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We give a method for proactively identifying small, plausible shifts in distribution which lead to large differences in model performance. These shifts are defined via parametric changes in the causal mechanisms of observed variables, where…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-18 Nikolaj Thams , Michael Oberst , David Sontag

This work develops a flexible inferential framework for nonparametric causal inference in time-to-event settings, based on stochastic interventions defined through multiplicative scaling of the intensity governing an intermediate event…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-04 Helene Charlotte Wiese Rytgaard , Mark van der Laan

In the absence of randomized controlled and natural experiments, it is necessary to balance the distributions of (observable) covariates of the treated and control groups in order to obtain an unbiased estimate of a causal effect of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-02 Martin Cousineau , Vedat Verter , Susan A. Murphy , Joelle Pineau

Context: Agile IT organizations, which are characterized by self-organization and collaborative social interactions, require motivating, efficient and flexible work environments to maximize value creation. Compressed work schedules such as…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2025-07-15 Marvin Auf der Landwehr , Julia Topp , Michael Neumann

Pragmatic trials increasingly define outcomes using real-world data such as electronic health records, where assessments are collected during routine care rather than at fixed timepoints. Consequently, these uncontrolled assessments may be…

Mendelian randomization (MR) considers using genetic variants as instrumental variables (IVs) to infer causal effects in observational studies. However, the validity of causal inference in MR can be compromised when the IVs are potentially…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-06 Ziya Xu , Sai Li

Evaluating meeting effectiveness is crucial for improving organizational productivity. Current approaches rely on post-hoc surveys that yield a single coarse-grained score for an entire meeting. The reliance on manual assessment is…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Yihang Li , Chenhui Chu

Empirical studies are fundamental in assessing the effectiveness of implementations of branch-and-bound algorithms. The complexity of such implementations makes empirical study difficult for a wide variety of reasons. Various attempts have…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2021-04-21 Stephen J. Maher , Ted K. Ralphs , Yuji Shinano

Unmeasured confounding presents a common challenge in observational studies, potentially making standard causal parameters unidentifiable without additional assumptions. Given the increasing availability of diverse data sources, exploiting…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-18 Shanshan Luo , Yechi Zhang , Wei Li

We propose a new model selection criterion for mixed effects regression models that is computable when the model is fitted with a two-step method, even when the structure and the distribution of the random effects are unknown. The criterion…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-14 Radu V. Craiu , Thierry Duchesne

Decisions in organisations may be made either by a Central Authority (CA), e.g., in a hierarchy, or by the agents in a decentralised way, e.g., in a heterarchy. Since both kinds of organisations have their advantages (e.g., optimality for…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-03-11 Thierry Moyaux

Many empirical studies estimate causal effects in environments where economic units interact through spatial or network connections. In such settings, outcomes are jointly determined, and treatment induced shocks propagate across…

General Economics · Economics 2026-01-05 Mariluz Mate

This paper contributes to the literature on treatment effects estimation with machine learning inspired methods by studying the performance of different estimators based on the Lasso. Building on recent work in the field of high-dimensional…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-05-15 Michael Zimmert

This study aims to optimize the evaluation metric of multimodal multi-objective optimization problems using a Regionalized Metric Framework, which provides a certain boost to research in this field. Existing evaluation metrics usually use…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2025-06-03 Jintai Chen , Fangqing Liu , Xueming Yan , Han Huang

Multi-agent LLM systems are increasingly deployed as autonomous collaborators, where agents interact freely rather than execute fixed, pre-specified workflows. In such settings, effective coordination cannot be fully designed in advance and…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2026-02-10 Aneesh Pappu , Batu El , Hancheng Cao , Carmelo di Nolfo , Yanchao Sun , Meng Cao , James Zou

In the sequential decision making setting, an agent aims to achieve systematic generalization over a large, possibly infinite, set of environments. Such environments are modeled as discrete Markov decision processes with both states and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-31 Mirco Mutti , Riccardo De Santi , Emanuele Rossi , Juan Felipe Calderon , Michael Bronstein , Marcello Restelli

Evaluating the causal impacts of possible interventions is crucial for informing decision-making, especially towards improving access to opportunity. However, if causal effects are heterogeneous and predictable from covariates, personalized…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-30 Ezinne Nwankwo , Michael I. Jordan , Angela Zhou

In this paper, we conduct a simulation study with subject-level data to evaluate conventional meta-regression approaches (study-level random, fixed, and mixed effects) against seven methodology specifications new to meta-regressions that…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-18 Ali Habibnia , Jonathan Gendron

In multi-site randomized trials with many sites and few randomization units per site, an Empirical-Bayes estimator can be used to estimate the variance of the treatment effect across sites. When this estimator indicates that treatment…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-12-12 Clément de Chaisemartin , Antoine Deeb

This paper studies nonparametric local (over-)identification and the semiparametric efficiency in modern causal frameworks. We develop a unified approach that begins by translating structural models with latent variables into their induced…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-02 Xiaohong Chen , Haitian Xie
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