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Related papers: A Foundation Model for Soccer

200 papers

The large majority of human activities require collaborations within and across formal or informal teams. Our understanding of how the collaborative efforts spent by teams relate to their performance is still a matter of debate. Teamwork…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Francesco Carli , Pietro Foini , Nicolò Gozzi , Nicola Perra , Rossano Schifanella

This paper presents a mathematical framework for causal nonlinear prediction in settings where observations are generated from an underlying hidden Markov model (HMM). Both the problem formulation and the proposed solution are motivated by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-16 Heng-Sheng Chang , Prashant G. Mehta

The recent growth in data availability in football has increased the risk of incorrect use of data-driven models, making guidelines on their validation and application necessary. The Expected Threat (xT) model is an accessible option for…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-28 Koen van Arem , Jakob Söhl , Mirjam Bruinsma , Geurt Jongbloed

In soccer, game context can result in skewing offensive statistics in ways that might misrepresent how well a team has played. For instance, in England's 1-2 loss to France in the 2022 FIFA World Cup quarterfinal, England attempted…

Applications · Statistics 2025-08-07 Andrey Skripnikov , Ahmet Cemek , David Gillman

Robots playing soccer often rely on hard-coded behaviors that struggle to generalize when the game environment change. In this paper, we propose a temporal logic based approach that allows robots' behaviors and goals to adapt to the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-05-22 Vincenzo Suriani , Emanuele Musumeci , Daniele Nardi , Domenico Daniele Bloisi

This paper presents a novel framework for evaluating players in association football (soccer). Our method uses possession sequences, i.e. sequences of consecutive on-ball actions, for deriving estimates for player strengths. On the surface,…

Applications · Statistics 2024-08-13 Robert Bajons , Kurt Hornik

In the pursuit of natural language understanding, there has been a long standing interest in tracking state changes throughout narratives. Impressive progress has been made in modeling the state of transaction-centric dialogues and…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-06-04 Ruochen Zhang , Carsten Eickhoff

Vision-language models (VLMs) have recently shown strong potential in soccer video understanding. However, given the high complexity of soccer videos due to large viewpoint variations, rapid shot transitions, and cluttered scenes, it…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Ismael Elsharkawi , Ahmed Sait , Silvio Giancola , Bernard Ghanem , Hossam Sharara , Abdelrahman Eldesokey

We compare various extensions of the Bradley-Terry model and a hierarchical Poisson log-linear model in terms of their performance in predicting the outcome of soccer matches (win, draw, or loss). The parameters of the Bradley-Terry…

Accurately predicting when and how materials fail is critical to designing safe, reliable structures, mechanical systems, and engineered components that operate under stress. Yet, fracture behavior remains difficult to model across the…

One of the key problems in the field of soccer analytics is predicting how a player performance changes when transitioning from one league to another. One potential solution to address this issue lies in the evaluation of the respective…

Applications · Statistics 2023-10-19 Andrei Shelopugin , Alexander Sirotkin

Action spotting in soccer videos is the task of identifying the specific time when a certain key action of the game occurs. Lately, it has received a large amount of attention and powerful methods have been introduced. Action spotting…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-11-23 Alejandro Cartas , Coloma Ballester , Gloria Haro

Object-centric event logs expand the conventional single-case notion event log by considering multiple objects, allowing for the analysis of more complex and realistic process behavior. However, the number of real-world object-centric event…

The research and data science community has been fascinated with the development of automatic systems for the detection of key events in a video. Special attention in this field is given to sports video analytics which could help in…

Markov processes are popular mathematical models, studied by theoreticians for their intriguing properties, and applied by practitioners for their flexible structure. With this book we teach how to model and analyze Markov processes. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-27 Ivo Adan , Johan van Leeuwaarden , Jori Selen

Football forecasting models traditionally rate teams on past match results, that is based on the number of goals scored. Goals, however, involve a high element of chance and thus past results often do not reflect the performances of the…

Applications · Statistics 2021-01-07 Edward Wheatcroft , Ewelina Sienkiewicz

With the increasingly detailed investigation of game play and tactics in invasive team sports such as soccer, it becomes ever more important to present causes, actions and findings in a meaningful manner. Visualizations, especially when…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-05-12 Maximilian T. Fischer , Daniel A. Keim , Manuel Stein

Attention-based transformers have been remarkably successful at modeling generative processes across various domains and modalities. In this paper, we study the behavior of transformers on data drawn from \kth Markov processes, where the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-26 Nived Rajaraman , Marco Bondaschi , Kannan Ramchandran , Michael Gastpar , Ashok Vardhan Makkuva

Algorithms for the action segmentation task typically use temporal models to predict what action is occurring at each frame for a minute-long daily activity. Recent studies have shown the potential of Transformer in modeling the relations…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-10-19 Fangqiu Yi , Hongyu Wen , Tingting Jiang

Understanding soccer as a complex system we base on nature and the collective behavior of many organisms that "do calculations," seeking to generate solutions in a bioinspired way. When soccer mysteries appear, complex systems science…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-07-21 Nelson Fernandez , Ricardo Bernal