets in the presence of intermittent renewable generation. We consider the setting where a major producer may interact strategically with a large number of small producers. Using…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-11-17 Olivier Féron , Peter Tankov , Laura Tinsi

As consumer flexibility becomes expected, it is important that the market mechanisms which attain that flexibility are perceived as fair. We set out fairness issues in energy markets today, and propose a market design to address them.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-17 Shaun Sweeney , Chris King , Mark O'Malley , Robert Shorten

The new technologies emerging in the energy sector pose new requirements for both the regulation and operation of the electricity grid. Revised tariff structures and the introduction of local markets are two approaches that could tackle the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-19 Bence Suto , Daniel Divenyi

In this article, a multiple split method is proposed that enables construction of multidimensional probabilistic forecasts of a selected set of variables. The method uses repeated resampling to estimate uncertainty of simultaneous…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-11 Katarzyna Maciejowska , Weronika Nitka

Electricity markets are experiencing a rapid increase in energy storage unit participation. Unlike conventional generation resources, quantifying the competitive operation and identifying if a storage unit is exercising market power is…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-01-16 Yiqian Wu , Bolun Xu , James Anderson

We propose a framework where generation and transmission capacities are planned concurrently in market environments with a focus on the prosumers. This paper is a continuation of Part I and presents numerical results from three archetypal…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-05-24 Ni Wang , Remco Verzijlbergh , Petra Heijnen , Paulien Herder

Many physical, biological, and engineered systems exhibit memory effects that challenge Markovian models. Fractional calculus provides nonlocal operators to capture hereditary dynamics. This survey connects modeling, analysis, and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-16 Navid Mojahed , Hooman Fatoorehchi , Shima Nazari

Derivatives of fractional order with respect to time describe long-term memory effects. Using nonlinear differential equation with Caputo fractional derivative of arbitrary order $\alpha>0$, we obtain discrete maps with power-law memory.…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2014-03-03 Vasily E. Tarasov

How does dynamic price information flow among Northern European electricity spot prices and prices of major electricity generation fuel sources? We use time series models combined with new advances in causal inference to answer these…

Applications · Statistics 2011-10-26 Egil Ferkingstad , Anders Løland , Mathilde Wilhelmsen

This paper evaluates the impact of the power extent on price in the electricity market. The competitiveness extent of the electricity market during specific times in a day is considered to achieve this. Then, the effect of competitiveness…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-30 Naser Rostamni , Tarik A. Rashid

Market power behaviour often occurs in modern wholesale electricity markets. Mixed Complementarity Problems (MCPs) have been typically used for computational modelling of market power when it is characterised by an oligopoly with…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-01-13 Mel T. Devine , Sauleh Siddiqui
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