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Despite their popularity, deep neural networks (DNNs) applied to time series forecasting often fail to beat simpler statistical models. One of the main causes of this suboptimal performance is the data non-stationarity present in many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-08 Edoardo Urettini , Daniele Atzeni , Reshawn J. Ramjattan , Antonio Carta

For a Bayesian, real-time forecasting with the posterior predictive distribution can be challenging for a variety of time series models. First, estimating the parameters of a time series model can be difficult with sample-based approaches…

Applications · Statistics 2022-08-08 Taylor R. Brown

Segment Anything Model (SAM) is an advanced foundational model for image segmentation, which is gradually being applied to remote sensing images (RSIs). Due to the domain gap between RSIs and natural images, traditional methods typically…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-01-14 Nanqing Liu , Xun Xu , Yongyi Su , Haojie Zhang , Heng-Chao Li

Time series forecasting plays an increasingly important role in modern business decisions. In today's data-rich environment, people often aim to choose the optimal forecasting model for their data. However, identifying the optimal model…

Applications · Statistics 2021-12-17 Xixi Li , Fotios Petropoulos , Yanfei Kang

Dense associative memories (DAM), are widespread models in artificial intelligence used for pattern recognition tasks; computationally, they have been proven to be robust against adversarial input and theoretically, leveraging their analogy…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2022-11-09 Elena Agliari , Alberto Fachechi , Chiara Marullo

Probabilistic time-series forecasting enables reliable decision making across many domains. Most forecasting problems have diverse sources of data containing multiple modalities and structures. Leveraging information as well as uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-28 Harshavardhan Kamarthi , Lingkai Kong , Alexander Rodríguez , Chao Zhang , B. Aditya Prakash

We introduce a novel modeling approach for time series imputation and forecasting, tailored to address the challenges often encountered in real-world data, such as irregular samples, missing data, or unaligned measurements from multiple…

Time series data is used in a wide range of real world applications. In a variety of domains , detailed analysis of time series data (via Forecasting and Anomaly Detection) leads to a better understanding of how events associated with a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-11 Yunus Parvej Faniband , Iskandar Ishak , Sadiq M. Sait

Large time series models (LTMs) have emerged as powerful tools for universal forecasting, yet they often struggle with the inherent diversity and nonstationarity of real-world time series data, leading to an unsatisfactory trade-off between…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Yunzhong Qiu , Zhiyao Cen , Zhongyi Pei , Chen Wang , Jianmin Wang

We introduce a Gaussian process-based model for handling of non-stationarity. The warping is achieved non-parametrically, through imposing a prior on the relative change of distance between subsequent observation inputs. The model allows…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-12-06 David Tolpin

This paper presents an ensemble forecasting method that shows strong results on the M4 Competition dataset by decreasing feature and model selection assumptions, termed DONUT (DO Not UTilize human beliefs). Our assumption reductions,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-29 Lars Lien Ankile , Kjartan Krange

In the current context of Big Data, the nature of many forecasting problems has changed from predicting isolated time series to predicting many time series from similar sources. This has opened up the opportunity to develop competitive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-23 Hansika Hewamalage , Christoph Bergmeir , Kasun Bandara

Vision-language foundation models have been incredibly successful in a wide range of downstream computer vision tasks using adaptation methods. However, due to the high cost of obtaining pre-training datasets, pairs with weak image-text…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-09-27 Wenshuo Peng , Kaipeng Zhang , Yue Yang , Hao Zhang , Yu Qiao

Rates of missing data often depend on record-keeping policies and thus may change across times and locations, even when the underlying features are comparatively stable. In this paper, we introduce the problem of Domain Adaptation under…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-05 Helen Zhou , Sivaraman Balakrishnan , Zachary C. Lipton

Deep learning for time series forecasting has traditionally operated within a one-model-per-dataset framework, limiting its potential to leverage the game-changing impact of large pre-trained models. The concept of universal forecasting,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Gerald Woo , Chenghao Liu , Akshat Kumar , Caiming Xiong , Silvio Savarese , Doyen Sahoo

Given a set of synchronous time series, each associated with a sensor-point in space and characterized by inter-series relationships, the problem of spatiotemporal forecasting consists of predicting future observations for each point.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-11 Ivan Marisca , Cesare Alippi , Filippo Maria Bianchi

An AI-based Limited-Area Model (LAM) is developed for dynamical downscaling over the Southern Great Plains and the southeastern United States, with strong generalization abilities under diverse boundary conditions. The model is trained…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-02-25 Yingkai Sha , Tracy Hertneky , Ethan Gutmann , Seth McGinnis , Rachel McCrary , Lulin Xue , David John Gagne , Kathryn Newman , Andrew Newman

The Segment Anything Model (SAM) is a deep neural network foundational model designed to perform instance segmentation which has gained significant popularity given its zero-shot segmentation ability. SAM operates by generating masks based…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-04-19 Yona Falinie A. Gaus , Neelanjan Bhowmik , Brian K. S. Isaac-Medina , Toby P. Breckon

Domain adaptation (DA) strives to mitigate the domain gap between the source domain where a model is trained, and the target domain where the model is deployed. When a deep learning model is deployed on an aerial platform, it may face…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-08-16 Chowdhury Sadman Jahan , Andreas Savakis

Handling missing data in time series classification remains a significant challenge in various domains. Traditional methods often rely on imputation, which may introduce bias or fail to capture the underlying temporal dynamics. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-03 YongKyung Oh , Dong-Young Lim , Sungil Kim , Alex Bui