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Short-term passenger flow prediction is an important but challenging task for better managing urban rail transit (URT) systems. Some emerging deep learning models provide good insights to improve short-term prediction accuracy. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-17 Jinlei Zhang , Hua Li , Lixing Yang , Guangyin Jin , Jianguo Qi , Ziyou Gao

We aim to explicitly model the delayed Granger causal effects based on multivariate Hawkes processes. The idea is inspired by the fact that a causal event usually takes some time to exert an effect. Studying this time lag itself is of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-14 Chao Yang , Hengyuan Miao , Shuang Li

Accurate traffic prediction is crucial to the guidance and management of urban traffics. However, most of the existing traffic prediction models do not consider the computational burden and memory space when they capture spatial-temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-11 Xuran Xu , Tong Zhang , Chunyan Xu , Zhen Cui , Jian Yang

Causal sensitivity analysis aims to provide bounds for causal effect estimates in the presence of unobserved confounding. However, existing methods for causal sensitivity analysis are per-instance procedures, meaning that changes to the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-12 Emil Javurek , Dennis Frauen , Marie Brockschmidt , Jonas Schweisthal , Stefan Feuerriegel

Spatiotemporal forecasting of traffic flow data represents a typical problem in the field of machine learning, impacting urban traffic management systems. In general, spatiotemporal forecasting problems involve complex interactions,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Yash Jakhmola , Madhurima Panja , Nitish Kumar Mishra , Kripabandhu Ghosh , Uttam Kumar , Tanujit Chakraborty

The key to traffic prediction is to accurately depict the temporal dynamics of traffic flow traveling in a road network, so it is important to model the spatial dependence of the road network. The essence of spatial dependence is to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-28 Silu He , Qinyao Luo , Ronghua Du , Ling Zhao , Haifeng Li

Traffic congestion event prediction is an important yet challenging task in intelligent transportation systems. Many existing works about traffic prediction integrate various temporal encoders and graph convolution networks (GCNs), called…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-16 Guangyin Jin , Lingbo Liu , Fuxian Li , Jincai Huang

The use of Internet in the every day life has pushed its evolution in a very fast way. The heterogeneity of the equipments supporting its networks, as well as the different devices from which it can be accessed, have participated in…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2014-04-23 Hadrien Hours , Ernst Biersack , Patrick Loiseau

Temporal point process as the stochastic process on continuous domain of time is commonly used to model the asynchronous event sequence featuring with occurrence timestamps. Thanks to the strong expressivity of deep neural networks, they…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-25 Haitao Lin , Cheng Tan , Lirong Wu , Zhangyang Gao , Zicheng Liu , Stan. Z. Li

Granger causality, commonly used for inferring causal structures from time series data, has been adopted in widespread applications across various fields due to its intuitive explainability and high compatibility with emerging deep neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-18 Ziyi Zhang , Shaogang Ren , Xiaoning Qian , Nick Duffield

A major challenge for causal inference from time-series data is the trade-off between computational feasibility and accuracy. Motivated by process motifs for lagged covariance in an autoregressive model with slow mean-reversion, we propose…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-30 Alice C. Schwarze , Sara M. Ichinaga , Bingni W. Brunton

Cellular traffic prediction is an indispensable part for intelligent telecommunication networks. Nevertheless, due to the frequent user mobility and complex network scheduling mechanisms, cellular traffic often inherits complicated…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2023-03-02 Xing Wang , Kexin Yang , Zhendong Wang , Junlan Feng , Lin Zhu , Juan Zhao , Chao Deng

Accurate prediction of traffic flow parameters and real time identification of congestion states are essential for the efficient operation of intelligent transportation systems. This paper proposes a Periodic Pattern Transformer Network…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-16 Hongrui Kou , Jingkai Li , Ziyu Wang , Zhouhang Lv , Yuxin Zhang , Cheng Wang

Exploratory analysis of time series data can yield a better understanding of complex dynamical systems. Granger causality is a practical framework for analysing interactions in sequential data, applied in a wide range of domains. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-20 Ričards Marcinkevičs , Julia E. Vogt

Computer network tends to be subjected to the proliferation of mobile demands and increasingly multifarious, therefore it poses a great challenge to guarantee the quality of network service. By designing the model according to different…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2021-01-22 Yue Hong Gao , Xiao Hong , Hao Tian Yang , Lu Chen , Xiao Nan Zhang

Predicting road traffic speed is a challenging task due to different types of roads, abrupt speed change and spatial dependencies between roads; it requires the modeling of dynamically changing spatial dependencies among roads and temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-21 Cheonbok Park , Chunggi Lee , Hyojin Bahng , Yunwon Tae , Kihwan Kim , Seungmin Jin , Sungahn Ko , Jaegul Choo

Trajectory anomaly detection, aiming to estimate the anomaly risk of trajectories given the Source-Destination (SD) pairs, has become a critical problem for many real-world applications. Existing solutions directly train a generative model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-30 Wenbin Li , Di Yao , Chang Gong , Xiaokai Chu , Quanliang Jing , Xiaolei Zhou , Yuxuan Zhang , Yunxia Fan , Jingping Bi

In an intelligent transportation system, the effects and relations of traffic flow at different points in a network are valuable features which can be exploited for control system design and traffic forecasting. In this paper, we define the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-11-24 Sina Molavipour , Germán Bassi , Mladen Čičić , Mikael Skoglund , Karl Henrik Johansson

Modeling human mobility helps to understand how people are accessing resources and physically contacting with each other in cities, and thus contributes to various applications such as urban planning, epidemic control, and location-based…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-06-07 Zongyuan Huang , Shengyuan Xu , Menghan Wang , Hansi Wu , Yanyan Xu , Yaohui Jin

Accurate and reliable aircraft landing time prediction is essential for effective resource allocation in air traffic management. However, the inherent uncertainty of aircraft trajectories and traffic flows poses significant challenges to…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2025-12-10 Kyungmin Kim , Seokbin Yoon , Keumjin Lee
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