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Recently, the superiority of Transformer for long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) tasks has been challenged, particularly since recent work has shown that simple models can outperform numerous Transformer-based approaches. This suggests…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-10 Shengsheng Lin , Weiwei Lin , Wentai Wu , Songbo Wang , Yongxiang Wang

Spatial-temporal forecasting systems play a crucial role in addressing numerous real-world challenges. In this paper, we investigate the potential of addressing spatial-temporal forecasting problems using general time series forecasting…

Accurate forecasting of multivariate time series data remains a formidable challenge, particularly due to the growing complexity of temporal dependencies in real-world scenarios. While neural network-based models have achieved notable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Andrey Savchenko , Oleg Kachan

Recent research has challenged the necessity of complex deep learning architectures for time series forecasting, demonstrating that simple linear models can often outperform sophisticated approaches. Building upon this insight, we introduce…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-30 Remi Genet , Hugo Inzirillo

In the real world, long sequence time-series forecasting (LSTF) is needed in many cases, such as power consumption prediction and air quality prediction.Multi-dimensional long time series model has more strict requirements on the model,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-11 Ning Wang

Although transformer-based methods have achieved great success in multi-scale temporal pattern interaction modeling, two key challenges limit their further development: (1) Individual time points contain less semantic information, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-01 Zongjiang Shang , Ling Chen , Binqing wu , Dongliang Cui

Machine learning methods trained on raw numerical time series data exhibit fundamental limitations such as a high sensitivity to the hyper parameters and even to the initialization of random weights. A combination of a recurrent neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-13 Steven Elsworth , Stefan Güttel

The endeavor of stock trend forecasting is principally focused on predicting the future trajectory of the stock market, utilizing either manual or technical methodologies to optimize profitability. Recent advancements in machine learning…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-02-19 Mingjie Wang , Juanxi Tian , Mingze Zhang , Jianxiong Guo , Weijia Jia

Sequence modeling has important applications in natural language processing and computer vision. Recently, the transformer-based models have shown strong performance on various sequence modeling tasks, which rely on attention to capture…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-05-09 Zhen Qin , Xiaodong Han , Weixuan Sun , Bowen He , Dong Li , Dongxu Li , Yuchao Dai , Lingpeng Kong , Yiran Zhong

It is common practice in deep learning to use overparameterized networks and train for as long as possible; there are numerous studies that show, both theoretically and empirically, that such practices surprisingly do not unduly harm the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-05 Leslie Rice , Eric Wong , J. Zico Kolter

Producing probabilistic forecasts for large collections of similar and/or dependent time series is a practically relevant and challenging task. Classical time series models fail to capture complex patterns in the data, and multivariate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-30 Yuyang Wang , Alex Smola , Danielle C. Maddix , Jan Gasthaus , Dean Foster , Tim Januschowski

Attention based Transformer architecture has enabled significant advances in the field of natural language processing. In addition to new pre-training techniques, recent improvements crucially rely on working with a relatively larger…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-18 Srinadh Bhojanapalli , Chulhee Yun , Ankit Singh Rawat , Sashank J. Reddi , Sanjiv Kumar

Time series forecasts are widely used to inform decisions. Human decision-makers interpret these forecasts, incorporate prior experience and uncertainty about future outcomes, and then make a decision. In this paper, we propose a new…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-01 Daniel Andrew Coulson , Martin T. Wells

Traffic forecasting is a challenging problem due to complex road networks and sudden speed changes caused by various events on roads. A number of models have been proposed to solve this challenging problem with a focus on learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-09 Hyunwook Lee , Seungmin Jin , Hyeshin Chu , Hongkyu Lim , Sungahn Ko

In this paper we address the application of pre-processing techniques to multi-channel time series data with varying lengths, which we refer to as the alignment problem, for downstream machine learning. The misalignment of multi-channel…

Generative recommendation models can model user behavior as sequences of events and provide a shared backbone for multiple recommendation tasks. In production, however, pre-training gains do not automatically translate into downstream…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2026-05-25 Qiuling Xu , Ko-Jen Hsiao , Moumita Bhattacharya

Large language models deliver strong generative performance but at the cost of massive parameter counts, memory use, and decoding latency. Prior work has shown that pruning and structured sparsity can preserve accuracy under substantial…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-04-17 Andrew Kiruluta

Recently, there has been a growing interest in Long-term Time Series Forecasting (LTSF), which involves predicting long-term future values by analyzing a large amount of historical time-series data to identify patterns and trends. There…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-17 Aitian Ma , Dongsheng Luo , Mo Sha

Tokenization and transfer learning are two critical components in building state of the art time series foundation models for forecasting. In this work, we systematically study the effect of tokenizer design, specifically scaling and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Alexis Roger , Gwen Legate , Kashif Rasul , Yuriy Nevmyvaka , Irina Rish

Modeling multiscale patterns is crucial for long-term time series forecasting (TSF). However, redundancy and noise in time series, together with semantic gaps between non-adjacent scales, make the efficient alignment and integration of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-19 Xu Zhang , Qitong Wang , Peng Wang , Wei Wang