English
Related papers

Related papers: Adaptive Uncertainty Quantification for Scenario-b…

200 papers

Despite the huge success of deep neural networks (NNs), finding good mechanisms for quantifying their prediction uncertainty is still an open problem. Bayesian neural networks are one of the most popular approaches to uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-01 Agustinus Kristiadi , Sina Däubener , Asja Fischer

In this work, an adaptive predictive control scheme for linear systems with unknown parameters and bounded additive disturbances is proposed. In contrast to related adaptive control approaches that robustly consider the parametric…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-03 Johannes Teutsch , Christopher Narr , Sebastian Kerz , Dirk Wollherr , Marion Leibold

We present a Model Predictive Control (MPC) strategy for unknown input-affine nonlinear dynamical systems. A non-parametric method is used to estimate the nonlinear dynamics from observed data. The estimated nonlinear dynamics are then…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-10-12 Dimitris Papadimitriou , Ugo Rosolia , Francesco Borrelli

In this paper, we propose a novel framework for approximating the explicit MPC policy for linear parameter-varying systems using supervised learning. Our learning scheme guarantees feasibility and near-optimality of the approximated MPC…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-12-11 Xiaojing Zhang , Monimoy Bujarbaruah , Francesco Borrelli

The contribution of this paper is a framework for training and evaluation of Model Predictive Control (MPC) implemented using constrained neural networks. Recent studies have proposed to use neural networks with differentiable convex…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-05-11 Rebecka Winqvist , Arun Venkitaraman , Bo Wahlberg

In this paper, we present a robust adaptive model predictive control (MPC) scheme for linear systems subject to parametric uncertainty and additive disturbances. The proposed approach provides a computationally efficient formulation with…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-12 Johannes Köhler , Elisa Andina , Raffaele Soloperto , Matthias A. Müller , Frank Allgöwer

Neural network (NN) potentials promise highly accurate molecular dynamics (MD) simulations within the computational complexity of classical MD force fields. However, when applied outside their training domain, NN potential predictions can…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2023-07-28 Stephan Thaler , Gregor Doehner , Julija Zavadlav

Automated vehicles require efficient and safe planning to maneuver in uncertain environments. Largely this uncertainty is caused by other traffic participants, e.g., surrounding vehicles. Future motion of surrounding vehicles is often…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-09 Tim Brüdigam , Michael Olbrich , Dirk Wollherr , Marion Leibold

In this paper, a self-triggered adaptive model predictive control (MPC) algorithm is proposed for constrained discrete-time nonlinear systems subject to parametric uncertainties and additive disturbances. To bound the parametric…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-12-17 Kunwu Zhang , Changxin Liu , Yang Shi

We introduce a novel combination of Bayesian Models (BMs) and Neural Networks (NNs) for making predictions with a minimum expected risk. Our approach combines the best of both worlds, the data efficiency and interpretability of a BM with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-28 Mathias Löwe , Per Lunnemann Hansen , Sebastian Risi

Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) provide a tool to estimate the uncertainty of a neural network by considering a distribution over weights and sampling different models for each input. In this paper, we propose a method for uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Illia Oleksiienko , Dat Thanh Tran , Alexandros Iosifidis

We provide a method to design adaptive controllers for nonlinear systems using model predictive control (MPC). By combining a certainty-equivalent MPC formulation with least-mean-square parameter adaptation, we obtain an adaptive controller…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-19 Johannes Köhler

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) have recently regained a significant amount of attention in the deep learning community due to the development of scalable approximate Bayesian inference techniques. There are several advantages of using a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-02 Aliaksandr Hubin , Geir Storvik

The expansion in automation of increasingly fast applications and low-power edge devices poses a particular challenge for optimization based control algorithms, like model predictive control. Our proposed machine-learning supported approach…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-01-08 Hendrik Alsmeier , Anton Savchenko , Rolf Findeisen

Approaches for stochastic nonlinear model predictive control (SNMPC) typically make restrictive assumptions about the system dynamics and rely on approximations to characterize the evolution of the underlying uncertainty distributions. For…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-09-14 Adam Polevoy , Marin Kobilarov , Joseph Moore

Amortized Bayesian model comparison (BMC) enables fast probabilistic ranking of models via simulation-based training of neural surrogates. However, the accuracy of neural surrogates deteriorates when simulation models are misspecified; the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-13 Šimon Kucharský , Aayush Mishra , Daniel Habermann , Stefan T. Radev , Paul-Christian Bürkner

Representing and quantifying uncertainty in physical parameterisations is a central challenge in weather and climate modelling, and approaches are often developed separately for different timescales. Here, we introduce a unified framework…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-12-01 Laura A. Mansfield , Hannah M. Christensen

Existing deep learning approaches for travel mode choice modeling fail to inform modelers about their prediction uncertainty. Even when facing scenarios that are out of the distribution of training data, which implies high prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-18 Shuwen Zheng , Zhou Fang , Liang Zhao

Nonlinear Model Predictive Control (NMPC) is a powerful and widely used technique for nonlinear dynamic process control under constraints. In NMPC, the state and control weights of the corresponding state and control costs are commonly…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-08-07 Dimche Kostadinov , Davide Scaramuzza

This paper presents a deep learning based model predictive control algorithm for control affine nonlinear discrete time systems with matched and bounded state dependent uncertainties of unknown structure. Since the structure of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-09-28 Prabhat K. Mishra , Mateus V. Gasparino , Andres E. B. Velsasquez , Girish Chowdhary