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At the end of April 20, 2020, there were only a few new COVID-19 cases remaining in China, whereas the rest of the world had shown increases in the number of new cases. It is of extreme importance to develop an efficient statistical model…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-01 Xiaoping Shi , Meiqian Chen , Yucheng Dong

Non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) have been crucial in curbing COVID-19 in the United States (US). Consequently, relaxing NPIs through a phased re-opening of the US amid still-high levels of COVID-19 susceptibility could lead to new…

Here we propose and implement a generalized mathematical model to find the time evolution of population in infectious diseases and apply the model to study the recent COVID-19 pandemic. Our model at the core is a non-local generalization of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-01 Saumyak Mukherjee , Sayantan Mondal , Biman Bagchi

COVID-19 pandemic has reshaped our world in a timescale much shorter than what we can understand. Particularities of SARS-CoV-2, such as its persistence in surfaces and the lack of a curative treatment or vaccine against COVID-19, have…

As a reaction to the high infectiousness and lethality of the COVID-19 virus, countries around the world have adopted drastic policy measures to contain the pandemic. However, it remains unclear which effect these measures, so-called…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-08-11 Lucas Baier , Niklas Kühl , Jakob Schöffer , Gerhard Satzger

COVID-19 has caused lasting damage to almost every domain in public health, society, and economy. To monitor the pandemic trend, existing studies rely on the aggregation of traditional statistical models and epidemic spread theory. In other…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-08-10 Yichao Zhou , Jyun-yu Jiang , Xiusi Chen , Wei Wang

The rapid spread of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) has severely impacted almost all countries around the world. It not only has caused a tremendous burden on health-care providers to bear, but it has also brought severe impacts on the…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-08-18 Shayan Fazeli , Babak Moatamed , Majid Sarrafzadeh

The acute phase of the Covid-19 pandemic has made apparent the need for decision support based upon accurate epidemic modeling. This process is substantially hampered by under-reporting of cases and related data incompleteness issues. In…

Applications · Statistics 2026-03-10 Anastasios Apsemidis , Nikolaos Demiris

The choices that researchers make while conducting a statistical analysis usually have a notable impact on the results. This fact has become evident in the ongoing research of the association between the environment and the evolution of the…

Applications · Statistics 2020-09-29 Álvaro Briz-Redón

The emergence of SARS-CoV-2 and the coronavirus infectious disease (COVID-19) has become a pandemic. Social (physical) distancing is a key non-pharmacologic control measure to reduce the transmission rate of SARS-COV-2, but high-level…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-11-30 Song Gao , Jinmeng Rao , Yuhao Kang , Yunlei Liang , Jake Kruse , Doerte Doepfer , Ajay K. Sethi , Juan Francisco Mandujano Reyes , Jonathan Patz , Brian S. Yandell

Since the outbreak of COVID-19, an astronomical number of publications on the pandemic dynamics appeared in the literature, of which many use the susceptible infected removed (SIR) and susceptible exposed infected removed (SEIR) models, or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-03 Hua-Liang Wei , S. A. Billings

Public health officials dealing with pandemics like COVID-19 have to evaluate and prepare response plans. This planning phase requires not only looking into the spatiotemporal dynamics and impact of the pandemic using simulation models, but…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2020-10-23 Shehzad Afzal , Sohaib Ghani , Hank C. Jenkins-Smith , David S. Ebert , Markus Hadwiger , Ibrahim Hoteit

As countries look towards re-opening of economic activities amidst the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic, ensuring public health has been challenging. While contact tracing only aims to track past activities of infected users, one path to safe…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-15 Sirisha Rambhatla , Sepanta Zeighami , Kameron Shahabi , Cyrus Shahabi , Yan Liu

Understanding the factors that impact how a communicable disease like COVID-19 spreads is of central importance to mitigate future outbreaks. Traditionally, epidemic surveillance and forecasting analyses have focused on epidemiological data…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-03-17 Léo Meynent , Michael Bang Petersen , Sune Lehmann , Benjamin F. Maier

We aimed to explore the utility of the recently developed open-source mobile health platform RADAR-base as a toolbox to rapidly test the effect and response to NPIs aimed at limiting the spread of COVID-19. We analysed data extracted from…

The fast transmission rate of COVID-19 worldwide has made this virus the most important challenge of year 2020. Many mitigation policies have been imposed by the governments at different regional levels (country, state, county, and city) to…

Applications · Statistics 2022-05-04 Yue Bai , Abolfazl Safikhani , George Michailidis

Accurate modeling of lockdown effects on SARS-CoV-2 epidemic evolution is a key issue in order e.g. to inform health-care decisions on emergency management. The compartmental and spatial models so far proposed use parametric descriptions of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-08-31 Gianluigi Pillonetto , Mauro Bisiacco , Giorgio Palù , Claudio Cobelli

A central pillar of the UK's response to the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic was the provision of up-to-the moment nowcasts and short term projections to monitor current trends in transmission and associated healthcare burden. Here we present a…

Phenomenological and deterministic models are often used for the estimation of transmission parameters in an epidemic and for the prediction of its growth trajectory. Such analyses are usually based on single peak outbreak dynamics. In…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-01-20 D. P. Mahapatra , S. Triambak

To investigate whether a deep learning model can detect Covid-19 from disruptions in the human body's physiological (heart rate) and rest-activity rhythms (rhythmic dysregulation) caused by the SARS-CoV-2 virus. We propose CovidRhythm, a…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-01-25 Atifa Sarwar , Emmanuel O. Agu