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The reliable operation of modern power grids requires probabilistic load forecasts with well-calibrated uncertainty estimates. However, existing deep learning models produce overconfident point predictions that fail catastrophically under…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Sajib Debnath , Md. Uzzal Mia

In this article, we introduce a novel deep learning hybrid model that integrates attention Transformer and Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) architectures to improve the accuracy of cryptocurrency price predictions. By combining the Transformer's…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-01 Esam Mahdi , C. Martin-Barreiro , X. Cabezas

A well-performing prediction model is vital for a recommendation system suggesting actions for energy-efficient consumer behavior. However, reliable and accurate predictions depend on informative features and a suitable model design to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-20 Alona Zharova , Antonia Scherz

Rising penetration levels of (residential) photovoltaic (PV) power as distributed energy resource pose a number of challenges to the electricity infrastructure. High quality, general tools to provide accurate forecasts of power production…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-16 Elizaveta Kharlova , Daniel May , Petr Musilek

Achieving carbon neutrality, a key focus of UN SDG #13, drives the exploration of wave energy, a renewable resource with the potential to generate 30,000 TWh of clean electricity annually, surpassing global demand. However, wave energy…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2025-07-15 Amin Abdollahi Dehkordi , Mehdi Neshat , Nataliia Y. Sergiienko , Zahra Ghasemi , Lei Chen , John Boland , Hamid Moradkhani , Amir H. Gandomi

Complex systems such as aircraft engines, turbines, and industrial machinery often operate under dynamically changing conditions. These varying operating conditions can substantially influence degradation behavior and make prognostic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-14 Yuqi Su , Xiaolei Fang

Accurate demand forecasting is crucial for optimizing supply chain management. Traditional methods often fail to capture complex patterns from seasonal variability and special events. Despite advancements in deep learning, interpretable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Md Abrar Jahin , Asef Shahriar , Md Al Amin

We consider the problem of power demand forecasting in residential micro-grids. Several approaches using ARMA models, support vector machines, and recurrent neural networks that perform one-step ahead predictions have been proposed in the…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2017-06-30 Riccardo Bonetto , Michele Rossi

Attention-based architectures have become ubiquitous in time series forecasting tasks, including spatio-temporal (STF) and long-term time series forecasting (LTSF). Yet, our understanding of the reasons for their effectiveness remains…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-13 Suhan Guo , Jiahong Deng , Yi Wei , Hui Dou , Furao Shen , Jian Zhao

This research proposes a machine learning-based attack detection model for power systems, specifically targeting smart grids. By utilizing data and logs collected from Phasor Measuring Devices (PMUs), the model aims to learn system…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-10 Diane Tuyizere , Remy Ihabwikuzo

Earth structural heterogeneities have a remarkable role in the petroleum economy for both exploration and production projects. Automatic detection of detailed structural heterogeneities is challenging when considering modern machine…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-04-17 Luiz Schirmer , Guilherme Schardong , Vinícius da Silva , Rogério Santos , Hélio Lopes

Mixed-integer linear programming (MILP), a widely used modeling framework for combinatorial optimization, are central to many scientific and engineering applications, yet remains computationally challenging at scale. Recent advances in deep…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-01-09 Peixin Huang , Yaoxin Wu , Yining Ma , Cathy Wu , Wen Song , Wei Zhang

Groundwater is the largest storage of freshwater resources, which serves as the major inventory for most of the human consumption through agriculture, industrial, and domestic water supply. In the fields of hydrological, some researchers…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-30 Pejman Zarafshan , Saman Javadi , Abbas Roozbahani , Seyed Mehdi Hashemy , Payam Zarafshan , Hamed Etezadi

As climate change intensifies, the shift to cleaner energy sources becomes increasingly urgent. With wind energy production set to accelerate, reliable wind probabilistic forecasts are essential to ensure its efficient use. However, since…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-08 Jean-Sébastien Giroux , Simon-Philippe Breton , Julie Carreau

Industrial sensor data provides significant insights into the failure risks of microgrid generation assets. In traditional applications, these sensor-driven risks are used to generate alerts that initiate maintenance actions without…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-30 Farnaz Fallahi , Murat Yildirim , Jeremy Lin , Caisheng Wang

Accurate identification of the penetration process relies heavily on prior feature values of penetration acceleration. However, these feature values are typically obtained through long simulation cycles and expensive computations. To…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-30 Yankang Li , Changsheng Li

Against the backdrop of increasingly severe global environmental changes, accurately predicting and meeting renewable energy demands has become a key challenge for sustainable business development. Traditional energy demand forecasting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-22 Te Li , Mengze Zhang , Yan Zhou

Smart grid's objective is to enable electricity and information to flow two-way while providing effective, robust, computerized, and decentralized energy delivery. This necessitates the use of state estimation-based techniques and real-time…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2021-10-22 Mostafa Mohammadpourfard , Istemihan Genc , Subhash Lakshminarayana , Charalambos Konstantinou

Time series forecasters are widely used across various domains. Among them, MLP (multi-layer perceptron)-based forecasters have been proven to be more robust to noise compared to Transformer-based forecasters. However, MLP struggles to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-18 Xiang Ao

Short-term load forecasting (STLF) is a challenging problem due to the complex nature of the time series expressing multiple seasonality and varying variance. This paper proposes an extension of a hybrid forecasting model combining…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-03 Slawek Smyl , Grzegorz Dudek , Paweł Pełka
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