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As opaque black-box predictive models become more prevalent, the need to develop interpretations for these models is of great interest. The concept of variable importance and Shapley values are interpretability measures that applies to any…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-10 Zexuan Sun , Garvesh Raskutti

Factor importance measures the impact of each feature on output prediction accuracy. Many existing works focus on the model-based importance, but an important feature in one learning algorithm may hold little significance in another model.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-24 Chaofan Huang , V. Roshan Joseph

Although recent works have brought some insights into the performance improvement of techniques used in state-of-the-art deep-learning models, more work is needed to understand their generalization properties. We shed light on this matter…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-31 Mahsa Forouzesh , Farnood Salehi , Patrick Thiran

With the increasing adoption of predictive models trained using machine learning across a wide range of high-stakes applications, e.g., health care, security, criminal justice, finance, and education, there is a growing need for effective…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-04 Aria Khademi , Vasant Honavar

Machine-learned models are often described as "black boxes". In many real-world applications however, models may have to sacrifice predictive power in favour of human-interpretability. When this is the case, feature engineering becomes a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-06-22 Gabriele Tolomei , Fabrizio Silvestri , Andrew Haines , Mounia Lalmas

Complex problems may require sophisticated, non-linear learning methods such as kernel machines or deep neural networks to achieve state of the art prediction accuracies. However, high prediction accuracies are not the only objective to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-11-24 Marina M. -C. Vidovic , Nico Görnitz , Klaus-Robert Müller , Marius Kloft

This paper introduces and develops a novel variable importance score function in the context of ensemble learning and demonstrates its appeal both theoretically and empirically. Our proposed score function is simple and more straightforward…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-01-27 Ernest Fokoué

In this paper we define a population parameter, ``Generalized Variable Importance Metric (GVIM)'', to measure importance of predictors for black box machine learning methods, where the importance is not represented by model-based parameter.…

Computation · Statistics 2023-12-27 Mohammad Kaviul Anam Khan , Olli Saarela , Rafal Kustra

Integrating advanced communication protocols in production has accelerated the adoption of data-driven predictive quality methods, notably machine learning (ML) models. However, ML models in image classification often face significant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-04 Lukas Bahr , Lucas Poßner , Konstantin Weise , Sophie Gröger , Rüdiger Daub

We initiate a novel approach to explain the predictions and out of sample performance of random forest (RF) regression and classification models by exploiting the fact that any RF can be mathematically formulated as an adaptive weighted K…

Reliability-oriented sensitivity analysis aims at combining both reliability and sensitivity analyses by quantifying the influence of each input variable of a numerical model on a quantity of interest related to its failure. In particular,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-25 Julien Demange-Chryst , François Bachoc , Jérôme Morio

This work presents a new classifier that is specifically designed to be fully interpretable. This technique determines the probability of a class outcome, based directly on probability assignments measured from the training data. The…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-10-31 Sapan Agarwal , Corey M. Hudson

Techniques for understanding the functioning of complex machine learning models are becoming increasingly popular, not only to improve the validation process, but also to extract new insights about the data via exploratory analysis. Though…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-02 Jayaraman J. Thiagarajan , Irene Kim , Rushil Anirudh , Peer-Timo Bremer

Causal random forests provide efficient estimates of heterogeneous treatment effects. However, forest algorithms are also well-known for their black-box nature, and therefore, do not characterize how input variables are involved in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-08-08 Clément Bénard , Julie Josse

Predictive process monitoring aims to support the execution of a process during runtime with various predictions about the further evolution of a process instance. In the last years a plethora of deep learning architectures have been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-15 Martin Käppel , Lars Ackermann , Stefan Jablonski , Simon Härtl

Probabilistic sensitivity analysis identifies the influential uncertain input to guide decision-making. We propose a general sensitivity framework with respect to the input distribution parameters that unifies a wide range of sensitivity…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-10 Jiannan Yang

Random forests are a widely used machine learning algorithm, but their computational efficiency is undermined when applied to large-scale datasets with numerous instances and useless features. Herein, we propose a nonparametric feature…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-19 Xiaojun Mao , Liuhua Peng , Zhonglei Wang

Factor analysis or sometimes referred to as variable analysis has been extensively used in classification problems for identifying specific factors that are significant to particular classes. This type of analysis has been widely used in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-01 Nagdev Amruthnath , Tarun Gupta

Unbiased assessment of the predictivity of models learnt by supervised machine-learning methods requires knowledge of the learned function over a reserved test set (not used by the learning algorithm). The quality of the assessment depends,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-11 Elias Fekhari , Bertrand Iooss , Joseph Muré , Luc Pronzato , Maria-João Rendas

Distributional Random Forest (DRF) is a flexible forest-based method to estimate the full conditional distribution of a multivariate output of interest given input variables. In this article, we introduce a variable importance algorithm for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-15 Clément Bénard , Jeffrey Näf , Julie Josse
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