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We develop Markov categories as a framework for synthetic probability and statistics, following work of Golubtsov as well as Cho and Jacobs. This means that we treat the following concepts in purely abstract categorical terms: conditioning…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-02 Tobias Fritz

The fundamental concepts underlying in Markov networks are the conditional independence and the set of rules called Markov properties that translates conditional independence constraints into graphs. In this article we introduce the concept…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-03-14 Niharika Gauraha

Continuous Time Markov Chain (CMTC) is widely used to describe and analyze systems in several knowledge areas. Steady state availability is one important analysis that can be made through Markov chain formalism that allows researchers…

Performance · Computer Science 2017-01-24 Eduardo M. Vasconcelos

We have developed a steady state theory of complex transport networks used to model the flow of commodity, information, viruses, opinions, or traffic. Our approach is based on the use of the Markov chains defined on the graph…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 D. Volchenkov , Ph. Blanchard

In this note we consider a Markov chain formed by a finite system of interacting birth-and-death processes on a finite state space. We study an asymptotic behaviour of the Markov chain as its state space becomes large. In particular, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-14 Vadim Shcherbakov , Anatoly Yambartsev

This article continues our study of Markovian consistency and Markov copulae. In particular, we characterize the weak Markovian consistency for finite Markov chains. We discuss some aspects of dependence between the components of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-12 Tomasz R. Bielecki , Jacek Jakubowski , Mariusz Niewęgłowski

The tail chain of a Markov chain can be used to model the dependence between extreme observations. For a positive recurrent Markov chain, the tail chain aids in describing the limit of a sequence of point processes $\{N_n,n\geq1\}$,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-10-01 Sidney I. Resnick , David Zeber

We consider a series of configurations defined by fibers of a given base configuration. We prove that Markov degree of the configurations is bounded from above by the Markov complexity of the base configuration. As important examples of…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2014-07-28 Takayuki Koyama , Mitsunori Ogawa , Akimichi Takemura

Markov networks are models for compactly representing complex probability distributions. They are composed by a structure and a set of numerical weights. The structure qualitatively describes independences in the distribution, which can be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-07-31 Alejandro Edera , Yanela Strappa , Facundo Bromberg

The extremes of a univariate Markov chain with regulary varying stationary marginal distribution and asymptotically linear behavior are known to exhibit a multiplicative random walk structure called the tail chain. In this paper, we extend…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-04 Anja Janßen , Johan Segers

A block Markov chain is a Markov chain whose state space can be partitioned into a finite number of clusters such that the transition probabilities only depend on the clusters. Block Markov chains thus serve as a model for Markov chains…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-03 Jaron Sanders , Alexander Van Werde

Parametric Interval Markov Chains (pIMCs) are a specification formalism that extend Markov Chains (MCs) and Interval Markov Chains (IMCs) by taking into account imprecision in the transition probability values: transitions in pIMCs are…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2017-06-02 Anicet Bart , Benoit Delahaye , Didier Lime , Eric Monfroy , Charlotte Truchet

We propose a method for learning Markov network structures for continuous data without invoking any assumptions about the distribution of the variables. The method makes use of previous work on a non-parametric estimator for mutual…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-08-09 Janne Leppä-aho , Santeri Räisänen , Xiao Yang , Teemu Roos

The problem of constructing optimal AIFV codes is a special case of that of constructing minimum cost Markov Chains. This paper provides the first complete proof of correctness for the previously known iterative algorithm for constructing…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2024-07-08 Reza Hosseini Dolatabadi , Mordedcai J. Golin , Arian Zamani

For Markov chains and Markov processes exhibiting a form of stochastic monotonicity (larger states shift up transition probabilities in terms of stochastic dominance), stability and ergodicity results can be obtained using order-theoretic…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-01 Takashi Kamihigashi , John Stachurski

The paper studies an improved estimate for the rate of convergence for nonlinear homogeneous discrete-time Markov chains. These processes are nonlinear in terms of the distribution law. Hence, the transition kernels are dependent on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-21 Aleksandr Shchegolev

A wide class of ``counting'' problems have been studied in Computer Science. Three typical examples are the estimation of - (i) the permanent of an $n\times n$ 0-1 matrix, (ii) the partition function of certain $n-$ particle Statistical…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Ravi Kannan

This work focuses on time-inhomogeneous Markov chains with two time scales. Our motivations stem from applications in reliability and dependability, queueing networks, financial engineering and manufacturing systems, where two-time-scale…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 George Yin , Hanqin Zhang

Kolmogorov complexity and algorithmic probability are defined only up to an additive resp. multiplicative constant, since their actual values depend on the choice of the universal reference computer. In this paper, we analyze a natural…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2010-03-29 Markus Mueller

For a given Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm we introduce a distance between two configurations that quantifies the difficulty of transition from one configuration to the other configuration. We argue that the distance takes a universal…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2018-03-21 Masafumi Fukuma , Nobuyuki Matsumoto , Naoya Umeda