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The emergence of a direction of time in statistical mechanics from an underlying time-reversal-invariant dynamics is explained by examining a simple model. The manner in which time-reversal symmetry is preserved and the role of initial…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Vinay Ambegaokar , Aashish Clerk

We use the abstract method of (local) martingale problems in order to give criteria for convergence of stochastic processes. Extending previous notions, the formulation we use is neither restricted to Markov processes (or semimartingales),…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-27 David Criens , Peter Pfaffelhuber , Thorsten Schmidt

Fluctuations in stochastic systems are usually characterized by the full counting statistics, which analyzes the distribution of the number of events taking place in the fixed time interval. In an alternative approach, the distribution of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-01-24 Krzysztof Ptaszynski

We build a general model for pricing defaultable claims. In addition to the usual absence of arbitrage assumption, we assume that one defaultable asset (at least) looses value when the default occurs. We prove that under this assumption, in…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-05-04 Delia Coculescu

We introduce a general methodology for quantitative model checking and control synthesis with supermartingale certificates. We show that every specification that is invariant to time shifts admits a stochastic invariant that bounds its…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-04-08 Alessandro Abate , Mirco Giacobbe , Diptarko Roy

Lecture notes for a master-level mathematics course on martingales and stochastic calculus, held at the University of Orl\'eans, France. With corrected exercises. Contents: Discrete-time martingales, stopping times, convergence theorems.…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2013-12-31 Nils Berglund

We study some regularity properties in locally stationary Markov models which are fundamental for controlling the bias of nonparametric kernel estimators. In particular, we provide an alternative to the standard notion of derivative process…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-07 Lionel Truquet

Financial markets provide an ideal frame for the study of crossing or first-passage time events of non-Gaussian correlated dynamics mainly because large data sets are available. Tick-by-tick data of six futures markets are herein considered…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-12-23 Josep Perelló , Mario Gutiérrez-Roig , Jaume Masoliver

The apparent times and positions of moving clocks as predicted by both `non-local' and `local' Lorentz Transformations are considered. Only local transformations respect translational invariance. Such transformations change temporal but not…

General Physics · Physics 2011-11-10 J. H. Field

Causal reversibility blends reversibility and causality for concurrent systems. It indicates that an action can be undone provided that all of its consequences have been undone already, thus making it possible to bring the system back to a…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2024-02-14 Marco Bernardo , Claudio A. Mezzina

Recent literature has found conditional transition rates to be a useful tool for avoiding Markov assumptions in multi-state models. While the estimation of univariate conditional transition rates has been extensively studied, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-30 Theis Bathke

We consider a change of measure by a martingale $Z_t$ and clarify that in general $1/Z_t$ is only a supermartingale under the changed measure. We then give a necessary and sufficient condition for the event that the limit of the martingale…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Simon Harris , Matthew Roberts

In [2] the notion of stickiness for stochastic processes was introduced. It was also shown that stickiness implies absense of arbitrage in a market with proportional transaction costs. In this paper, we investigate the notion of stickiness…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2009-09-14 Erhan Bayraktar , Hasanjan Sayit

We extend the information-based asset-pricing framework by Brody, Hughston \& Macrina to incorporate a stochastic bankruptcy time for the writer of the asset. Our model introduces a non-defaultable cash flow $Z_T$ to be made at time $T$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-15 Mohammed Louriki

Scattering moments provide nonparametric models of random processes with stationary increments. They are expected values of random variables computed with a nonexpansive operator, obtained by iteratively applying wavelet transforms and…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-17 Joan Bruna , Stéphane Mallat , Emmanuel Bacry , Jean-François Muzy

In the present paper, we give some examples of stochastic differential equations which have delicateness in the Markov and strong Markov properties, the uniqueness locally in time and globally in time, and initial conditions. Moreover, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-14 Seiichiro Kusuoka

We derive integral tests for the existence and absence of arbitrage in a financial market with one risky asset which is either modeled as stochastic exponential of an Ito process or a positive diffusion with Markov switching. In particular,…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-02-13 David Criens

We derive a nonparametric test for constant beta over a fixed time interval from high-frequency observations of a bivariate \Ito semimartingale. Beta is defined as the ratio of the spot continuous covariation between an asset and a risk…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-20 Markus Reiß , Viktor Todorov , George Tauchen

In this article, it is proved that for any cumulative distribution function with compact support and a specified t > 0, there exists a diffusion martingale which has this law at time t. The article proves existence; no claims are made about…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-01 John M. Noble

We study a variant of the martingale optimal transport problem in a multi-period setting to derive robust price bounds of a financial derivative. On top of marginal and martingale constraints, we introduce a time-homogeneity assumption,…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-05-07 Stephan Eckstein , Michael Kupper